Tata Motors shares drop 8% after multiple downgrades post cautious commentary
Summary
The management of Tata Motors said that the margins for JLR in financial year 2025 will remain flat due to higher marketing spends and added that the June quarter appears weak after a seasonally strong March quarter.
Shares of Tata Motors fell as much as 8% on Monday, marking their biggest single-day drop since February 2022.
Many analysts tracking Tata Motors Ltd. have downgraded the commercial and passenger vehicle manufacturer after the management’s cautious commentary for financial year 2025 and mixed results for the March quarter.
Brokerage firm UBS called Tata Motors’ March quarter results “underwhelming” and as a result, maintained its “Sell” rating on the stock. It cited three reasons for sticking to its recommendation.
First, it sees margin risks for Jaguar Land Rover on weakening product mix.
Second, the rising risks from hybrid vehicles has resulted in no substantial market share gain for the Passenger Vehicle and Electrical Vehicle businesses.
And lastly, UBS expects Tata Motors’ India Commercial Vehicles business to remain subdued in the near term.
During its earnings call, the management of Tata Motors said that the margins for JLR in financial year 2025 will remain flat due to higher marketing spends and added that the June quarter appears weak after a seasonally strong March quarter.
Nomura has downgraded Tata Motors from “buy” to “neutral” with a price target of ₹1,141. It said that JLR could face demand risks going forward and that there are rising risks to global auto demand.
The brokerage also said that the stock is trading in a “fair value zone” at 5.4 times financial year 2026 Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA.
Morgan Stanley has downgraded Tata Motors to “equalweight” from its earlier rating of “underweight” but raised its price target to ₹1,100 from ₹1,030 earlier. The brokerage said that the good news is already priced into the stock.
On the other hand, Goldman Sachs has also downgraded the stock to “neutral” from the earlier rating of “buy” and cut its price target to ₹1,040 from ₹1,100 earlier.
On the flip side, JPMorgan has maintained its “overweight” rating on Tata Motors and raised its price target to ₹1,115 from ₹1,050 earlier. It said that the street will hope for a repeat of financial year 2024, where Tata Motors started with a JLR margin guidance of 6% and upped it to 8% and achieved 8.5% by the end of the year.
Jefferies has also raised its price target on Tata Motors to ₹1,250, while maintaining its “buy” recommendation saying that despite some industry demand concerns in India, it continues to like Tata Motors given the strong business cycle at JLR, a crucial PV launch in India and strong deleveraging.
Shares of Tata Motors are trading 8% lower at ₹964.65. The stock is the top loser on the Nifty 50 index. Shares had risen 33% so far this year, after having doubled in 2023. Tata Motors was the top Nifty gainer last year and the only stock that doubled in value.
Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout
3 Mins Read
Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter