5 Minutes Read

Priced-out buyers leave Mumbai property market stagnant

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The unrealistically high cost of apartments in India’s financial hub, which is home to some of the country’s richest people, has priced the majority of buyers out of the market, and stagnation is the result.

Despite the odd celebrity or billionaire shelling out top dollar for a prized piece of property, Mumbai’s property market is ailing, as it pays the price of having just too big a boom.

The unrealistically high cost of apartments in India’s financial hub, which is home to some of the country’s richest people, has priced the majority of buyers out of the market, and stagnation is the result.

“A tiny 700 square feet apartment, some 45 kilometers from the centre of town, costs approximately 15 million rupees (USD 230,000), so the salaried class can’t even afford this,” Mangilal Jogani of Nikita Properties, a 30-year veteran in the Mumbai property market, told CNBC.

A similar apartment in a far outer suburb of Delhi, for example, would cost about half that price.

Mumbai: India’s property style-setter

Mumbai has always been the most expensive city in India, where real estate prices compete with other Asian property hotspots like Hong Kong and Singapore. And big ticket deals that make it to the headlines in India are almost always from Mumbai.

Home to Bollywood, one of the largest movie industries in the world, and the headquarters of some of the largest Indian corporates, Mumbai has seen several multi-million dollar property deals this year.

The biggest so far is the 7.5 billion rupees [USD 115 million] paid by an industrialist for a 50,000 square-foot property in one of the city’s posh areas, according to Colliers India.

Movie stars and cricketers also hit the limelight while shopping for high-end properties, priced at upwards of 300 million rupees (USD 4.5 million), in the heart of the city.

“These are one-off deals by billionaires who can afford it, there is no depth in the market. For most people, the cost of real estate is unrealistic, compared to what they earn,” Vivek Talwar, a real estate investor, said.

As a result, those already invested in the market are finding it difficult to sell and builders of new condominiums are desperately offering freebies such foreign holidays and free parking to little effect.

“Today customers are not running after anybody, you have to offer around 15-20 percent discount to get a deal done,” said Talwar, adding that only apartments in the range of USD 45,000-USD 65,000 in far flung suburbs of Mumbai were selling. Other than that, the sales scene is dire.

I want it all, for free!

Atul Joshi, who asked that his real name not be used, has been trying to sell his ancestral property, a three-storey house in one of South Mumbai’s best localities, for the past two years. He is willing to offer a big discount on his premium property, but there has been no buyer as yet.

“Wish I had thought of selling four years ago when the market was upbeat. Today there is so much supply in the market the customer is spoilt for choice,” the worried 43-year-old told CNBC.

According to Colliers India, there were about 1,80,000 unsold units in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region at the end of September. Such a high pile up of inventory has not been seen in two years. This is having a knock-on impact on developers.

“In the first six months of the year there has been a 40 percent year-on-year drop in new launches,” according to Arvind Kapoor, director India operations, residential at Colliers India.

He added that builders were looking to get rid of old inventory amid tepid demand, before launching any new projects. “It s a tough market,” Kapoor noted. “Even though builders may not be giving discounts openly, behind closed doors, negotiations are on.”

The buyer is king, he is dreaming of getting everything free. For example, today a buyer expects to get an apartment priced at 70 million rupees [USD 1.1 million] for rupees 50 million [USD 760,000],” said Rajan Ahuja, a property broker in Mumbai’s prime localities. He added that some builders were now trying to let out apartments, having being unable to sell them even after offering incentives such as flexible payment options.

Wait and watch, but for how long?

Given there are no buyers in the market, property prices should, in theory, have crashed. But many home owners have paid top rupee for their properties and builders are highly leveraged, leaving both unable to stomach a huge drop in price and holding out for a market recovery, said industry experts.

“In Mumbai there are a lot of people who will not sell til they get a good price,” according to finance broker Bharat Mehta.

“It all depends on a seller’s holding power,” said Ahuja. It is a game of who blinks first. While the buyer is holding on to his funds waiting for prices to come down even more dramatically, the seller is hoping that the new year brings a revival in fortunes of a market that sets the sentiment on property for the rest of the country.

 

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Asian equities trade in the red, investors remain cautious

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The Chinese stock market, which saw its worst weekly performance last week since August, trimmed early gains and was back in negative territory as ongoing investigations into brokerages on short-selling and speculation charges hurt sentiment.

Asian equities were trading mixed on Monday morning as investors remained cautious following a mixed performance from Wall Street last Friday.

The Chinese stock market, which saw its worst weekly performance last week since August, trimmed early gains and was back in negative territory as ongoing investigations into brokerages on short-selling and speculation charges hurt sentiment.

US stocks closed mixed on Friday due to a 3 percent decline in oil prices. Oil tumbled USD 1.33, or 3.09 percent, to USD 41.71 a barrel as the dollar index, which hit a fresh eight-month high, added additional pressure to an oversupplied market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 15 points, or 0.08 percent, lower at 17,798.5 while the S&P 500 was up by 1.24 points, or 0.06 percent, to 2,090. The Nasdaq was up 11.4 points, or 0.22 percent, at 5,128.

