Gold prices up 13% since last Akshaya Tritiya: Should you buy amid rising rates?
KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)
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Summary
With gold prices hovering around ₹70,000 per 10 grams in India, there arises a pertinent question: Will consumers buy gold this Akshaya Tritiya amidst these elevated rates?
Gold prices have surged by approximately 13% since the last Akshaya Tritiya, experts told CNBC-TV18.com. With gold prices hovering around ₹70,000 per 10 grams in India, there arises a pertinent question: Will consumers buy gold this Akshaya Tritiya amidst these elevated rates?
Commenting on the same, Colin Shah, MD at Kama Jewelry, said that a twofold momentum surge is expected this year during Akshaya Tritiya.
He attributed it to the sentimental value attached to gold and the auspicious timing for investments.
Shah noted a shift among young buyers, who are increasingly investing in gold for adornment purposes.
In the long-term too, experts are bullish on gold prices as well as investment.
Aditya Agarwala, Co-Founder and Head of Research and Investment at Invest4edu, said he can see gold moving north after a cool-off period.
Here are the key factors that are expected to sustain the demand for precious metals (as highlighted by Agarwala):
Geopolitical tension
Constant conflicts in the Middle East and European countries will keep gold prices at elevated levels as it is considered as a safe haven.
Slowdown in global economies
A weaker global economy and sticky inflation will further boost demand for gold.
Higher interest rates
If interest rates cuts are lower than expected due to high inflation, money will flow into gold and silver from equites.
The table below shows the average annual price of gold (24 karat per 10 grams) in India from 2014 to the present year offering insight into historical trends:
Year |
Price (24 karat per 10 grams) |
2014 |
₹28,006.50 |
2015 |
₹26,343.50 |
2016 |
₹28,623.50 |
2017 |
₹29,667.50 |
2018 |
₹31,438.00 |
2019 |
₹35,220.00 |
2020 |
₹48,651.00 |
2021 |
₹48,720.00 |
2022 |
₹52,670.00 |
2023 |
₹65,330.00 |
2024 (Till May 8) |
₹70,500.00 |
(Source: Invest4edu)
Investment considerations
Experts think investing in gold is a smart choice now.
“Investing in gold brings stability and good returns amidst risks. While Indian stocks are booming, they come with uncertainty. To protect against rising prices, gold is a smart choice. On Akshay Tritiya, a lucky day for gold buying, consider investing in gold. Despite recent ups and downs, gold keeps hitting new highs, showing it’s a safe bet in today’s market,” Kresha Gupta, Founder, Chanakya Opportunities Fund, told CNBC-TV18.com.
Brokerage firm Motilal Oswal also advocates a positive outlook for the yellow metal.
It recommends purchasing the metals on dips with targets set at ₹75,000 per 10 grams for gold on the domestic front, and $2,450 per ounce on Comex.
In the longer term.
In addition to traditional gold purchases, digital gold options like gold ETFs are gaining traction.
Zerodha Fund House cited significant increases in gold ETF inflows post-pandemic.
Analysis reveals a rise in assets under management (AUM) of gold ETFs, indicating growing investor interest in this avenue.
Motilal Oswal recommends investing in sovereign gold bonds (SGBs) to capitalise on gold price rises, with the added benefit of a 2.5% interest rate.
Gold demand this Akshaya Tritiya
According to Piyush Gupta, Director at PP Jewellers by Pawan Gupta, gold sales may range between 10-15% this year.
“In India, gold is not just an investment but a testament to our cultural legacy. It has always symbolised prosperity and tradition. Even if gold prices this year may be increasing at a fast pace, it’s important to see the bright side of things. It is also important to understand that the rise in prices reflects not only market conditions but also the true worth of gold as a tangible asset with enduring value,” he said.
Vikas Singh, Managing Director & CEO of MMTC-PAMP, recommends investors to check for purity before buying gold.
“The higher the purity, the greater the intrinsic worth and value for potential returns. While karats indicate gold content broadly, the fineness measure provides a more granular analysis. Crucially, for the discerning investor, purities can vary even within the 24-karat category,” he said.
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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow