As countries hoard staples & restrict exports, can global food crisis be avoided? Experts discuss

The food security concerns replaced headlines of a pandemic early this year. However export bans from various countries are making these concerns more of an uncontrollable reality.

Russia’s elongated war on Ukraine has only further strained global supply chains which were just recovering from a pandemic. This has forced many countries to protect their own supply by not only banning exports but also raising imports.

According to the International Food Policy Research Institute, export restrictions have affected 17 percent of the world’s food as measured by the amount of calories traded by early April. India’s recent wheat ban will substantially increase this number.

Increase in Chinese buying and continuing war has experts believing that wheat prices could soar by 40 percent this year itself.

Adverse global weather has only made matters worse with droughts in the American continent and a heat wave in India destroying the existing crop.

Staples around the world have been disrupted by similar triggers, making food a luxury in many emerging economies.

So what can governments do to protect its citizens and how much further will prices rise? To discuss this CNBC-TV18 spoke to Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank and Carlos Mera, Head of Agri Commodities Research at Rabo Bank.

Watch video for more.

 5 Minutes Read

Vegetable oil imports fall 13% to nearly 9.12 lakh tonne in April: SEA

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Imports of vegetable oils during the first six months of this oil marketing year (November 2021 to April 2022) rose 4 percent to 67,07,574 tonne. It was 64,28,350 tonne in the corresponding period of the previous marketing year.

Imports of vegetable oils, comprising edible and non-edible oils, fell 13 percent to nearly 9.12 lakh tonne during April, according to industry data. The Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA) said in a statement that the import of vegetable oils stood at 9,11,846 tonne in April 2022 compared to 10,53,347 tonne in April 2021.

The import of edible oils fell to 9,00,085 tonne from 10,29,912 tonne, while shipments of non-edible oils declined to 11,761 tonne from 23,435 tonne. Oil marketing year runs from November to October.

Imports of vegetable oils during the first six months of this oil marketing year (November 2021 to April 2022) rose 4 percent to 67,07,574 tonne. It was 64,28,350 tonne in the corresponding period of the previous marketing year.

“Indonesia has banned the export of palm oil with effect from April 28, 2022, which has queered the pitch and made life difficult for hapless consumers across the world,” SEA said in a statement. India imports about 6,00,000-6,50,000 tonne of palm oil per month from Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand and other countries.

Out of which, Indonesia supplies about 3,00,000 tonne, mainly RBD Palmolein, and a similar quantity arrives from Malaysia and the remaining 10 percent from Thailand and other countries. “It is expected, that Indonesia may lift the ban before the end of May, however, the situation will turn ugly if Indonesia continues to ban the export of palm oil products as enough supply from other origins is not available,” SEA said.

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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India’s exports jump 30.7% in April; trade deficit widens to $20.11 bn

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

The trade deficit in April 2021 was at USD 15.29 billion. “After a record performance in the last financial year, the exports continued robust growth in April, 2022 with merchandise exports scaling a new high by crossing USD 40 billion,” the commerce ministry said.

India’s merchandise exports surged 30.7 percent to USD 40.19 billion in April on account of healthy performance by sectors like petroleum products, electronic goods and chemicals, even as trade deficit widened to USD 20.11 billion during the month, the commerce ministry said on Friday.

Imports during the month under review grew by 30.97 percent to USD 60.3 billion. The trade deficit in April 2021 was at USD 15.29 billion.

“After a record performance in the last financial year, the exports continued robust growth in April, 2022 with merchandise exports scaling a new high by crossing USD 40 billion,” it said.

Petroleum and crude oil imports during the month rose by 87.54 percent to USD 20.2 billion. Coal, Coke and Briquettes imports jumped to USD 4.93 billion, as against USD 2 billion in April 2021. Gold imports, however, dipped by about 72 percent to USD 1.72 billion during the month under review, from USD 6.23 billion in April 2021.

Engineering goods exports increased by 15.38 percent to USD 9.2 billion, while petroleum products exports soared 113.21 percent to USD 7.73 billion.