Chinese stocks back in negative territory

The Shanghai Composite dipped into the red, down 17 points, or 0.48 percent, at 3,420 as investors continue to remain concerned over the ongoing investigations of Chinese brokerages by regulators.

Last week, the China Securities and Regulatory Commission formally launched investigations into brokerages to weed out short selling and speculation.

Brokerages were trading firmly in red. Shares of Citic Securities were down 2.18 percent while Founder Securities and China Merchants saw their early gains trimmed and were down 0.11 percent and 2.37 percent respectively. Haitong Securities, which was not trading on Friday, plunged 9.93 percent.

Chinese banks were all trading in positive territory, boosted by the news of the likely inclusion of the yuan into the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket of currencies by International Monetary Fund (IMF). It would make the yuan an officially recognized reserve currency.

Shares of ICBC, Agriculture Bank of China, Bank of China, CCB, and Bank of Commerce were up between 0.48 and 1.27 percent.

The smaller Shenzhen Composite was down 0.5 percent; the tech-heavy Chinext was down 0.4 percent; and the blue chip-heavy CSI 300 Index was down 0.5 percent.

Away from the mainland, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was down 0.13 percent.

Nikkei trades 0.38 percent lower

Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 74 points, or 0.38 percent lower at 19,807 despite official data released this morning showing an uptick in industrial production and retail sales for October.

Japanese blue chip companies opened mixed, with most of them trading flat or in the red. Shares of Sony, Canon, and Mitsubishi Electric were down while Toyota was flat. Toshiba shares were up 3.31 percent as the struggling company said last week it would consider selling stake in its semiconductor business to raise funds as it recovers from its accounting scandal earlier this year.

Kospi dips over 1 percent

The Seoul Kospi was down 1.64 percent on Monday morning, as investors remain cautious over Asian equities.

Blue chip and tech companies were mostly down on the back of a surprise decline in industrial output for October. Industrial output fell 1.4 percent from the previous month as manufacturing lagged.

Shares of consumer electronics giant Samsung, steel manufacturer Posco, and KB Financial Group, SK Hynix, and Hyundai Motor were down, seeing between 0.3 and 2.8 percent declines. LG Electronics was up 0.18 percent.

Elsewhere, shares of Kakao Corp and KT Corp rallied after a consortium led by the two companies won a preliminary license from the Financial Services Commission (FSC) to launch South Korea’s first internet-only bank, according to reports.

ASX down 0.4 percent; commodities weigh

The ASX 200 traded 20 points, or 0.4 percent lower at 5,182 following a drop in oil prices and a flat finish for industrial metals last week.

Resources and commodities producers were mostly in the red in early trading.

Shares of miners Mount Gibson were up 1.32 percent, Sandfire Resources down 2.38 percent. Atlas Iron down 4.55 percent and BC Iron down 2.08 percent in morning trade.

BHP Billiton was down 2.4 percent as news broke that Brazil’s federal and state governments plan to sue the miner for 20 billion reais (USD 5.24 billion) in damages for the disaster at the Samarco iron ore mine earlier this month.

A tailings dam burst in the mine, unleashing 60 million cubic meters of mud and mine waste, killing at least 13 people and polluting a major river valley, according to Reuters.

BHP co-owns Samarco with Vale, the biggest iron ore miner.

Gold miners felt the effects of lower gold prices, opening mostly in negative territory. Last Friday, spot gold closed 1.2 percent lower at USD 1,057.5, its lowest price in nearly six year due to continued pressure from a strong US dollar.

Newcrest Mining and Evolution Mining saw early losses of 3.35 percent and 3.19 percent respectively while Alacer Gold was down 1.51 percent. Kingsgate saw a positive uptick of 0.79 percent in its share prices.

Oil producers were back in negative territory on the back of a drop in oil prices in US trading on Friday. Shares of Santos, Oil Search were down 0.61 and 2.48 percent while Woodside Petroleum remained flat.

On the data front, investors will be keeping an eye on Friday’s non farms payroll data for November in the US, which are likely to give further indication on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December.

In Asia-Pacific, a number of countries including Australia, India, and South Korea will be releasing their Q3 gross domestic product (GDP) data this week, the broadest measure of economic health.

China will be releasing its Purchasing Managers Index, a measure of its manufacturing sector later in the week, while Japan will announce industrial production and retail sales numbers later today.

Evan Lucas, market strategist at spreadbetter IG, said in a note investors will be watching a build up of yuan devaluation again.

“Friday’s intraday collapse on the Chinese markets has been put down to the investigations into ‘margin financing and short selling’ at the three largest brokerage firms in China,” he wrote. “However the fact that price action went global (Chinese ADR’s were punished on the weekend) suggests something bigger – this could be the next leg of the July – August move.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Aus cricketer Steve Waugh launches Indian property business

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The surprise is that that person is former Australian cricket captain, Steve Waugh, who launched Waughglobal.com, a property platform, in September.

