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India cuts natural gas price to $7.82 per mmBtu for January

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

This adjustment brings the domestic natural gas price to its lowest level since July 2023.

India reduced the price of domestic natural gas on Monday, January 1, to $7.82 per mmBtu (million British thermal units), down from $8.47 per mmBtu in December. This adjustment brings the domestic natural gas price to its lowest level since July 2023.

“The revised prices will be applicable from January 1 to January 31, 2024,” the Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas said in a statement.

Additionally, there have been minor adjustments in the prices of 19-kg cylinders, reflecting a decrease ranging from ₹0.50 to ₹4.50.

The price of domestic natural gas is now decided based on the price of the Indian crude basket. Earlier, the price of domestic natural gas was decided based on the price of four big gas trading hubs of the world — Henry Hub, Albany, National Balancing Point (UK) and Russian gas.

The gas price is now fixed every month. Under the old formula, the price of gas was fixed every six months.

The government had formed a committee in October 2022 to decide the new formula. The government prepared the new formula following recommendations from the committee.

Meanwhile, crude futures lost over 10% in 2023 in a year of trading marked by geopolitical turmoil and concerns about the oil output levels of major producers around the world.

Brent crude on Friday, the last trading day of 2023, settled at $77.04 a barrel, down 11 cents or 0.14%.

US West Texas Intermediate crude settled at $71.65 a barrel, down 12 cents or 0.17%.

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

GAIL shares gain as gas sourcing cost to come down due to fall in US LNG prices

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

GAIL share price: The shares rose as much as 3.33 percent to Rs 151.85 on the BSE in early trade but later pared gains to close 0.37 percent higher at Rs 147.

GAIL shares closed higher on Wednesday as investors expect the company to benefit from a sharp drop in US natural gas prices due to a fire incident in a Freeport LNG (liquified natural gas) terminal.

The shares rose as much as 3.33 percent to Rs 151.85 on the BSE in early trade but later pared gains to close 0.37 percent higher at Rs 147. The stock has gained for the last two sessions.

Freeport LNG is estimated to be exporting around 57 million standard cubic metres of gas each day, of which, 10 percent goes to Europe. Now, due to the fire incident, Europe’s import volume has reduced, thereby leading to more gas availability in the US. Hence, the gas prices have seen a sharp drop in the US.

While partial operations may be restored in the next 90 days, full operations are unlikely to be in place until late 2022.

GAIL is likely to benefit from the lower US prices as nearly 50 percent of its imported LNG comes from the country.

The company buys LNG on contract from the international market to sell at contracted and/or spot prices in domestic as well as global markets. It has 20-year deals to buy about 5.8 million tonnes of US LNG every year.

On the back of this development, Jefferies has maintained its ‘buy’ stance on the stock with a target price of Rs 180 per share.

Jefferies added that the fire incident could prove to be a tailwind to GAIL’s trading and petrochemical profitability in the next year.

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

Crude oil price firm at $114 per barrel on tight supply and natural gas at 14-year high

crude oil, crude oil futures, brent crude, US WTI

Crude oil price is holding around $114 per barrel because of tight supplies. The US refineries are processing at the highest pace since the pandemic began, at 93 percent. Self-sanctions from many European companies continue to add a premium to prices.

Also Read: What to do in this turbulent market as biggies take a big beating — use this time wisely, say experts

However, product prices seem to be running even higher. The US natural gas price is at a 2008 high, above $9 per MMBtu. The markets believe that $10-11 per MMBtu would be high in this rally. The all-time high is at around $13 per MMBtu.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

Natural gas prices in the US hit 14-year high, details here

The prices of natural gas have continued to run up. In the European markets and the UK, the prices are trading at record highs but in the US markets as well, the prices have hit a 14-year high at $8 per mmbtu. For the Indian markets, the natural gas prices were at Rs 600. Some profit taking has been seen in the global and the Indian markets right now.

However, there are concerns about below normal temperature and that would mean higher demand continuing from the western world, it also has to do with the record US exports which is trying to make up for the Russian losses to the European Union.

The US inventories are at a 3-year lows, are lower as compared to the previous year and are nearly 17-18 percent lower as compared to the 5-year average.

