Pepsi bottler wants to make the most of heat wave and growing refrigeration in villages
Summary
Varun Beverages expects strong sales growth in 2QCY24 led by heat waves, elections, and lower base in the corresponding quarter last year, brokerage firm Motilal Oswal pointed out.
India’s Pepsi bottler Varun Beverages’ shares neared the 52-week high in early trade on May 14, a day after the firm released a strong first-quarter earnings report.
Varun Beverages shares traded 2.15% higher at ₹1,509.35 on NSE at 10:24 am.
The gains come as Pepsi India bottler benefited from an uptick in demand for soft drinks in the January to March 2024 period due to an early onset of summer. The company witnessed almost 100% utilisation of the plant in April 2024.
It noted that consumers opted more for cold beverages amid the sweltering summer heat, helping boost the firm’s bottom-line numbers. It expects the strong demand trend to continue in the April to June 2024 quarter as well amid heatwave conditions.
Varun Beverages expects strong sales growth in 2QCY24 led by heat waves, elections, and a lower base in the corresponding quarter last year, brokerage firm Motilal Oswal pointed out.
The analyst has given it a buy rating and set the target price of ₹1,720, implying it sees a potential upside of 16% from the May 13 closing price.
According to Motilal Oswal, there are five reasons why it expects the earnings momentum to continue in the June quarter. Increased penetration in newly acquired territories in India and Africa, higher acceptance of newly launched products, continued expansion in capacity and distribution reach, growing refrigeration in rural and semi-rural areas, and a scale-up in international operations.
For the current quarter, the brokerage expects Varun Beverages to witness a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% in revenue, 22% in EBITDA and 29% in profit after tax (PAT) over calendar years 2023-26.
Morgan Stanley has an overweight call on the stock with a target price of ₹1,701. It highlighted that the bottle makers’ Q1 earnings were 13% ahead of estimate and 11% above consensus with better margins. The management is optimistic about near-term demand trends in India and growth drivers in international markets, it added.
Meanwhile, Nuvama also expects the June quarter to be bumper due to a harsh summer and a low base.
The brokerage commentary comes against the backdrop of Varun Beverages reporting revenue of ₹4,398 crore for the January to March quarter, which on a year-on-year basis, was a growth of 11%. Net profit for the period increased by 25% to ₹537.2 crore. earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation increased by 24% to ₹990 crore, while EBITDA margin expanded by 230 basis points to 22.5% from 20.2% last year.
The company’s realisation per case increased by 3.5% during the quarter, when compared to the year-ago period, which reflected an improved product mix in India and higher contributions from the international markets, the company said in a statement.
Varun Beverages also said it is focusing on reducing sugar content in its products. Nearly 46% of the consolidated sales volume of the company came from no-sugar or low-sugar products.
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