While there is little cheer for property investors in India at the moment, one person has gone against the tide, jumping into the fray with the launch of a website that will provide information and assistance to non-resident Indians (NRIs) looking to buy a premium property back home.

The surprise is that that person is former Australian cricket captain, Steve Waugh, who launched Waughglobal.com, a property platform, in September.

And what made the Aussie batsman take this unusual decision? According to his website, “On a hot, humid day in 2014, Steve looked out over the Mumbai skyline and made a commitment to himself that he wanted to play a shaping role in India’s growth story over the next 10 years.”

Waughglobal.com has tied up with many of India’s top builders in several Indian cities including Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore, to showcase their properties to overseas buyers. The website also offers rental and property management services.

According to Indian newspaper reports, Waugh has in his sights the 22 million-plus NRIs living worldwide, who have a combined USD 360 billion in investible assets. The company plans to conclude deals worth USD 600 million to USD 700 million by December 2016, according to reports.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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US fiscal policy, exports weigh against December Fed hike

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Apart from that, the Fed is also facing a fundamental imbalance in the country’s fiscal-monetary policy mix. The resulting one-handed approach to economic stabilization is reducing the effectiveness of extraordinarily easy credit conditions.

This week, markets are expecting to see clear signs of the Fed’s imminent interest rate increase.

That may well happen, but there is nothing in the Fed’s current policy stance to suggest the preparation of such a move.

It would, therefore, be very unusual to see a sudden tightening of US money market conditions under circumstances when neither the pace of economic activity nor the underlying inflation pressures call for a policy change of that nature.

Apart from that, the Fed is also facing a fundamental imbalance in the country’s fiscal-monetary policy mix. The resulting one-handed approach to economic stabilization is reducing the effectiveness of extraordinarily easy credit conditions.

Market observers don’t seem to realize that the Fed is working against a sharp and continued tightening of the fiscal policy which – at its current degree of restraint – is unable to stop the rise of America’s huge public debt.

The Fed is also watching a powerful drag on the US economic growth from deteriorating next exports caused by a weakening world economy and a surging dollar.

Offsetting tight fiscal policies

Think of it: Tight fiscal policies and a widening trade gap have a direct bearing on the Fed’s ability to deliver growing jobs and incomes in an environment of price stability.

Take the fiscal policy first. At 4.5 percent of GDP, the US budget deficit is the second-highest (after Japan) in the industrialized world; it is also twice as high as the euro area deficit. And in spite of a marked progress in fiscal consolidation over the last few years, America’s gross public debt (USD 18.7 trillion at this writing on the Time Square’s national debt clock) keeps climbing toward 111 percent of GDP.

This means that the Fed cannot count on any help from fiscal easing to stabilize the economy and to maintain employment growth. No, the fiscal restraint has to continue to keep the budget deficit on a declining trend in order to stop and reverse the growth of public debt.

There is no telling how long that will take. Just to stop the growth of public sector liabilities, the US would have to begin running a primary budget surplus (that is surplus before debt service interest charges). At the moment, we have a primary budget deficit of 1 percent of GDP, and, on current policies, not much of a decline should be expected in the next few years.

The Fed, therefore, has to offset the ongoing fiscal tightening with low credit costs to keep the economy on a growth path consistent with steady income and employment advances.

By supporting growth, the Fed is also helping to reduce the deficit through rising public sector revenues. At the same time, the Fed’s low credit costs make it possible to narrow the budget gap by holding down interest charges on public debt. These are currently at about 3 percent of GDP, but they are bound to increase with rising liabilities and widely anticipated higher interest rates.

Rising dollar is monetary tightening

The negative impact of the widening trade gap on growth and employment is an equally difficult issue. In the first three quarters of this year, for example, a combination of the weak global economy and a rising dollar has cut America’s GDP growth by 0.6 percent; for this year as a whole that could knock off an entire percentage point.

Next year could be much worse. Rising insecurity and political instabilities are taking their toll on an already lackluster EU economy – a destination for one-fifth of American export sales. The euro is now down 15 percent year-over-year against the dollar. The ECB’s widely expected additional easing will cause another round of the sliding euro.

Japan’s monetary policy also remains hugely expansionary, and it will remain so for as far as the eye can see because Tokyo has no room for a meaningful fiscal easing to shore up its recessionary economy. The yen, as a result, has lost more than 4 percent of its value against the dollar over the last twelve months.

China, too, has joined the bandwagon of monetary easing and cheaper currency (the yuan is now down 4 percent with respect to the dollar from the year earlier) to support growth while it seeks to rev up household consumption and service industries.

The upshot is that in the first nine months of this year the US trade deficit with these three large and slowing economies rose 8 percent from the year earlier and accounted for nearly 80 percent of our total trade gap.

