What to expect from Apple’s developers’ conference

Critics often complain that Apple relies too much on iPhone sales, but the company aims to show just how far it’s come in software and services at Monday’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC).

At the annual developer conference, the company is expected to show off new updates to Siri, a rebooted Apple Music, iOS 10, a new Mac operating system and perhaps more.

Watch video for more…

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Surging yen sends Nikkei tumbling 3.5% ahead of BOJ meeting

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Japan’s Nikkei 225 tumbled 582.18 points, or 3.51 percent, to 16,019.18, as fresh strength in the yen pressured stocks, with major exporters selling off. Shares of Toyota, Nissan, Honda and Sony closed down between 3.54 and 4.18 percent.

Asian markets ended sharply lower Monday, ahead of central bank meetings in the US and Japan this week and amid jitters over the upcoming referendum on whether the UK would remain in the European Union.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 tumbled 582.18 points, or 3.51 percent, to 16,019.18, as fresh strength in the yen pressured stocks, with major exporters selling off. Shares of Toyota, Nissan, Honda and Sony closed down between 3.54 and 4.18 percent.

The yen strengthened against the greenback ahead of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) two-day policy meeting starting June 15. Additionally, the yen is considered a safe-haven currency and increased concerns over the risk of a Brexit may be driving funds into the currency.

The currency pair traded at 105.83 as of 2:17 p.m. HK/SIN, compared with levels around 106.80 on Friday afternoon local time.

“The BOJ … will likely delay a rate cut in the meeting, favoring a coordinated event when the government releases its fiscal stimulus package in Autumn,” said Stephen Innes, a senior foreign exchange trader at OANDA Asia Pacific. “This delay will likely appreciate the yen over the short term if the BOJ remains sidelined.”

Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi closed down 38.57 points, or 1.91 percent, at 1,979.06. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index dropped 2.73 percent in the afternoon.

Chinese mainland markets ended lower, with the Shanghai composite closing down 94.65 points, or 3.23 percent, at 2,832.50, and the Shenzhen composite off by 91.26 points, or 4.75 percent, at 1,827.35.

Investor confidence likely took a hit after official data released earlier on Monday showed China’s fixed-asset investment growth eased to 9.6 percent on-year in the January-May period, reported Reuters. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected investment growth of 10.5 percent for the period.

The so-called Brexit was also on the radar for Asian investors.

“We judge that market uncertainty will remain elevated all the way into the Brexit referendum next week, as it is becoming clear that support for both camps are near evenly divided,” said Wei Liang Chang, an FX strategist at Mizuho Bank. “Perceived negativity of a Brexit event should keep risk positioning light, and we expect a continued pare back of risk assets in Asia, to an extent.”

A poll published by the Independent newspaper showed that 55 percent of respondents believed Britain should leave the EU, compared with 45 percent who favored staying. The publication said it marked the largest portion of respondents who favored exiting since research firm ORB began polling the issue for it last year.

That helped to weigh the pound, which was trading at USD 1.4213 as of 2:19 p.m. HK/SIN on Monday, compared with levels between USD 1.4500 and USD 1.4600 in the previous week.

In another sign of the market’s risk-off turn, US futures were lower, with Nasdaq futures down around 18.50 points and Dow Jones industrial average futures off around 71 points in the afternoon Asia time.

The Federal Open Market Committee will begin a two-day policy meeting on June 14, with many market watchers not expecting a rate hike after a sharply lower-than-expected US jobs report cast fresh doubts over the economy’s health.

However, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ended June 4 unexpectedly fell, according to the Labor Department.

David Kuo, CEO of The Motley Fool Singapore, told CNBC’s “Street Signs” that one month’s jobs data is not a trend. “The US economy looks reasonably strong. The retail sales figures are good; unemployment is well below 5 percent at the moment.”

The dollar advanced against a basket of currencies; the dollar index traded at 94.554 as of 2:21 p.m. HK/SIN, compared with levels around 93.565 on Thursday and near 94.181 on Friday afternoon Asia time.

In the commodities market, oil prices lost their hold on the psychologically key USD 50 level. US crude was down 1.2 percent at USD 48.49 a barrel, while global benchmark Brent was down 1.07 percent at USD 50.00 in the afternoon Asia time.

