Pharma analyst names preferred picks in the sector
Summary
Param Desai, Research Analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher believes any correction in JB Pharma stock can be used as an opportunity to buy.
Param Desai, Research Analyst at Prabhudas Lilladher, lists JB Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals and Torrent Pharma as his top picks in the midcap space.
“I think that their earnings trajectory looks very positive (for JB Pharma). Around 80 85% of their profitability comes from domestic pharma plus contract manufacturing, where the visibility is very strong. They can easily double their revenue in the next three to four years on the contract manufacturing side which is a very high margin in nature. So earnings growth visibility is extremely strong for the next two to three years,” he noted.
Any correction in JB Pharma stock can be a good buying opportunity, he added.
Desai also shared his view on the recent quarterly results in the pharma sector.
Cipla results were in line with his estimates and margin, he noted, remained healthy despite the traditionally weak fourth quarter in India.
“Its margin guidance of 24.5% to 25.5% was a positive surprise. Before Q4 numbers, my estimates were slightly below 24.5%. To that extent, it was positive,” he said.
They have a good pipeline of products although it will depend on timeline of launches. There are a few other challenges but there is potential for further uptick in margins.
For Dr Reddy’s, the significant contribution of cancer drug Revlimid in recent years has helped. However, Desai is worried that the base business margins excluding Revlimid have been disappointing.
He believes there is limited visibility in the US market for Dr Reddy’s once the $8 billion blockbuster cancer drug Revlimid benefit wanes off in April-March 2026, leading to a negative stance on the stock.
He is optimistic about Lupin due to the promising pipeline.
He highlighted the potential in the US market over the next four quarters, particularly mentioning the scale-up in Spiriva and upcoming niche launches.
Desai reaffirmed a positive outlook on Lupin, expecting strong performance in both the US market and margins in the near to medium term.
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