So, here is the question: Since the appreciating exchange rate is technically equivalent to monetary tightening, is it necessary to raise US interest rates (i.e., increase the dollar shortage) at the time of a rising dollar (i.e., rising excess demand for dollar assets)?

And here is the follow-up question: Is an imminent monetary tightening necessary because we are facing an overheating US economy and gathering inflation pressures?

The answer to both questions is no. It is clearly wrong to raise interest rates while the greenback keeps rising, and while the weak economies and political instabilities in the rest of the world are likely to strengthen the demand for dollar-denominated assets.

There is also no evidence of an accelerating US economy giving rise to underlying inflation pressures. Our economic growth in the first three quarters of this year (2.6 percent) is almost identical to the growth rate in the same period of last year (2.4 percent).

Similarly, over the same period, the growth of hourly compensations in the non-farm business sector was up 2.2 percent, compared to 2.7 percent in 2014. The growth of unit labor costs also slowed down to 1.6 percent from 1.8 percent last year.

And to top it all off, the US consumer price inflation has been flat or negative in the first ten months of this year, compared with 1.5-2.0 percent inflation rates in the same period of 2014. Yes, most of our good inflation numbers is owed to tumbling oil prices, but that story is not over yet. Whatever competition they might be fighting, the Russians and the Saudis are still making money at USD 50/barrel, because their (onshore) marginal production costs are USD 18 and USD 3 per barrel respectively. Also, the Russians may be bombing to smithereens the Islamic State’s black market for Iraqi and Syrian oil, but Iran is coming on stream.

Investment thoughts

I see no compelling domestic or international reasons for the Fed to rush into an imminent tightening of money market conditions in the United States. And, as of this writing, I see no indication that the Fed is moving in that direction.

Many people seem to believe that the Fed’s rate hike is part of an impending market doom. Perversely, the doom sells. In some European countries, it is even fashionable. Some of these countries have built a prosperous financial industry by peddling doom and offering puny returns to their frightened customers.

I remain bullish on US equities. Slowly growing labor costs in an expanding and amply liquid economy will continue to widen profit shares. America’s world beating companies are some of the best and safest bets around.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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 5 Minutes Read

IMF expected to include yuan in SDR currency basket

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The prospects of inclusion, which will represent public acknowledgement of China’s heft in the global economy, look pretty high given that the US, a major investor in the fund, has backed the move, as has the IMF’s Managing Director Christine Lagarde.

The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board meets on Monday to discuss a staff proposal to include China’s yuan, or renminbi as it’s also known, in an exclusive group of currencies that make up the basket of the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDR).

The prospects of inclusion, which will represent public acknowledgement of China’s heft in the global economy, look pretty high given that the US, a major investor in the fund, has backed the move, as has the IMF’s Managing Director Christine Lagarde.

Here’s what you need to know about why this change matters to global markets.

So, what exactly is the SDR?

The SDR is a type of international reserve asset that the IMF created in 1969 to buttress the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates that was established at the end of World War II.

Back then, countries could use gold holdings and widely accepted currencies to buy their local currencies overseas in order to maintain their exchange rates. But the supply of gold and the dollar could not keep pace with the growth in world trade or new developments in financial markets. So the IMF created an asset that could be exchanged for freely usable currencies.

Countries are allocated SDRs in proportion to the IMF quotas they pay. They can use SDRs to make payments for future quota increases, to settle debts they owe to the IMF, which uses SDRs as a system of account, or to rebalance their reserves.

The importance of SDRs waned somewhat after the Bretton Woods system collapsed in 1973 and countries let their currencies move more freely in line with market forces. Still, SDRs came in handy during the global financial crisis when they helped supplement member countries’ official reserves. As of September 2015, SDRs worth USD 204.1 billion had been created and allocated to IMF’s members. This number is equivalent to about USD 280 billion.

Currently, the value of an SDR is based on a basket of four currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, pound sterling, and the dollar. At Monday’s meeting, a decision will be made on whether the yuan should be added to this group.

It’s important to note that the SDR is not a currency nor a claim on the IMF. Instead, holders of SDRs can exchange them for currencies that make up the basket, through deals with other SDR holders.

Why is the yuan’s inclusion a big deal?

For one, a potential inclusion for the yuan would be the biggest change to the basket since 1999, when the euro was created, said Raymond Yeung, a senior economist at ANZ.

The yuan would officially be recognized as a reserve currency, in a reflection of the changing dynamic of the world’s economy.

Central banks use their reserves of foreign currencies to buy their own currency or pay international debts. The inclusion of the yuan would mean central banks who tend to hold their foreign exchange reserves in dollars or euros could have an alternative. For many emerging markets, trade linkages with China are already strong and now their reserves could reflect this relationship.

Finally, after nearly four decades of reforms, the Chinese currency would be considered to meet the criteria of being “freely usable,” passing the IMF’s test on convertibility, Yeung said. China’s taking steps towards a more open, market-oriented economy and policymakers have cited the inclusion in the SDR basket as a crucial aspect of this metamorphosis.