Energy plays in the region closed down, with Inpex off by 5.77 percent, Fuji Oil down 3.34 percent and Japan Petroleum losing 5.41 percent. Chinese mainland oil plays were also lower, with Sinopec off by 4.04 percent and China Oilfield down 2.83 percent.

In company news, South Korea’s Hotel Lotte, part of the Lotte Group conglomerate, said it is withdrawing its initial public offering (IPO) plan and will postpone the listing, reported Reuters. The IPO was expected to raise up to USD 4.5 billion; last week, prosecutors raided Lotte Group firms as part of an ongoing investigation, said Reuters.

Shares of Lotte Shopping, also part of the conglomerate, closed down 5.38 percent.

In another development weighing on market sentiment, on Sunday night, the USreeled after at least 50 people were killed and more than 50 others were wounded after a gunman opened fire and took hostages at a gay dance club in Orlando, Florida. It was America’s worst-ever mass shooting and law enforcement officials called it an incident of domestic terrorism.

Markets in Australia are closed for the Queen’s Birthday public holiday.

US markets closed lower Friday, with the Dow Jones industrial average down 119.85 points, or 0.67 percent, at 17,865.34. The S&P 500 was off by 19.41 points, or 0.92 percent, at 2,096.07, and the Nasdaq composite lost 64.07 points, or 1.29 percent, to 4,894.55.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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European stocks open lower as US Fed meeting eyed

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Global markets will be dominated by two crucial central bank meetings and monetary policy decisions this week.

European stocks opened sharply lower on Monday as investors look ahead to crucial central bank decisions from the US and Japan this week.

The pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.95 percent.

Global markets will be dominated by two crucial central bank meetings and monetary policy decisions this week. On Tuesday, the US Federal Open Market Committee begins a two-day meeting although expectations for a June rate hike have been pared following a lower-than-expected May nonfarm payroll number in recent weeks which cast doubts over the health of the US economy.

Meanwhile in Asia, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is also scheduled to hold a policy meeting on June 15 with analysts saying that that bank could surprise markets with additional easing this week.

Asian stocks were trading sharply lower Monday morning, ahead of the central bank meetings. Increasing nervousness over whether the U.K. would remain in the European Union (EU) when a referendum on EU membership takes place on June 23 is also rattling markets. A new poll published on Friday showed that the majority of Brits favor leaving the EU.

Oil markets also failed to give stocks a boost on Monday with prices falling in early trade, pulled down by rising economic concerns in Asia, Reuters reported, and a strengthening in the US dollar, which makes dollar-denominated fuel imports more expensive for many countries.

There are no major earnings on Monday.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Why the Fed may cut rates this year

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

A cloud of uncertainty is hanging over the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) outlook after data last week showed the country added 38,000 jobs in May, significantly missing the 162,000 expected.

May’s poor US employment report could trigger an interest rate cut, according to one contrarian investor—a move that would upend the Federal Reserve’s plans for policy normalization.

“I’m not convinced the Fed will hike at all; in fact their next move might be a rate cut rather than a hike,” Nicholas Ferres, investment director of global asset allocation at Eastspring Investments, told CNBC’s Asia Squawk Box on Monday.

Eastspring Investments is the Asian asset management business of Prudential and manages $89 billion of assets.

A cloud of uncertainty is hanging over the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) outlook after data last week showed the country added 38,000 jobs in May, significantly missing the 162,000 expected. The report also highlighted sharp downward revisions in job creation of previous months, with March sliding from 208,000 to 186,000 and April going from 160,000 to 123,000.

The bulk of market observers don’t expect any action when the FOMC ends a two-day review on Wednesday, but expectations for a rate hike are high in the coming months. Four-fifths of the 92 economists surveyed by Reuters anticipate an increase at either the July or September meetings. Ferres disagrees.

“I’m sympathetic to the view that you don’t want to focus on one data point but the downward revisions in employment, combined with the two quarters of negative profit growth were compelling for me,” he explained, referring to the 8.1 and 3.3 percent drops in company profits during the third and fourth quarter of 2015, respectively.

“The labor market typically follows profits so weak profit growth suggests the labor market is likely to slow. And we certainly saw that in trend terms, it [jobs] stepped down from 292,000 in December to around 115,000 in April.”

America Inc did stage a turnaround in the first three months of the year however, with profits rising 1.9 percent.

