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Vodafone-Idea rating below investment grade: Here’s what MF experts have to say

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

After market hours on Friday, Vodafone-Idea ratings by CRISIL and India Ratings slipped below investment grade putting mutual funds in a quandary. Franklin Templeton was the quickest to react, moving to segregate the exposure in 6 of their schemes.

After market hours on Friday, Vodafone-Idea ratings by CRISIL and India Ratings slipped below investment grade putting mutual funds in a quandary. Franklin Templeton was the quickest to react, moving to segregate the exposure in 6 of their schemes.

Basically, four AMCs had exposure of about Rs 3,300 crore to Vodafone-Idea. The regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has said that if the ratings of a particular issuer falls below investment grade, mutual funds (MFs) have the option now to side-pocket it. So, out of the four MFs that had this option, only Franklin Templeton has moved to segregate this exposure in six of their schemes. The three others are UTI, Aditya Birla and Nippon.

Earlier, Franklin had marked down to zero, the value of all of this exposure that it had to Vodafone Idea. The other AMCs had only taken mark-to-market hits but they have not yet moved to segregate the exposure.

However, there is some confusion on that since the rating action of the credit event happened post market hours on Friday, whether the Sebi guidelines of 24 hours would end on Saturday and therefore the three other AMCs that is UTI, Aditya Birla and Nippon would have already passed that timeframe to segregate at all, or whether it is 24 working hours, in which case it will end on Monday evening, and therefore they would have the time to talk to their trustees and take a call.

Feroze Azeez, deputy CEO of Anand Rathi Financial and Manoj Nagpal, MD & CEO of Outlook Asia Capital in an interview with CNBC-TV18 shared their views on the correct decision to make, which would be in the investor interest, on what the regulator feels about this, and on what the investors who still have investments to all of these affected schemes do.

Talking from regulator’s perspective, Nagpal said, “There are 3 methods to approach this entire situation. First is to put gates. All the 3 methods have been tried in India. In 2015, JPMorgan in case of Amtek Auto had used the first method and put gates – both purchase gates and redemption gates, so nobody could purchase nobody could redeem. That was constructive – the entire corpus went into a status quo.”

“The second method is, write down the value to the security to zero and limit the fresh purchases – that’s what Franklin Templeton did some time back,” he added. “The third is the segregated portfolio approach which is side-pocketing. Globally, side-pocketing only works for hedge funds. Mutual funds typically are not allowed to side-pocket. Hedge funds are also under a lot of scrutiny to side-pocket. So if hedge fund tried to side-pocket, there is a lot of regulatory oversight,” added Nagpal.

He further said that SEBI has changed track and feels side-pocketing is the best way to go.

Azeez said, “Side-pocketing is what I vote for 2-3 reasons. So if you look at some of the AMCs, at least the fund which has the largest Vodafone-Idea which is 17 percent. It was actually not 17 percent. Just a year back, the fund was Rs 5,200 crore in assets and it gradually has come to Rs 1,458 crore at the end of December. So, the fund manager would have decided to put 6 percent but since the assets shrunk it has now become 17 percent. So the long-term investors have got a dent in their portfolio because they have a paper which has been downgraded below the investment grade to the extent of 17 percent exposure.”

“Firstly,  if you don’t side-pocket, some short-term investors would take benefit of the long-term investor, the more passive investor  and any strategy which can dent a long-term portfolio investor is fundamentally incorrect,” added Azeez.

Secondly, there is one disadvantage of side-pocketing, and that is taxation, said Azeez because those units come to you for free and if we were to assume that one year from now, Vodafone actually pays up – that will be given as short-term capital gain. So, that taxation differential is the only demerit.”

Moreover, there is no logic for not doing side-pocketing, said Azeez.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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AGR case: Investors of Franklin Templeton are advised to stay put

vodafone idea share price, airtel share price

Last week, the Supreme Court refused to review its decision in the adjusted gross revenues (AGR) case which dealt a body blow to the telecom companies. Between Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea, it is the latter which may find itself at the end of the road given that their AGR liability equates to over 2 times its current market capitalisation.

Besides the banking sector, it is the mutual funds that have an exposure of over Rs 3,300 crore to the beleaguered telecom major.

What followed the Supreme Court’s decision on Thursday was a swift write-down of Vodafone Idea’s debt by Franklin Templeton in six of their schemes. Franklin not just marked it down to zero, they have also restricted fresh subscription.

The other AMCs such as UTI, Nippon India and Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund have taken mark-to-market (MTM) hits in accordance with valuation by rating agencies.

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, Manoj Nagpal of Outlook Asia Capital and Feroze Azeez of Anand Rathi Financial Services discussed what the existing investors in these affected schemes do.

Nagpal advised investors of Franklin Templeton to stay invested. “It started in February 2019 when the rating action started and schemes had been marking down exposure or the values in the schemes. So, there was a 20 percent mark down earlier and then again another 20 percent in August-September. So the values had been marked down to around 65 percent of the original value and this was creating a little bit of panic in investors and with the Supreme Court ruling, they have suddenly now marked it down to zero. So, for existing investors, what it means is that even if you exit now, you lose the entire gain completely. So, for existing investors, if Vodafone does not payback, there is no downside, and if it pays back, then there is an upside. So, in Franklin Templeton schemes clearly investors should stay back and not try to get out of the scheme at this point in time.”