Will there be a surge in demand for the yuan?

Not immediately, at least. Even if the IMF’s Executive Board gives the go-ahead on Monday, the yuan won’t be added to the SDR basket until September 2016. So that leaves IMF members with enough time to respond to the change in the basket’s composition.

Claudio Piron and Adarsh Sinha at Bank of America Merrill Lynch estimate demand for the yuan created by IMF members rearranging their SDRs to be worth USD 35 billion, not a particularly large number for an economy of China’s size.

But the long-term implications could be more profound.

Estimates by Piron and Sinha suggest central banks already hold around USD 80 billion in yuan reserves. Assuming the currency eventually reaches a similar share of international reserves as the pound and the yen, the additional demand could be about USD 370 billion according to their calculations.

A note of caution, however. This magnitude of change in global reserves takes at least three years, and usually longer, the BoAML analysts say. This gradual pace of inflows related to the yuan’s rise as a reserve currency will be more than matched by the liberalization of outflows.

Still, as the yuan gains in importance as a reserve currency, China’s bond market could become more international. According to Piron and Sinha, China’s bond market is the world’s third largest but foreign ownership is a measly 3 percent. As more countries start parking their reserves in yuan, the number should climb as risk-averse central banks typically favor holding government bonds.

This number could climb to 20 percent of outstanding bonds, looking at the average historical record of neighboring Asian bond markets, they say.

Hold on, what about reforms?

Chinese authorities tend to intervene in their financial markets just a wee bit more than peers whose currencies tend to enjoy reserve status. There are also controls on how much money Chinese investors can send out of the country and how much domestic assets overseas investors can buy.

Analysts and economists expect some steps to address these issues but the steps are understandably (and wisely) expected to be gradual. Yeung at ANZ believes China will have to meet certain requirements before September next year. The yuan is currently traded within a 3 percent daily allowable band with the euro, yen and other major currencies.

In other words, the yuan can rise or fall 3 percent from a daily reference rate set by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). The PBoC may still need to widen the trading band of the yuan with the dollar from 2 percent either side to 3 percent allowing a more flexible exchange rate regime, Yeung said.

Piron and Sinha believe that a SDR inclusion implies a commitment by China to continue down the path of gradual capital account liberalization and reduced intervention in currency markets.

“Moreover, the steady move higher in the USD/CNY fixing suggests the PBoC would allow the fixing to be more sensitive to broader US dollar trends than previously, making it reflect market conditions better,” they say.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Chinese stocks open higher after Friday’s sharp slide

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

US stocks closed mixed on Friday due to a 3 percent decline in oil prices. Oil tumbled USD 1.33, or 3.09 percent, to USD 41.71 a barrel as the dollar index, which hit a fresh eight-month high, added additional pressure to an oversupplied market.

Chinese equities opened higher on Monday, following their worst weekly performance last week since August. Elsewhere, other Asian equities traded mostly in the red, on the back of a mixed close from Wall Street last week.

US stocks closed mixed on Friday due to a 3 percent decline in oil prices. Oil tumbled USD 1.33, or 3.09 percent, to USD 41.71 a barrel as the dollar index, which hit a fresh eight-month high, added additional pressure to an oversupplied market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 15 points, or 0.08 percent, lower at 17,798.5 while the S&P 500 was up by 1.24 points, or 0.06 percent, to 2,090. The Nasdaq was up 11.4 points, or 0.22 percent, at 5,128.

Chinese stocks back in the green

The Shanghai Composite was back in positive territory in early morning trade, up 8 points, or 0.22 percent, at 3,444 although the limited gains suggest investors continue to remain concerned over the ongoing investigations of Chinese brokerages by regulators.

Last week, the China Securities and Regulatory Commission formally launched investigations into brokerages to weed out short selling and speculation.

Brokerages were trading mixed in early trade. Shares of Citic Securities were down 1.45 percent while Founder Securities and China Merchants were up 1.31 and 0.2 percent. Haitong Securities, which was not trading on Friday, plunged 9.34 percent.

Chinese banks were also mostly positive at the open as shares of Bank of China, CCB, and Bank of Commerce were up between 0.48 and 1.27 percent.

There was some optimism on the back of the news that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is expected to announce its decision on Monday over the inclusion of the yuan into its Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket of currencies, making the yuan officially recognized reserve currency.

Nikkei trades 0.32 percent lower

Japan’s Nikkei 225 traded 63 points, or 0.32 percent lower at 19,820 despite official data released this morning showing an uptick in industrial production and retail sales for October.

Japanese blue chip companies opened mixed, with most of them trading flat or in the red. Shares of Sony, Canon, and Mitsubishi Electric were down while Toyota was flat. Toshiba shares were up 2.29 percent as the struggling company said last week it would consider selling stake in its semiconductor business to raise funds as it recovers from its accounting scandal earlier this year.