Jobs aside, Britain’s June 23 referendum regarding its European Union membership is the other key catalyst that erased likelihood of a hike this week.

Ferres didn’t provide an exact time frame for his controversial bet but should an interest rate cut materialize, it will likely stun global financial markets and diminish investor optimism towards the world’s largest economy.

Moreover, it could severely damage the Federal Reserve’s reputation after officials, including chairwoman Janet Yellen, hinted at interest rate increases in recent months.

“Their credibility is under challenge; they should have hiked a long time ago,” said Ferres.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Week ahead:US Fed, Bank of Japan to dominate mkt moves this week

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The US Federal Open Market Committee begins its two-day meeting on June 14. Expectations for a summer rate hike were drastically reduced when a sharply lower-than-expected May nonfarm payroll number cast fresh doubts over the health of the US economy.

Two key central bank decisions sit at the top of investors’ radar this week, after renewed global growth concerns saw US stocks sell off on Friday while benchmark yields fell to record lows.

The US Federal Open Market Committee begins its two-day meeting on June 14. Expectations for a summer rate hike were drastically reduced when a sharply lower-than-expected May nonfarm payroll number cast fresh doubts over the health of the US economy.

In the build-up to the June meeting, many Fed officials had made dovish comments. Following the dismal jobs report, Fed chair Janet Yellen spoke at an event in Philadelphia last Monday, where she struck a generally positive tone on the US economy and insisted that the Fed needed to raise rates. She stepped back, however, from putting a time frame.

Experts said they expect Yellen to adopt a similar tone at the press conference that follows the decision.

“Our sense is Yellen’s recent speech pre-empted her post FOMC press conference,” said analysts at RBC Capital Markets in a note. “We think that this tone will not only find its way into her Q&A but, indeed, into the tone of the statement where on net we do not look for any material changes.”

Analysts at Morgan Stanley also pointed out the possible threat of the so-called “Brexit” was a “non-negligible risk” for the Fed.

Britons are set to cast their vote on June 23 in a European Union referendum to decide on whether the U.K. should stay in or leave the 28-member bloc. Polls have shown many British people are in favor of leaving the EU.

“We believe June is not in play as a viable meeting,” the Morgan Stanley analysts said. They added persistent headwinds to growth and core inflation, and lingering uncertainty over the global background will see the Fed deliver only one rate hike this year – at its December meeting.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) begins its policy meeting on June 15. Experts agreed the BOJ might surprise markets with additional easing this week, since the G7 meeting is now over.

The yen, considered a safe-haven play, has climbed against the dollar, despite the BOJ’s decision earlier this year to introduce a negative interest rate policy. As of 11:41 a.m. HK/SIN, the currency pair traded at 106.16.

“Even if the BOJ may opt to stay put, further stimulus may only be a matter of time,” said Vishnu Varathan, a senior economist at Mizuho Bank. “Fact is, skirting an outright recession is hollow consolation given underlying domestic and external headwinds.”

Varathan added the dollar/yen pair could be volatile on both the Fed and the BOJ meetings, but a drop below 105 could “elicit some jawboning.”

Also on tap this week:

Monday, June 13

India – April Industrial Production

India – April Consumer Price Index

Tuesday, June 14

No major data due

Wednesday, June 15

China – May Foreign Direct Investment

South Korea – May Employment

United States – Federal Open Market Committee decision

Thursday, June 16

Australia – May Employment

Indonesia – Bank Indonesia decision

Japan – Bank of Japan decision

New Zealand – Q1 2016 GDP

Friday, June 17

No major data due

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Asia markets sell off: Nikkei tumbles 3%, Hang Seng down 2.3%

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 3.03 percent, as a relatively strong yen pressured stocks. The yen maintained its strength against the greenback ahead of the Bank of Japan’s two-day policy meeting starting June 15.

Asian markets were sharply lower Monday morning, ahead of central bank meetings in the US and Japan this week and amid jitters over the upcoming referendum on whether the UK would remain in the European Union.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 3.03 percent, as a relatively strong yen pressured stocks. The yen maintained its strength against the greenback ahead of the Bank of Japan’s two-day policy meeting starting June 15. The currency pair traded at 106.18 as of 9:39 a.m. HK/SIN, compared with levels around 106.80 on Friday afternoon local time.

Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi was down 1.56 percent. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index dropped 2.3 percent after market open. Chinese mainland markets were also sharply lower, with the Shanghai composite down 1.16 percent and the Shenzhen composite off by 1.52 percent.

Stateside, US futures were lower, with Nasdaq futures down around 18 points and Dow Jones industrial average futures off around 61 points in morning Asia time.

On Sunday night, the US reeled after at least 50 people were killed and more than 50 others were wounded after a gunman opened fire and took hostages at a gay club in Orlando, Florida. It was America’s worst-ever mass shooting and law enforcement officials called it an incident of domestic terrorism.

Elsewhere, early polls have shown a majority of British people are in favor of leaving the European Union, ahead of the June 23 referendum vote. The pound was under pressure, trading at USD 1.4187 as of 9:40 a.m. HK/SIN on Monday, compared with levels between USD 1.4500 and USD 1.4600 in the previous week.

The dollar advanced against a basket of currencies; the dollar index traded at 94.729 as of 9:40 a.m. HK/SIN, compared with levels around 93.565 on Thursday and near 94.181 on Friday afternoon Asia time.

US markets closed lower Friday, with the Dow Jones industrial average down 119.85 points, or 0.67 percent, at 17,865.34. The S&P 500 was off by 19.41 points, or 0.92 percent, at 2,096.07, and the Nasdaq composite lost 64.07 points, or 1.29 percent, at 4,894.55.

The Federal Open Market Committee will begin a two-day policy meeting on June 14, with many market watchers not expecting a rate hike after a sharply lower-than-expected US jobs report cast fresh doubts over the economy’s health.

However, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ended June 4 unexpectedly fell, according to the Labor Department.

Markets in Australia are closed for the Queen’s Birthday public holiday.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Negative interest rates by ECB, BOJ can’t boost growth: Allianz

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Moves by central banks from Japan to the euro zone to slash interest rates below zero have upended financial markets: investors are now paying some governments for the privilege of parking their funds while commercial lenders are mulling storing their cash in costly vaults instead of keeping them with central banks.

Central banks are essentially out of ammunition, with zero and negative interest rate policies spurring greater savings, not growth, said Michael Heise, chief economist at Allianz Group.

Moves by central banks from Japan to the euro zone to slash interest rates below zero have upended financial markets: investors are now paying some governments for the privilege of parking their funds while commercial lenders are mulling storing their cash in costly vaults instead of keeping them with central banks.

Despite the stimulus, economic growth remains feeble.

“Monetary policy has basically run its course in stimulating the economies,” said Heise in an exclusive interview with CNBC in Singapore. “The Japanese example is very telling.”

In late January, the Bank of Japan blindsided global financial markets by adopting negative interest rates for the first time ever – a move that should have spurred outflows of the local currency. But instead, the yen surged and signs of the intended effects, such as increased bank loans, have been scarce.

“The impact of monetary policy is actually counter intuitive and that shows that there’s a lot of uncertainty that policy makers are facing,” Heise said. “They can’t even be sure how their instruments are going to affect the economy.”

For one, the chief economist at Allianz, which had 1.723 trillion euros ($1.95 trillion) under management as of the end of 2015, noted that low-to-negative rates aren’t encouraging spending, which is what textbook economics would suggest.

“It is quite remarkable that savings rates are not going down, although savings in terms of return is completely unattractive,” he said.

Instead, he added, “there’s a concern that the wealth not accumulating in a way that [people] can take care of their retirement income or other objectives you have when you save: for buying a house or protecting your children or sending your children to school.”

That’s made the savings ratio “completely inelastic,” while low capital costs have done the same to dampen investment, he said, noting that consumption has only been rising in Germany because of salary increases.

A low cost of capital means that the “opportunity cost” — or the cost of making one investment as opposed to another or not investing at all — is also low, which may encourage companies to simply wait on the sidelines.

Low interest rates have also not spurred bank loans, he noted.

“Bank lending does not accelerate just because of low interest rates or a lot of liquidity. Liquidity was never the problem for bank lending,” Heise said. “It’s the capital situation of the banks and lack of demand for loans by the corporate sector and the households.”

But he pointed to signs this is changing in Europe as the economy there recovers.

“Slowly, companies are becoming more courageous to take up some loans, but it does not have to do with the buying of government bonds by the European Central Bank,” he said.