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Citi ups India’s current account deficit forecast for FY23 to 2.8% as hike in commodity prices to raise import bill

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Citi said that the higher prices of coal, edible oil, fertilizers will raise import bill by $18-25 billion in FY23, leading to the increase in forecast of CAD.

Citi Research has increased India’s current account deficit (CAD) forecast to 2.8 percent of GDP from 2.5 percent earlier for the financial year 2023 while it has raised the country’s balance of payments (BoP) deficit forecast to $18 billion from $7 billion earlier for FY23.

Current account deficit occurs when the total value of goods and services a country imports is more than the value of goods and services it exports. A balance of payments deficit is a country’s import of goods, services, and capital exceeding the export.

Citi said that the higher prices of coal, edible oil, fertilizers will raise import bill by $18-25 billion in FY23, leading to the increase in forecast of CAD and BoP deficit.

“Specifically on imports, price effect would be visible on commodities beyond oil and gold. We identify three products (edible oils, coal and fertilizers) where price pressure could add significant upside to the non-oil non-gold import bill,” said Citi in its report released on Tuesday.

“We see ~USD 18-25bn (0.5-0.7 percent of GDP) upside to import bill from these commodities in FY23. Consequently, we now expect FY23 current account deficit at 2.8 percent of GDP (vs 2.5 percent earlier) and BoP deficit of USD18bn in FY23 (vs USD 7bn earlier),” it added.

In FY22, price rise and volume had contributed to import and export growth, Citi mentioned, adding that lately, volumes have been moderating while price spike is becoming prime driver of nominal imports.

“Volume growth of non-petroleum exports fell to 7.6 percent YoY in Feb this year from a recent peak of 9.4 percent YoY in Nov-21,” the report said. “This implies that export volume growth had started to taper off even before the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On the other hand, growth in deflators for non-petroleum exports rose to 18.5 percent in Feb from 16.1 percent YoY in Nov-21,” it added. 

Higher Forex Reserves Lower Cost Of Foreign Borrowings, Hedging Cost: Rbi Article 

According to Citi, the recent trend of falling export volume growth will gather momentum as global demand comes under pressure.

“Our global economists have reduced our 2022 global growth forecast by -0.6pp to 3.3 percent and our 2023 forecast by -0.1pp to 3.1 percent,” it said. Moreover, Citi economists further believe that the Omicron wave in China will significantly affect growth in 2QCY22.

It, however, added that while volume growth would moderate going forward, prices are marching upwards. “So, despite moderate volumes, nominal export growth is likely to remain healthy in FY23 due to higher prices,” said Citi.

Also Read | Exports witness a growth of 37% to $18.8 billion in April
 

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Vegetable oil imports up 13% to over 11 lakh tonnes in March: SEA

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

According to industry data, vegetable oil imports increased by 13 percent in March to over 11 lakh tonnes, owing to greater exports of edible oil. The Solvent Extractors’ Association of India said, the imports of vegetable oils (including edible and non-edible) totaled 11,04,570 tonnes in March 2022, up from 9,80,243 tonnes in March 2021.

Vegetable oil imports rose 13 percent in March to over 11 lakh tonnes on higher shipments of edible oil, according to industry data. Import of vegetable oils (comprising edible oil and non-edible oil) in March 2022 stood at 11,04,570 tonnes as compared to 9,80,243 tonnes in March 2021, the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India, said.

While edible oil imports increased to 10,51,698 tonnes in March 2022 from 9,57,633 tonnes in the year-ago period, the imports of non-edible oil rose to 52,872 tonnes from 22,610 tonnes during the period under review. The overall import of vegetable oils during first five months of oil year 2021-22, November 2021-March 2022, reported at 57,95,728 tonnes compared to 53,75,003 tonnes during the same period of last year.

During the first five months of 2021-22 oil year, the import of refined edible oil jumped sharply to 7,71,268 tonnes from 24,101 tonnes in the corresponding period of the previous year.