Kospi dips over 1 percent

The Seoul Kospi was down 1.33 percent on Monday morning, as investors remain cautious over Asian equities.

Blue chip and tech companies were mostly down on the back of a surprise decline in industrial output for October. Industrial output fell 1.4 percent from the previous month as manufacturing lagged.

Shares of consumer electronics giant Samsung, LG Electronics, LG Display, steel manufacturer Posco, and KB Financial Group seeing between 0.7 and 3 percent declines. Shares of SK Hynix and Hyundai Motor bucked the trend and were up 1.25 and 0.33 percent.

Elsewhere, shares of Kakao Corp and KT Corp rallied after a consortium led by the two companies won a preliminary license from the Financial Services Commission (FSC) to launch South Korea’s first internet-only bank, according to reports.

ASX down 0.49 percent; commodities weigh

The ASX 200 traded 25 points, or 0.49 percent lower at 5,177 following a drop in oil prices and a flat finish for industrial metals last week.

Resources and commodities producers were mostly in the red in early trading.

Shares of miners Mount Gibson were up 1.32 percent, Sandfire Resources down 2.38 percent. Atlas Iron down 4.55 percent and BC Iron down 2.08 percent

BHP Billiton was down 2.4 percent as news broke that Brazil’s federal and state governments plan to sue the miner for 20 billion reais (USD 5.24 billion) in damages for the disaster at the Samarco iron ore mine earlier this month.

A tailings dam burst in the mine, unleashing 60 million cubic meters of mud and mine waste, killing at least 13 people and polluting a major river valley, according to Reuters.

BHP co-owns Samarco with Vale, the biggest iron ore miner.

Gold miners felt the effects of lower gold prices, opening mostly in negative territory. Last Friday, spot gold closed 1.2 percent lower at USD 1,057.5, its lowest price in nearly six year due to continued pressure from a strong US dollar.

Newcrest Mining and Evolution Mining saw early losses of 3.35 percent and 3.19 percent respectively while Alacer Gold was down 1.51 percent. Kingsgate saw a positive uptick of 0.79 percent in its share prices.

Oil producers were trading in positive territory despite a drop in oil prices in US trading on Friday. Shares of Santos, Oil Search, and Woodside Petroleum were up 0.5, 0.06, and 0.07 percent respectively.

On the data front, investors will be keeping an eye on Friday’s non farms payroll data for November in the US, which are likely to give further indication on whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December.

In Asia-Pacific, a number of countries including Australia, India, and South Korea will be releasing their Q3 gross domestic product (GDP) data this week, the broadest measure of economic health.

China will be releasing its Purchasing Managers Index, a measure of its manufacturing sector later in the week, while Japan will announce industrial production and retail sales numbers later today.

Evan Lucas, market strategist at spreadbetter IG, said in a note investors will be watching a build up of yuan devaluation again.

“Friday’s intraday collapse on the Chinese markets has been put down to the investigations into ‘margin financing and short selling’ at the three largest brokerage firms in China,” he wrote. “However the fact that price action went global (Chinese ADR’s were punished on the weekend) suggests something bigger – this could be the next leg of the July – August move.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Putin orders sanctions against Turkey

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The decree includes a ban on some goods and forbids extensions of labor contracts for Turks working in Russia as of Jan. 1

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday called for sanctions against Turkey, following the downing this week by Turkey of a Russian warplane.

The decree published on the Kremlin’s website Saturday came hours after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had voiced regret over the incident, saying his country was “truly saddened” by the event and wished it hadn’t occurred.

The decree includes a ban on some goods and forbids extensions of labor contracts for Turks working in Russia as of Jan. 1.. It doesn’t specify what goods are to be banned or give other details, but it also calls for ending chartered flights from Russia to Turkey and for Russian tourism companies to stop selling vacation packages that would include a stay in Turkey.

Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev earlier in the week had ordered his cabinet to develop a list of goods to be sanctioned.

Read More: Putin ‘fully mobilized’ to confront Turkey: Spokesman

Putin’s decree also calls for ending visa-free travel between Russia and Turkey and orders the tightening of control over Turkish air carriers in Russia “for security reasons.” A Kremlin statement said the decree was issued “to protect Russian citizens from crimes.”

Erdogan’s expression of regret Saturday was the first since Tuesday’s incident in which Turkish F-16 jets shot down the Russian jet on grounds that it had violated Turkey’s airspace despite repeated warnings to change course. It was the first time in half a century that a NATO member shot down a Russian plane and drew a harsh response from Moscow.

“We are truly saddened by this incident,” Erdogan said. “We wish it hadn’t happened as such, but unfortunately such a thing has happened. I hope that something like this doesn’t occur again.”

Addressing supporters in the western city of Balikesir, Erdogan said neither country should allow the incident to escalate and take a destructive form that would lead to “saddening consequences.”

He renewed a call for a meeting with President Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of a climate conference in Paris next week, saying it would be an opportunity to overcome tensions.