But he noted that within Asia, he’s hearing a shift toward structural reforms, rather than relying on monetary policy.

“We’ve completely exploited that and it’s high time to refocus on other policies,” Heise said, noting that these efforts may vary across countries, such as reforming inefficient state-owned enterprises, focusing on infrastructure and education spending, attracting foreign investment or fighting corruption.

But when it comes to the US Federal Reserve, Heise still expects interest rate increases ahead.

After last week’s non-farm payrolls report came in well-below expectations, many analysts pushed back their expectations for an interest rate hike from previous forecast for June or July.

But Heise said that while a June move was likely off the table, he still put a greater than 50 percent chance that the Fed will hike interest rates at its July meeting.

He said there’s still too many reasons for the Fed to move and that the labor market appeared to remain in fairly good shape, with some wage-growth acceleration, although there was room for the participation rate to rise.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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 5 Minutes Read

Apple now has an energy company: Report

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Apple Energy LLC is seeking to sell power at wholesale prices, in part from the solar energy and hydroelectric facilities connected to places like the Apple Data Center, according to documents filed with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

Apple has created a subsidiary energy company, 9to5Mac reported Friday.

Apple Energy LLC is seeking to sell power at wholesale prices, in part from the solar energy and hydroelectric facilities connected to places like the Apple Data Center, according to documents filed with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

The new Apple Energy entity was incorporated in Delaware last month, according to the Delaware Secretary of State’s website.

Apple has already invested heavily in solar power, creating a USD 850-million solar farm last year to power its California operations. Meanwhile, 9to5Mac reports, Apple’s said to be working on an electric car project, including potential charging stations.

Still, the world of energy regulation is complex, as 9to5Mac reports, with limits on what private companies can do. Apple did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment on the regulatory filings.

For the full scoop on what’s next for Apple Energy, read the report from 9to5Mac.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

Could you pick your equity dream team for Euro 2016?

If your soccer dream team was an equity portfolio, which stocks would be in it? Bookmakers, sports apparel firms and travel companies seem a safe bet to profit from a large sporting event, but are they the best stocks to hold over the course of a competition?

Ahead of the UEFA Euro 2016 soccer tournament in France, CNBC checks in on the players that should be on your equity dream team.

Using quantitative analysis tool Kensho CNBC screened for the best-performing stocks during the previous UEFA championships if you bought on the first day and sold on the last day of the tournament.

The Euro STOXX Healthcare sector is the surprise outperformer with an average return of over 2 percent during the last seven European soccer championships, with the star players being Smith & Nephew, GSK and Shire.

That’s at direct odds with the sector with the worst performance, technology, which posted an average loss of over 2 percent over the same time, and traded positive on only 45 percent of tournament days.

Several analysts have already picked their favorites for sporting events. In a note issued in April Societe Generale selected bookmakers and travel firms like PaddyPower Betfair and EasyJet.

However, during the tournament itself these stocks underperform with both turning in an average of 3 percent in losses over the last three UEFA European competitions while Punch Taverns, one of the UK’s largest pub companies, has seen its stock fall an average of 20 percent in the same timeframe although this has been compounded by financial headwinds.

Shares in rival JD Wetherspoon have fared better but still fall short of positive territory having dropped an average of over 1 percent during the last five championships. Another stock expected to perform well is the UK’s biggest sporting retailer Sports Direct, which posted an average loss of nearly 5 percent over the last two UEFA European Championships.

Official tournament sponsor Adidas is another stock that investors will watch closely. According to data from Colin Cieszynski at CMC Markets, the stock tends to falter during actual play and fails to perform as well as it does both before and after tournaments.

Investec Wealth & Investment said June could be a very good month for pub companies, and from an economic point of view, it could benefit UK travel and leisure stocks.

Investec did warn however that any boost to UK equities could grind to a halt if the UK votes to leave the European Union on June 23. Outside of the referendum,

English football fans certainly hope their team will still be in Europe come the end of the month and, as Mike Riddell from Allianz Global Investors said in a recent note, ” it’s not inconceivable that results on the football pitch could impact the vote if it is as closely run as the polls suggest.

If England have a lesson taught to them in the group stage by the Russians, the Slovaks and Gareth Bale, who knows, it could be more than just the England football team that crashes out of Europe before the knockouts.”