Agreeing with Manoj, Azeez said, “On the Franklin Templeton products, an exit does not make sense because you are making it sure that even if there is a recovery, you get nothing out of it.”

Speaking about how an AMC decides its course of action in such cases, Azeez said, “Unless there are small periods where the swing could be dramatically different, something like this unfolds in a few months, it is just a weeks’ time, so, I think the better strategy would be Franklin Templeton strategy. The one with the highest exposure, the UTI Credit Risk Fund which has 17 percent and it has chosen to mark down 10 percent. So, even if a person wants to redeem before January 23, he can still save himself 7 percent, which means that the person who has been the long term investor, gets a large proportion of Vodafone in his portfolio. So, 7 percent is a large amount of money for you to play this bet for. I think UTI should have also, in my opinion, marked it down to zero so that people do not come in and go out.”

No significant deterioration seen in asset quality so far in securitisation: India Ratings

Rupee

India Ratings and Research on Thursday said that it has not seen any significant deterioration in the quality of assets in the securitisation market.

There has been increased securitisation of assets by non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) to access funds. While much of the underlying assets may have been scrutinised by banks before purchase, there seem to be concerns about the quality of some such pooled assets and about rating actions by agencies on such assets.

Jatin Nanaware, head and director – Structure Finance at India Ratings and Santosh Kamath, CIO – Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton, discussed with CNBC-TV18 the risks to the lenders on purchases of such securitised assets.

“Specifically on the securitisation of assets, the asset performance is significantly robust… the delinquency level for a securitised transaction has been always lower almost by 100 basis points to 150 bps than the originator’s delinquency behaviour, which we have seen in their books. On a securitised side, we haven’t seen so far any significant deterioration in the asset quality,” Nanaware told CNBC-TV18.

“Specifically on India ratings, during last 18-20 years, the ratings, which we assigned which are backed by the retail loans for securitisation… we haven’t seen any default in India Ratings rated transaction,” he added.

In terms of the existing issue of DHFL, Kamath said, “I also don’t know too much about it because we don’t hold those papers but what I understand is, according to the theoretical concept we always thought that if you do a securitisation, it is off books of the company. It means that if you buy a pool of assets from an NBFC in a securitised form, whatever happens to the company doesn’t impact your pool. So theoretically that is correct that the risks are very different.”

Essel Group secures extension from lenders to repay Zee’s debt

Rupee

Essel Group has confirmed that the majority of the lenders has agreed to extend the standstill agreement for a period of three to six months.

Among those who have provided this extension are HDFC MF, Aditya Birla SunLife MF, ICICI Prudential MF and Franklin Templeton, sources told CNBC-TV18.

CNBC-TV18 had earlier reported that Zee promoters met MF lenders for an extension of the September 30 deadline for the repayment of debt.

The extension request had come after a Delhi High Court-appointed arbitrator restricted Essel Group chairman Subhash Chandra from selling unpledged shares of Zee till October 16.

Do not foresee meaningful rise in NPAs for banks, says Franklin Templeton

bad bank, ibc

Sukumar Rajah, senior managing director and director of Portfolio Management for Emerging Markets at Franklin Templeton, on Monday, said that he does not expect any meaningful increase in non-performing assets for banks, adding that better-managed banks, in fact, are going to see a reduction in NPAs.

“For the banking sector as a whole, I don’t think the non-performing assets (NPAs) are going to increase meaningfully… the better-managed banks are going to see a reduction in NPA. So the system as a whole should still be fine and for well-managed businesses, I don’t think financing is going to be a constraint,” said Rajah in an interview with CNBC-TV18.

“We are predominantly investing in quality private sector banks in various portfolios. I think the public sector undertaking (PSU) exposure is not much for various Franklin Templeton funds but generally, most of them are not very positive on the state-owned banks,” he added.

On auto stocks, he said, “I think there are structural changes that are happening. It is not just cyclical issues which are affecting the auto sector. One is – there is a change in technology, second is – the way people use automobiles for transportation is also changing… so we have to be careful about how these structural changes are going to affect the auto industry.”

 5 Minutes Read

India’s growth path can withstand any challenges post elections: Franklin Templeton

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Sukumar Rajah, senior managing director and director of portfolio management, Franklin Templeton, believes that even if there is a surprise election result, the impact from uncertainty would be felt only in the short-term because fundamentals remain intact.

As India gears up for the general election in April-May 2019, some risk-off sentiment seen towards Indian equities might have spooked some investors. But for Franklin Templeton, the country’s solid fundamentals continue to present a positive story for investors.

Sukumar Rajah, senior managing director and director of portfolio management, Franklin Templeton, believes that even if there is a surprise election result, the impact from uncertainty would be felt only in the short-term because fundamentals remain intact and it’s unlikely that investors will see any major changes made to legislation irrespective of whoever forms the new government.

“In the longer run, the case for investing in India remains strong as fundamentals appear solid and long-term growth drivers give us reason to look at India in a positive light,” Rajah said, in a report dated March 17, 2019.