Erdogan’s friendly overture however, came after he again vigorously defended Turkey’s action and criticized Russia for its operations in Syria.

“If we allow our sovereign rights to be violated … then the territory would no longer be our territory,” Erdogan said.

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu also said he hoped a meeting between Erdogan and Putin would take place in Paris.

“In such situations it is important to keep the channels of communication open,” he said.

Putin has denounced the Turkish action as a “treacherous stab in the back,” and has insisted that the plane was downed over Syrian territory in violation of international law. He has also refused to take telephone calls from Erdogan. Putin’s foreign affairs adviser, Yuri Ushakov, said Friday that the Kremlin had received Erdogan’s request for a meeting, but wouldn’t say whether such a meeting is possible.

Asked why Putin hasn’t picked up the phone to respond to Erdogan’s two phone calls, he said that “we have seen that the Turkish side hasn’t been ready to offer an elementary apology over the plane incident.”

After the incident, Russia deployed long-range S-400 air defense missile systems to a Russian air base in Syria just 50 kilometers (30 miles) south of the border with Turkey to help protect Russian warplanes, and the Russian military warned it would shoot down any aerial target that would pose a potential threat to its planes.

Russia has since also restricted tourist travel to Turkey, left Turkish trucks stranded at the border, confiscated large quantities of Turkish food imports and started preparing a raft of broader economic sanctions.

On Saturday Turkey issued a travel warning urging its nationals to delay non-urgent and unnecessary travel to Russia, saying Turkish travelers were facing “problems” in the country. It said Turks should delay travel plans until “the situation becomes clear.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Iran reveals framework for oil and gas contracts

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

During the two-day Tehran Conference, oil executives from European and Asian companies including France’s Total Group, Norway’s Statoil,BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Repsol, China’s Sinopec as well as companies from India, Pakistan and Oman, will hear about the details of the new scheme.

Iran has revealed the framework of oil and gas contracts to lure back international oil companies, offering more flexible terms on oil price fluctuations and investment risks to make the sector financially attractive.

During the two-day Tehran Conference, oil executives from European and Asian companies including France’s Total Group, Norway’s Statoil,BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Repsol, China’s Sinopec as well as companies from India, Pakistan and Oman, will hear about the details of the new scheme. There was also an energy adviser from the UK government, according to a western diplomat.

The Iran Petroleum Contract (IPC) officially puts an end to about two decades of a buyback system that prevented foreign companies from booking reserves or taking equity stakes in Iranian companies. Under some circumstances, the new model allows reserves to be booked, but foreign companies would still not own oilfields. Accordingly, the National Iranian Oil Company has exclusive ownership rights over resources.

Read More: Iran seeks cooperation with Russia on Energy

“We do not claim that this is an ideal and flawless scheme but it can address the needs of both National Iranian Oil Company and international oil companies,” Iran’s oil minister, Bijan Namdar Zanganeh, said.

The Islamic republic, which has the world’s largest gas reserves and fourth-biggest oil reserves, plans to increase its oil production capacity to about 5m barrels a day by the end of the decade from about 1mb/d since sanctions were introduced in 2012.

The new model, some details of which have been disclosed over the past year, is supposed to increase foreign companies’ profits by basing the fee on the risk of the fields, allowing contracts to last for up to 25 years and putting no ceiling on capital expenditure.

 

The IPC, according to Iranian officials, is a risk service contract by which the Iranian and foreign contractors will bear the risks of the operation. However, a reward system envisaged would entitle contractors to a fee per barrel that would be paid as profit to the company and contractors will also be entitled to an increase in profits in face of dramatic oil price fluctuations.

The buyback scheme proved hugely unpopular with multinationals and deterred investors even before US and EU sanctions over Iran’s nuclear program were tightened in 2012.

Some representative of international companies said they had to assess the details more precisely. One western oil official said it seemed the contract was “well-studied” and “the homework was well-done”. But he added that the applicable law did not clarify whether disputes could be referred to international arbitration.

Another western oil official said the contract was “a good step in the right direction and better than the buyback model.

The long-awaited conference has been overshadowed by uncertainty over how international banks will react to the implementation of July’s landmark nuclear agreement with world powers. It is not yet clear whether US sanctions will affect major businesses with interests in the US when international restrictions are lifted early next year.

“Banks have openly told us that they will be the last to enter Iran’s market,” said a western oil executive at the conference. “Our problems are about returns and being able to operate.”

The absence of American companies or their subsidiaries in Europe and the Middle East at the conference is a reminder of the continuation of US restrictions as well as opposition inside the country to the US “infiltration” – a new term used by hardliners opposed to opening up the country after the nuclear deal.

“We did not oppose their presence. They can come and use this opportunity,” Mr Zanganeh said of American companies, adding that he had not heard of any opposition. When asked if American companies would attend a future conference, possibly in London in February, he said, “I hope so.”

Iranian oil executives confirmed to the Financial Times that holding this week’s conference in Tehran, rather than London, was a response to domestic political infighting.

