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LIC Housing Finance falls over 12% after weak show but management optimistic about Q3

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

LIC Housing Finance’s net profit was up, but the key profitability metric, net interest margin as well as net interest income and individual loan disbursements declined.

Shares of LIC Housing Finance slumped as much as 12.8 percent on Wednesday, a day after the company announced a 23 percent year-on-year growth in net profit at Rs 305 crore for the September quarter.

Though net profit was up, the key profitability metric, net interest margin — the difference between what it earns from lending and what it spends in cost of funds — stood at 1.80 percent, down from 2 percent a year ago. The NIM declined 2.54 percent quarter-on-quarter. Its net interest income, as well as individual loan disbursements, declined.

But Y Viswanatha Gowd, MD & CEO of LIC Housing Finance, told CNBC-TV18 in an interaction that the net interest margin would see improvement in the coming quarters. “We are confident that in the quarters to come, there will definitely be revenue improvement beyond what we have planned,” he said.

Gowd also said that the company was very sure and confident of achieving 15 percent growth in the loan book for FY23.

“Quarter three, we were very optimistic with all the targets set for the people down the line for our disbursements and the recovery. I am very sure that the results for the quarter three should be far, far better than the current one on all fronts,” he said.

Also Read: Karnataka Bank shares at 52-week high after best single-day gain in 17 years

The net interest income of the subsidiary of the country’s largest insurer, LIC, declined marginally by 0.4 percent year-on-year in the September quarter to Rs 1,12.9 crore but was down 27.8 percent quarter-on-quarter.

Here is a look at the firm’s loan disbursements:

Particulars (Rs crore) Q2FY23 Q2FY22 Q1FY23 YOY QOQ
Disbursements  16,786 16,110 15,201 4.2 10.43
Individual disbursements 14,300 14,330 13,131 -0.21 8.9
Developer disbursements 407 353 309 15.3 31.72
Other disbursements 2,079 1,427 1,761 45.69 18.06

The company said its provisions rose to Rs 6,522 crore on an expected credit loss basis and provision coverage ratio at 44 percent for stage three accounts as against Rs 5,355 crore in September 2021.

The stage three exposure on default declined to 4.9 percent from 5.1 percent in September 2021 and almost five percent in June 2022.

The firm’s shares were trading 9.5 percent lower on BSE at Rs 362.4 at 11:04 am.

Catch latest market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

With inputs from PTI

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Jefferies finds this mortgage firm better placed amid rising interest rates

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Jefferies raised its price target on LIC Housing Finance to Rs 510 while maintaining its buy rating on the stock. The stock is 8 percent below its 52-week high.

[wealthdesk shortname=”LIC Housing Fin” isinid=”INE115A01026″ bseid=”500253″ nseid=”LICHSGFIN” sector=”Finance – Housing” exchange=”nse”]

India’s second-largest housing finance company, LIC Housing Finance, is better placed as the global economy is going through an interest rate hike cycle, according to brokerage firm Jefferies. The brokerage maintained its “buy” recommendation on the company and raised its price target to Rs 510 from Rs 450, citing attractive valuations for the company. The revised price target is a 20 percent upside from Wednesday’s closing levels.

LIC Housing Finance has an outstanding loan book of Rs 2.52 lakh crore as of March 2022 with over 30 lakh customers. Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) is the company’s promoter and holds a 45 percent stake in the housing finance lender. The promoter infused a sum of Rs 2,335.5 crore in its subsidiary during the previous financial year.

The company also raised rates for new and existing home loans by 125 and 110 basis points respectively, including a 50 basis points hike last month. Jefferies expects an increase in the company’s portfolio spread, driven by 96 percent floating rate loans and 51 percent fixed rate liabilities, which in turn will aid overall spreads. It anticipates a 6 percent increase in the company’s Earnings Per Share with every 10 basis points rise in spreads.

In common terms, a spread is defined as the price a borrower pays above a benchmark yield to get a loan.

Jefferies anticipates 13 percent compounded growth over FY22-25 due to tepid growth in the Loan Against Property (LAP) book and a marginal decline in the developer book.