The US is exporting record LNG Volumes to EU. The volumes have grown 13 percent year-on-year (YoY). However, the production for the same period has gone up by 5 percent, which is lower than what was seen in the last year.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch all stock market updates here

Friday’s top brokerage calls: Morgan Stanley on ONGC, RIL amid gas price hike; check more

BSE Sensex stocks trader
Nomura | Japan-based global brokerage says that upstream gas producers are the key beneficiaries of the hike and it is negative for gas consumers. GAIL is likely to be worst impacted with end prices market linked. It further added that sharp price hikes might hurt India’s gas demand and the pricing formula needs a relook.
Morgan Stanley | The global brokerage prefers gas producers such as ONGC and Reliance Industries Ltd, while retains ‘underweight’ stance on gas midstream players such as Petronet LNG and Gujarat Gas. It further expects a 25 percent hike in October as gas markets remain tight.
CLSA | The brokerage sees it as big positive for ONGC and Oil India with a massive upside of up to 160 percent. It further adds that reforms are not likely to be rolled back amid high energy prices and the hike should be manageable for IGL or MGL if the domestic gas supply is reinstated although October 2022 hike may remain a lingering concern on the second half margin for the two companies.

GAIL: Looking at 10% transmission volume growth in FY23

State-owned GAIL (India) Ltd on Thursday reported its highest quarterly net profit in the quarter ended on December 31, 2021 as a rise in natural gas prices helped improve the company’s margins. Net profit came in at Rs 3,287.99 crore, or Rs 7.40 per share, in October-December 2021 and that was more than double as compared to Rs 1,487.33 crore, or Rs 3.30 a share, in the same period a year back.

On Q4 demand, Manoj Jain, CMD of GAIL said, “The numbers in terms of volumes are going to be similar to what in Q3. From the volume perspective, whether it is gas transmission or gas trading, the numbers are going to be similar. In terms of transmission volumes we are looking at growth of around 10 percent and in terms of trading volumes, also it’s going to be 8 to 10 percent at least for the FY23.”

He added, “In terms of value wise, because the prices may fluctuate here and there, but at least for Q4, we expect the prices also to be in the same range almost a little bit lower than Q3, but otherwise, the range is going to be similar. We expect a stable Q4 similar to Q3.”

For full management commentary, watch the video.

-With PTI inputs

Read Here: GAIL Q3 results: Net profit jumps 15% QoQ to Rs 3,288 crore, beats Street estimates

Natural Gas prices continue to surge amid higher demand, rising Russia-Ukraine tensions

Natural gas prices continue to surge amid rising tensions between the US-led NATO and Russia over the Ukraine crisis. The commodity witnessed 10 percent gains in trade on January 27, 2022 and further added more than 2 percent in today’s trade.

Also Read: Commodities round-up: Crude oil price near 7-year high; Brent at $91/bbl

February futures settled nearly 46 percent on the higher side in yesterday’s trade. The March futures also gained up by 10 percent and the prices are trading above $4 levels. There has been a huge massive short squeeze coming for this commodity and with the kind of fundamentals that we are looking at, the commodity does look bullish from hereon.

The cold weather forecast in the US and the rest of the world has led to higher demand there, the US inventories in the meanwhile have seen the highest draw since February 2021. There is strong gas demand from Europe and Asia and then the US gas export plants also are running at record highs.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has yet another major reason.

Watch the accompanying video for more details.

Catch all stock market updates here

Commodities round-up: Natural gas prices jump 4% overnight; details here

Within the energy market, the natural gas prices has gained up by 4 percent overnight. There are cold weather forecasts, the natural gas wells have frozen in Texas, Mexico, North Dakota and that has been supportive. The demand from Europe and Asia continues to be at historic highs and the markets do believe that the US will continue to be the biggest LNG exporter in 2022 as well.

Watch the accompanying video for more details.

Catch all stock market updates here.

Commodities round-up: Crude oil dips on demand concerns, rising Omicron cases

Gold prices gained on safe-haven buying but everything else seems to be on the weaker side especially the crude oil prices because of demand concerns.

A 2.5 percent decline was seen in crude on Friday, December 17 and Monday morning it’s nearly 2 percent down.

Rising COVID-19 cases, travel restriction concerns and decline in equity markets seem to be weighing on commodities.

Also Read: JPMorgan bullish on crude oil, says prices can scale to $150/barrel

An increase in supplies globally and the global tightening cycle is underway and that seems to be weighing on as well.

Therefore, not just crude, but gasoline prices and natural gas also trading at 5-month lows.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Natural gas prices rebound, here’s why

There was a 10 percent of a decline in natural gas prices on December 6 trade. However, it is trading slightly on the higher side right now.

The prices are trading at a five month low at USD 3.6. The prices are 40 percent off from the 12-year highs that were seen in the month of October at around USD 6.3.

For more details, watch the accompanying video.

Catch all market updates here.