Also read: Commodities round-up: Crude oil prices rebound 7% overnight

The imports of crude edible oil fell to 48,71,650 tonnes from 52,16,225 tonnes. “During November 2021-March 2022, palm oil import has decreased to 26,53,253 tonnes from 30,90,559 tonnes in November 2020-March 2021, while soft oil import has increased to 29,89,665 tonnes from 21,49,767 tonnes in November 2020-March 2021, mainly due to higher import of soybean oil,” SEA said.

The association said during the last month, 2,12,000 tonnes of sunflower oil arrived as vessels, which left before conflict between Russia and Ukraine arrived in India. The imports came mainly from Ukraine (1,27,000 tonnes), Russia (73,500 tonnes) and Argentina (11,900 tonnes). “However in April ’22 as no shipment from Ukraine took place, sunflower oil import may fall to nearly 80,000 tonnes, mainly arriving from Russia and Argentina only,” it said.

High prices of sunflower oil in international market at USD 2,200 per tonne and lesser availability has resulted in lower demand and consumption of sunflower oil. “This shortfall partially being replaced by other edible oils like palmolein, soybean oil, groundnut oil in South India and by refined mustard oil and ricebran oil in North India. Also during the last one month, prices of soya oil, sunflower oil, palm oil and other edible oil declined providing some relief to consumer,” SEA said.

Also read: Russia-Ukraine crisis to heat up cooking oil prices in India

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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India’s trade deficit rises 88% in FY22: Govt data

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

“India’s merchandise import in April 2021-March 2022 was USD 610.22 billion, an increase of 54.71 percent over USD 394.44 billion in April 2020-March 2021 and an increase of 28.55 percent over USD 474.71 billion in April 2019-March 2020,” said a release by Ministry of Commerce and Industry.

India’s trade deficit rose 87.5 percent to USD 192.41 billion in 2021-22 as against USD 102.63 billion in the previous year, the government data showed on Monday. While total exports during the last fiscal year increased to a record high of USD 417.81 billion, imports too soared to USD 610.22 billion, leaving a trade gap of USD 192.41 billion.

“India’s merchandise import in April 2021-March 2022 was USD 610.22 billion, an increase of 54.71 percent over USD 394.44 billion in April 2020-March 2021 and an increase of 28.55 percent over USD 474.71 billion in April 2019-March 2020,” said a release by Ministry of Commerce and Industry. The trade deficit in March 2022 was USD 18.69 billion, while it was USD 192.41 billion during entire 2021-22.

For the first time, India’s monthly merchandise exports exceeded USD 40 billion, reaching USD 40.38 billion in March 2022, an increase of 14.53 percent over USD 35.26 billion in the year-ago month, the release said. It was up by 87.89 percent over USD 21.49 billion in March 2020.

The ministry said the country’s merchandise import last month stood at USD 59.07 billion, an increase of 20.79 percent over USD 48.90 billion in the year-ago period. It was up 87.68 percent over USD 31.47 billion in March 2020. During March 2022, the value of non-petroleum exports stood at USD 33 billion, registering a growth of 4.28 percent over USD 31.65 billion in the same month a year ago.

Non-petroleum exports grew by 74 percent from USD 18.97 billion in March 2020. Non-petroleum import stood at USD 40.66 billion during March 2022, showing a rise of 5.26 percent over USD 38.63 billion in the year-ago month. It was up by 89.79 percent from USD 21.42 billion in March 2020, showed the data from the ministry.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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India imported 651.24 tonne of gold in fiscal 2020-21: Govt tells Lok Sabha

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, Minister of State for Commerce and Industry Anupriya Patel said the imports stood at 982.71 tonne in FY 2018-19.

India imported 651.24 tonne of gold in the financial year 2020-21 as compared to 719.94 tonne in the year-ago period, the government said on Wednesday.

In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, Minister of State for Commerce and Industry Anupriya Patel said the imports stood at 982.71 tonne in FY 2018-19.