 5 Minutes Read

Why big investors think it’s time to hoard gold

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

“As far as the geopolitical element, it’s certainly not a chicken little atmosphere,” said Jim Steel, chief commodities analyst at HSBC. “I think there’s enough uncertainty facing the global economy and even some geopolitical tensions to keep buying the gold market.”

Fear is on the rise and so is the price of gold.

Gold futures for August hit a three-week high Thursday, rising to USD 1,272.70 per ounce, just under a key resistance level of USD 1,275. The yellow metal is up about 20 percent year to date, and some high-profile investors – like George Soros and Stanley Druckenmiller – have made no secret that they see bad times ahead in the markets and gold is a safer bet.

“As far as the geopolitical element, it’s certainly not a chicken little atmosphere,” said Jim Steel, chief commodities analyst at HSBC. “I think there’s enough uncertainty facing the global economy and even some geopolitical tensions to keep buying the gold market.”

Investors believing they need to have gold in their portfolio as a hedge against the outcome of easy central bank policies and for other safety reasons are fueling a run in the metal. Some analysts say gold could easily climb above USD 1,300 an ounce.

In fact, DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeff Gundlach likes it, and he says gold could go to USD 1,400. Soros has reportedly been buying both gold and gold mining shares, while Drunkenmiller told investors last month to get out of stocks altogether and buy the yellow metal due to concerns about China’s economy and the Fed’s easy money policies.

Analysts say there are a host of reasons investors are loading up on gold, and at some point later this year, the US presidential election could be seen as one of them.

“I think that the you’ve got ‘Brexit’ coming at you. You have a Spanish election coming at you in a week and a half and that is terribly confusing. It looks like the left is going to win. You have rising nationalism in France. You have the strike in France. You have one thing after another,” said Dennis Gartman, publisher of The Gartman letter. Other worries include rising tensions with China in the South China Sea, and Nigeria where militants have shut down oil production.

Gold has also moved higher as the dollar pulled back, a phenomena helping other commodities. The greenback has weakened as the Fed’s forecast for rate hikes was rolled back to two this year from four. The metal got a lift after last week’s surprisingly weak May US jobs report cast doubts on whether the central bank can raise rates at all this year.

“I think the key element more than any one geopolitical issue, even as much as the Fed holding off a spate of rate rises, is some economies moving into negative rates. That has been very good for gold. When you look at when the gold rally began it is very close to the issue of bonds with a negative yield,” said Steel. “If you look at all the economies that have a negative yield, they add up to a little over 27 percent of the world’s GDP. … Negative yields are a powerful cocktail for gold. They eliminate the opportunity cost of owning gold.”

Steel said the move into the metal has been steady, not an excited gold rush spiking prices. “Basically, the rally has been entirely investment led,” he said. That is opposed to a rally driven by physical demand, with buyers in the biggest markets — India and China — now less active.

“It’s kind of like having a table with a leg missing. It’s heavily investment led. I’d feel better with a longer-term rally if we had a physical component. It does present upside roadblocks further up,” he said.

One major catalyst for the rush into gold is the June 23 UK vote on whether to leave the European Union. Gartman said the move in gold is clearly tied to the referendum, as the euro is weakening against the safe haven Swiss franc, as well.

“The fact here is just a vote on Brexit, whether it succeeds or not, is not a good sign for the European Union,” said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco. He said Brexit is not expected to succeed, but if it did the fear is that the EU itself could begin to unravel.

“If the euro is going to go away you’re seeing people buy gold with euros as a safe haven play,” he said.

“If Brexit passes, what’s the next step? …The UK pulls away from the European Union. Are some of the periphery countries going to pull out? … That leads to the thought of what happens to the euro. Some people are going to take their euros and buy gold because buying gold today is there for down the road if the euro is no more,” he said. “That’s not mainstream but it’s something people are thinking about.”

Wyckoff said if gold breaks the USD 1,275 per ounce level, he next target is USD 1,308, its high for the year. That is a level that would bring in new buying and drive the yellow metal higher.

Steel said ETFs have been big buyers of gold this year. Year to date, all-ETF investment has risen by 12 million ounces, and now hold 52 million ounces. The SPDR Gold Trust ETF GLD is the largest.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?