“As you see there are no American companies here now and it does not make sense for such a conference not to have Americans,” an oil ministry official said.

Iranian officials at the conference reminded international companies of the importance of domestic participation in joint ventures in almost all future projects under the IPC – in a clear move to allay domestic concerns about foreign exploitation of the country’s natural resources.

“This is supposed to be a conference to lure international companies but the minister highlights ‘resistance economy’ and how Iranian companies should be strengthened,” said an Iranian oil businessman. “Domestic pressure on the oil ministry and continuation of hostility toward the US are creating obstacles.”

Iran is expected to introduce about 50 oil and gas projects – both brown and green fields – at the Tehran conference but it is not clear when the companies will be able to bid or start direct negotiations.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
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 5 Minutes Read

Black Friday sales slip from year prior: ShopperTrak

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

ShopperTrak’s preliminary figures estimated combined retail sales of USD 12.1 billion over Thanksgiving and Black Friday, a projected decrease from the comparable year-ago period.

Brick and mortar retailers saw less foot traffic on Thanksgiving and the day after—the national retail extravaganza otherwise known as Black Friday—as consumers appeared to get an early start on holiday shopping and turned out in stores in fewer numbers, a retail tracking firm said on Saturday.

ShopperTrak’s preliminary figures estimated combined retail sales of USD 12.1 billion over Thanksgiving and Black Friday, a projected decrease from the comparable year-ago period. The firm added that Thanksgiving Day grossed just shy of USD 2 billion, while Black Friday pulled in more than USD 10 billion.

The firm expects brick and mortar sales to rise by 2.4 percent during this year’s holiday, it added. Separately, data from analytics firm RetailNext showed overall sales for both days fell 1.5 percent as customer traffic flattened, pushing down average spending per shopper by 1.4 percent.

The impact of the two day sales period, called “Black Friday” because massive sales give a big profit boost to retailers’ bottom line, has become questionable in recent years.

Big online promotions and pre-holiday sales have lured in shoppers, some of whom are becoming leery about the big crowds and in-store pandemonium that often punctuates Black Friday. Anecdotal evidence suggests that consumers shifted their purchases from physical stores to websites.

Read More: Neiman Marcus’ website goes down

“This year, we saw Black Friday ads emerge before Halloween, as retailers aimed to get at the shopper’s wallet early,” said Kevin Kearns, ShopperTrak chief revenue officer. “And from our data, we saw greater retail sales generated prior to the Black Friday weekend, which is a result of retailers successfully elongating the holiday season.”

Despite the buying bonanza being dogged by bad press, including reports of numerous fights breaking out in stores and crowds gathering immediately after Thanksgiving dinner, Kearns called Black Friday “the biggest sales day of the year” which represents the firing pistol for the holiday shopping season, he added.

Moreover, ShopperTrak data indicates consumers may be getting savvier about purchases, Kearns added.

“Fewer visits on both days reinforce the trend we’ve seen throughout the year, in which shoppers are researching products ahead of time, targeting their store visits, and arriving in-store with the intention of making a purchase,” added Kearns. “The decrease in shopper visits on Thanksgiving Day also lends itself to the social backlash against store openings on the holiday.”

ShopperTrak will release more details about this weekend’s sales on Tuesday.

–Reuters contributed to this article.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

QE quarterback: Fed sees ‘through Wall Street’s eyes’

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The Fed is now taking baby steps toward ending its crisis-era policy, laying the groundwork for a widely expected interest rate hike in a few weeks.

This month marks the seventh anniversary of the Federal Reserve’s first round of quantitative easing — the program that more than quadrupled the central bank’s balance sheet, sparking a debate over the limits of monetary policy.

The Fed is now taking baby steps toward ending its crisis-era policy, laying the groundwork for a widely expected interest rate hike in a few weeks. That hasn’t allayed the concerns of a former Fed official who helped implement QE.

Andrew Huszar is a Fed veteran who served as the “quarterback” for the world’s largest stimulus program by managing the purchase of more than USD 1 trillion worth of mortgage-backed bonds — only to renounce his support for the entire effort in a 2013 public apology. In a recent interview with CNBC, Huszar insisted the excess liquidity created by the Fed has done more to enrich Wall Street than the average citizen.

By swelling its balance sheet to a record USD 4.5 trillion through three separate forays into bond buying, the central bank has “lost some perspective,” Huszar told CNBC. “It’s expanded its footprint so largely that’s it’s seeing the world too much through Wall Street’s eyes,” he said, speaking of the “unintended consequences” of QE that are coming due.

As blue chip and technology shares have soared — major benchmarks hit record highs earlier this year — key indicators such as consumer spending, job creation and wages have remained stagnant.

“Consumer spending over the last seven years has been the most anemic on record,” having grown by less than 2 percent, Huszar said. “Unless you think the top 20 percent of Americans can fuel the entire economy, you have a situation where we’re not going to have enough consumption to fuel GDP.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?