Also Read | Govt to set up skill hubs across India; 5,000 planned in first phase

Replying to another question, she informed that the import of toys, games, sports equipment from China is showing a declining trend.

“The imports of these products from China have reduced from USD 451.71 million in 2018-19 to USD 206.11 million in 2021 (from April 2021 to Jan 2022),” she added.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Import delay from China could impact production in April: Dixon Tech

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Delay in imports from China could impact production in April, said Atul Lall, managing director of Dixon Technologies India, on Tuesday, adding that the inventory available is for 15-20 days for mobile and televisions.

With rising cases of COVID-19 in China and several cities seeing fresh lockdowns, there are reports that the supply of parts from China is delayed by 10-15 days and finished goods imports are also likely to take a hit.

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Lall said, “We import products from China across all our verticals whether its television, mobile phones, LED lightings and washing machines.”

Also Read: Would prefer investing in India than China: Mark Matthews

According to him, there is a delay for a week in imports from Shenzhen. “Our shipments have been delayed by a week or so which will have an impact sometime in the latter half of April,” Lall said.

For more details, watch the accompanying video

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 5 Minutes Read

Centre sets up task force to figure out how to navigate rising fuel prices: Report

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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The government has set up a task force consisting of senior government officials to give recommendations on ways to manage the rise in prices of petroleum products in India, reported Mint. The task force is thought to suggest a mixture of VAT and excise liability reductions.

The Centre has set up a task force of senior government officials to give recommendations on how to manage the rise in prices of petroleum products in India, reported Mint.

Prices of crude oil recently hit a 14-year record and are currently trading above $130 a barrel. For India, which is the world’s second biggest net crude oil importer, the upward trending prices are not only going to put pressure on the government, but also consumers and businesses. India imports nearly 85 percent of its crude requirement and around 55 percent of its natural gas requirement, making it a huge net importer of energy.

While the country has not yet seen a hike in its fuel prices, oil manufacturing companies are expected to hike their prices as the election results are declared.

The task force has been meeting regularly to review the developing situation and devising a way to insulate domestic consumers from increasing energy prices, a government official with knowledge of the matter told Mint.

Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri added on Tuesday that the price increase would be done keeping the interests of citizens in mind and denied that the government had not yet hiked fuel prices due to the elections in five states of the country.

“Oil prices are determined by global prices. There is a war-like situation in one part of the country. The oil companies will factor that in. We will take decisions in the best interest of our citizens,” he said in a press conference.

The task force will not only give recommendations on how to deal with higher fuel prices but also look for ways to set up alternative payment channels in response to many Russian banks being kicked out of the SWIFT information system.

The task force was instituted last month in the immediate aftermath of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the resultant global sanctions that were placed on Russia. The task force will convey its recommendations to all the relevant ministries and regulators, where upon approval they will be notified by the finance ministry.

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

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India’s exports rise 22%; imports grow at 35% in February; check details

Fiscal slippage, COVID, coronavirus

India’s exports grew by 22 percent in February but imports grew even more sharply at 35 percent led by sharp rise in the crude bill.

Export performance 22 percent year on year (YoY) is very good but if you compare to January, it is lower by about USD 1-1.5 billion. Imports are up 35 percent, it is touching USD 55 billion, that is a worry. It is not entirely fueled by oil. This crude bill doesn’t reflect the rising crude prices because these are cargos booked earlier. February gold imports at about UDS 4.5 billion is less than what it was year ago but is doubled than what it was in January 2022.

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The trade deficit has come in for the month of February at USD 21.2 billion – this compares with USD 13 billion a year ago and last month January nearly USD 18 billion. The problem is it has been above USD 20 billion for the last six months. The key worries for the economy are monthly merchandise trade deficit has now become over USD 20 billion for the last six months and the monthly deficit is over USD 20 billion even before the crude rally and even before the real export disruption which is going to be felt in the current month.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Latha Venkatesh for more details.

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