The company expects asset quality to improve in FY23 with Gross Stage 3 assets seen in the 3.2 percent to 3.5 percent range from 3.6 percent to 3.8 percent in FY22. With asset quality in retail housing stabilising, Jefferies anticipates incremental stress to moderate. However, Jefferies expects slippages in its wholesale book, especially the restructured one. It also projects credit costs to fall by 44 basis points over the next three years. “A 500 basis points change in wholesale NPA would impact credit costs by 15 basis points and book value by four percent,” the note said.

Other Key Takeaways:

  • Expect compounded EPS growth of 26 percent and Return on Equity of 13.5 percent to 14.5 percent over FY22-25
  • Higher spreads could support better valuations multiple
  • Should benefit from strong housing momentum in housing demand

Shares of LIC Housing Finance trade 0.6 percent higher at Rs 423.15. The stock is 8 percent away from its 52-week high.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Federal Bank, TVS Motor, LIC Housing, Asian Paints and more: Stocks that moved the most on Oct 22

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Headline indices ended in the red after witnessing a higher open on Friday. Nifty50 closed at 18114.90, down 0.4 percent and Sensex ended 0.2 percent lower at 60821.62. Benchmark indices though fared better than the midcap and smallcap stocks. Here are key stocks that moved the most today:

IRB Infrastructure Developers, Rail Vikas Nigam, Rail Vikas Nigam share price, IRB Infrastructure Developers share price, stock market
IRB Infrastructure Developers and Rail Vikas Nigam | These stocks gained the most on Nifty500 and ended 20 percent each.
TVS Motor Co, TVS Motor share price, TVS Motor results, stock market, TVS Motor
TVS Motor Co | With the company’s Q2 earnings surpassing estimates on all fronts, the stock closed 7 percent higher.
Can Fin Homes, Can Fin Homes share price, Can Fin Homes results, stock market
Can Fin Homes | The stock ended nearly 7 percent lower after the mortgage firm reported a decline of nearly 4 percent in its net profit for the September quarter.
LIC Housing Finance, LIC Housing Finance share price, LIC Housing Finance results, stock market
LIC Housing Finance | The scrip ended 7 percent lower as quarterly results disappointed the Street. The housing financier’s consolidated net profit for Q2 FY22 tanked 68 percent on year.
Asian Paints, Asian Paints share price, Asian Paints brokerage commentary, Asian Paints results, stock market
Asian Paints | Sombre commentary and rating downgrades by brokerage firms resulted in the stock ending down 1 percent. It had fallen over 3 percent earlier in the session but managed to recover some losses towards the end of the session.
Federal Bank, Federal Bank share price, Federal Bank results, stock market
Federal Bank | The banking stock closed 7 percent higher after reporting a sequential improvement in asset quality for the quarter ended September.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Friday’s top brokerage calls: JSW Steel, Asian Paints, LIC Housing and TVS Motor

Buy Sell market_stocks
Jefferies on JSW Steel, jsw steel, jsw steel price, stock market, brokerage calls
Jefferies on JSW Steel | The brokerage sees the company’s margin staying above the past years’, thereby maintaining its ‘buy’ rating on the stock. Jefferies has raised its EPS estimates for FY22-23 by 8-12 percent to factor in better performance by subsidiaries.
Morgan Stanley on LIC Housing, LIC housing share price, LIC housing, stock market, brokerage calls
Morgan Stanley on LIC Housing | The brokerage pointed out that a weak pre-provisioning operating profit driven by lower net interest income and higher expenses are key negatives. Morgan Stanley has an ‘underweight’ rating on the stock.
Morgan Stanley on TVS Motor, TVS Motor share price, TVS Motor, stock market, brokerage calls
Morgan Stanley on TVS Motor | The brokerage has maintained its underweight call on the company’s stock owing to the electric vehicle challenges and stretched valuations.
Jefferies on Asian Paints, Asian Paints, stock market, brokerage calls, Asian Paints share price
Jefferies on Asian Paints | The brokerage has trimmed the EPS estimate for the company by 10-15 percent and lack of visibility deserves a de-rating, the brokerage firm added. Jefferies has downgraded the stock rating to ‘underperform’.

Friday’s top brokerage calls: Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, LIC Housing, and more

Buy Sell market_stocks
Citi on LIC Housing: The brokerage has a ‘buy’ call on the stock with the target at Rs 565 per share. It noted that the company’s PAT is below estimations due to higher provisions and opex.
Citi on Tech Mahindra: The brokerage has a ‘buy’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 1,380 per share. The company has reported good first-quarter results with revenue/EBIT above expectations, the brokerage said.
Citi on TVS Motor: The brokerage has a ‘sell’ call on the stock with the target at Rs 530 per share. The brokerage is surprised by the company’s first-quarter realisations that drove the slight EBITDA beat, but higher capital costs resulted in a PAT miss, it said.
Goldman Sachs on Tech Mahindra: The brokerage has a ‘neutral’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 1,059 per share. It noted that the company has done better than expectations in this quarter but it remains on the sidelines given the lack of broad-based digital capabilities.
Jefferies on TVS Motor: The brokerage has a ‘buy’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 800 per share. The company reported its highest-ever gross-profit-per-vehicle, the brokerage said, adding that it is also turning aggressive on electric vehicles.
JPMorgan on Tech Mahindra: The brokerage has a ‘buy’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 1,250 per share. The company has reported strong Q1 earnings, the brokerage said, with a beat across revenues, margins, and profits.
JPMorgan on Colgate: The brokerage has a ‘neutral’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 1,850 per share. The company’s unexciting revenue momentum and peak margin mean there are no catalysts for EPS upgrades, the brokerage said.
Macquarie on LIC Housing: The brokerage has an ‘outperform’ rating on the stock with the target at Rs 600 per share. According to the brokerage, LIC Housing had a very weak quarter and the asset quality is disappointing.
 5 Minutes Read

Bullish on LIC Housing, Ujjivan; book profits in bulk drug firms: Centrum’s Maheshwari

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Any correction in the market is a good opportunity to buy financials, says Nischal Maheshwari of Centrum Broking.

Any correction in the market is a good opportunity to buy financials, says Nischal Maheshwari of Centrum Broking.

“There is a pause basically, given that there is some correction happening in the market I think these are all buying opportunity as far as financials are concerned,” Maheshwari told CNBC-TV18.

“There is some amount of profit taking which we are seeing, so these should be used to buy all these large banks. I believe that quality smallcap banks also should be looked at and some of the NBFCs also, but quality names,” he said.

Maheshwari said he is bullish on stocks like LIC Housing Finance and Ujjivan Financial Services.

He recommends booking profits in bulk drug stocks like Laurus Labs and Granules India, which have risen sharply over the past few months.

“Companies who have been big on the API (active pharmaceutical ingredients) side may not have the same kind of numbers basically which they have shown in the last two quarters because as we get out of these pandemic the hoarding which most of us have done basically of medicines, and that is what has led to record sales for these people, I think that is not going to happen in the next coming years. So you are not going to see same kind of growth what we saw in the last two quarters and for FY21.”

He added, “At these prices one should be taking away some profits from these stocks.”

To know more, watch this video.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on CNBCTV18.com are their own and not that of the website or its management. CNBCTV18.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

Monday’s top brokerage calls: Cadila Health, LIC Housing and more

Buy Sell market_stocks
CLSA on Cadila Health: The brokerage maintained a ‘buy’ call on the stock and raised its target to Rs 440 per share from Rs 400 earlier. The company aims to cut debt by Rs 800-1000 crore in FY21, it added.
Morgan Stanley on Cadila Health: The brokerage maintained ‘overweight’ call on the stock with a target at Rs 300 per share. It added that Cadila Health’s earnings concentration is waning for the company but expects the company to finalise Ph3 clinical trial protocol for Saroglitazar.
CLSA on LIC Housing: The brokerage maintained a ‘buy’ call on the stock but cut its target to Rs 350 per share from Rs 530 earlier. Asset quality has been weak since H2FY19 and CLSA expects it to remain under pressure for the next 18 months.
CLSA on Ramco Cements: The brokerage maintained a ‘sell’ call on the stock but raised target to Rs 515 per share from Rs 480 earlier.
CLSA on IRB Infra: The brokerage maintained a ‘buy’ call on the stock with a target at Rs 166 per share. The company has bagged Mumbai-Pune e-way concession again for 10 years and expects the new concession awards by NHAI from Q2, the brokerage added.
Credit Suisse on PNB: The brokerage maintained ‘underperform’ rating on the stock and cut its target to Rs 29 from Rs 32 earlier. It added that standalone operating performance is better than expectations in the March quarter led by loan growth.

These are Tuesday’s biggest brokerage calls: Hero Moto, Bharti Airtel and more

Sensex, Nifty, Bank Nifty, Nifty IT, Nifty FMCG, Nifty Auto, Nifty Metal, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Reliance Industries, TCS, Hindustan Unilever, BSE India, NSE India, Markets Today, Market News
CLSA on Bharti Airtel: The brokerage has raised its target price on Bharti Airtel from Rs 630 to Rs 680 per share.
CLSA on JSW Energy: The brokerage maintains ‘buy’ call on JSW Energy at a target price of Rs 85 per share. CLSA says the company is on track for profitable growth with its target to double its capacity over 3-5 years.
Credit Suisse on Cement: Global brokerage notes that cement prices in several regions corrected back to pre-March 2019 hike levels and that prices in the North have been best with 2/3rd retention of the hike. Credit Suisse has maintained ‘outperform’ call on Ambuja, ‘neutral’ on UltraTech and ACC and ‘underperform’ on Shree Cement.
Credit Suisse on JSW Steel: The brokerage maintains ‘outperform’ call on JSW Steel, sets a target price at Rs 320 per share.
Credit Suisse on LIC Housing: The global brokerage has downgraded LIC Housing Finance to ‘underperform’ from ‘outperform’. Credit Suisse says the possibility of a merger with IDBI Bank will remain an overhang on the stock.
Citi on COVID-19 Impact: The brokerage says a longer, U-shaped recovery is more likely than a V-shaped recovery as inventories will weigh on commodity prices for longer than it is assumed.
Credit Suisse Market Strategy: The global brokerage prefers ICICI Bank, SBI amongst banks, Power Grid in utilities, Tech Mahindra in IT and Bharti Airtel in Telecom.
Kotak Institutional Equities on COVID-19 Impact: The brokerage says prolonged production stoppages because of coronavirus will have supply risks for import-dependent sectors.
Morgan Stanley on Hero MotoCorp: The global brokerage maintains ‘underweight’ call on Hero MotoCorp at a target price of Rs 2,143 per share.
Morgan Stanley on JSPL: The global brokerage believes any restructuring of the international debt could improve the company’s cash flow. Morgan Stanley maintains ‘equal-weight’ stance on JSPL at a target price of Rs 195 per share.
Nomura on COVID-19 Impact: The global brokerage says India stands as the least vulnerable to coronavirus (COVID-19) in Asia ex-Japan. Nomura says disruption in imports will affect pharma, autos, electronics, solar and agri sectors. But India could benefit from lower commodity prices.

Here’s what the 2020 Union Budget can do to specific stocks

budget 2020, Nirmala Sitharaman, NPS, Provident funds, EPS

The biggest ask from the 2020 Union Budget is in the infrastructure space, where there is an expectation of spending increase by over Rs 5 lakh crore. If that were to happen, the big beneficiaries will be largecap names like L&T. However, midcaps like like IRB Infra, Dilip Buildcon and Ashoka Buildcon will benefit as well.

The next in line is the housing and real estate space. The government has an ambitious plan to provide housing for all by 2022. If there is a higher deduction for interest paid on home loans then the beneficiaries could be names like HDFC, L&T Finance, LIC Housing etc. Similarly, if there is a liquidity window provided for ease of financing then apart from these names the likes of Canfin Homes could look for an upside.

There is an expectation of a boost in the insurance sector. The government may allow tax exemption on the full premium paid by taxpayers. The current exemption is only after Rs 25,000 for individuals and parents below 60 years of age. If that comes through, it could be a positive for ICICI Lombard, HDFC Life and other listed life insurance companies.

Rural income is expected to get a boost as well. Currently, 12 percent of the total allocation is towards rural income, including agriculture, animal husbandry and fertilisers at about 3.4 lakh crore. A hike there will help the likes of HUL, Dabur, Colgate etc.

Higher tax on cigarettes will put ITC, Godfrey Phillips etc. under pressure.

If there is a higher deduction on interest in housing loans, DLF, Prestige Estate etc. could be on the upside and any measure to address the liquidity crisis in the real estate space could be a positive for the likes of Brigade, Suntech etc.

Catch all the action from the 2020 Union Budget live