According to the brokerage, if Narendra Modi is re-elected, India’s economic path will not see any material changes and even if Modi doesn’t win outright, it’s likely that Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will still form the new government, possibly as part of a coalition.

“Whatever the outcome of the election, there is little scope for any new government to implement radical, populist policies, due to the set up between the government and its dependency on the Reserve Bank of India to balance its budget deficit,” the report said.

With elections just a month away, the political parties have made a number of manifesto promises including farm loan waivers, subsidies, minimum income guarantee among others. A number of these measures could have significant fiscal implications for India’s economy and have raised eyebrows among many investors.

But according to Rajah, India’s growth path, underpinned by policies put in place since 2014 by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is well-enough established to withstand any challenges.

“These policies, including the introduction of the GST, a revamped bankruptcy code, bank recapitalisation and increasing foreign direct investment limits across sectors, as well as the Make in India initiative, have helped India become the fastest-growing major emerging-market economy in 2018, at 7.3% GDP growth,” he said in the report.

“Projected gross domestic product growth for 2019 remains relatively robust at 7.5 percent and is estimated at 7.7 percent in 2020. By comparison, China’s economy is forecast to grow at a slower rate of 6.2 percent this year and in 2020,” forecasts the report.

The investment management company maintains that India is at a turning point for earnings growth. “The last few years for earnings growth have been challenging, due to the effects of demonetisation, implementation of GST and the impact of negative headlines from non-performing loans. We think it’s likely we’ll see a gradual improvement in earnings growth, which would be supportive for equities,” it added.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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“Believe it or not” — Veteran EM fund manager Mark Mobius is betting on India’s troubled NBFCs

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

 At a time when most money managers are steering clear of India’s crisis-hit shadow banking firms, veteran emerging markets fund manager Mark Mobius is exploring aggressive contrarian bets on the sector.

At a time when most money managers are steering clear of India’s crisis-hit shadow banking firms, veteran emerging markets fund manager Mark Mobius is exploring aggressive contrarian bets on the sector.

Mobius bet comes at a time when investors have been selling holdings in non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) after a series of defaults by India’s leading infrastructure finance company in September triggered contagion fears and prompted the government to step in and take control of the company.

“Believe it or not we are looking at non-banking finance companies,” Mobius told Reuters on Tuesday. “It looks crazy but everybody knows that the banking sector is in trouble.”

“Now is the time to start looking because the prices are down but that requires research. You got to look at these companies carefully.”

Mobius, who quit as head of Franklin Templeton’s emerging market funds in January, has started his own London-based Mobius Capital Partners that aims to pick up direct equity stakes in companies instead of buying exchange-traded funds to generate higher returns.

The fund, which has $160 million of assets under management so far since May, plans to invest $30 million to $40 million in India, said Mobius, 81, who has bet heavily on Indian assets in the past.

Mobius, who is awaiting for approval of registration of the investment firm by India’s market regulator, says he has already spoken to five NBFCs.

“It’s still very early days. We’ll have to visit them, sit down with them person to person and get a feel for what their thinking is.”

The debt woes of India’s Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services led to a massive sell-off in finance companies which lost 32.7 percent since September dragging the broader BSE stock index down 11.7 percent.

Mobius Capital will earmark 20 percent of its investments each in India and Brazil followed by Turkey, Mexico, Vietnam, Taiwan and Korea which could see about 5-10 percent allocation each, Mobius said on the sidelines of Morningstar’s investment conference in Mumbai.

Mobius is looking to invest at a time when several foreign investors are pulling out of India due to uncertainties in the financial sector, rising oil prices, a weaker rupee, and fiscal worries ahead of general elections next year.

Foreign investors have pulled $13 billion out of India’s debt and stock markets since the start of 2018.

Despite this, Mobius said the investors in his company are bullish on India’s growth prospects and expect annual returns of 15-20 percent from equities in the next five years.

“All you have to do is tell them India is growing at 7 percent and they’re sold.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Expected 20% earnings growth for next year is a big support for equities, Franklin Templeton

Expected 20 percent earnings growth for next year is a big support for equities, S Naganath, president & chief investment officer of Franklin Templeton Alternative Investments.

“As far as Indian equities are concerned, I think the earnings growth momentum appears to be fairly positive compared to what we saw in fiscal 2017 and fiscal 2016,” said Naganath.

The growth coming in at 15-17 percent is also a big improvement from the trend we have seen in the past three-four years, he said, adding that it is a big support for equities but it has to be watchful of the headwinds.

Franklin Templeton is in the process of launching their alternative investments vertical with their maiden fund – ‘Franklin India Long Short Equity AIF’.

“I anticipate a fairly elevated volatility in the markets in the next twelve months or so globally and to that extent, we will also be affected by it, said Naganath

 

 5 Minutes Read

Expect continued volatility this year, Franklin Templeton says

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

“What we have seen so far in 2018 is a reminder that markets can be volatile, and we expect continued volatility this year,” Franklin Templeton said.

Global fund house Franklin Templeton believes that rapid adaption of information technology in emerging markets such as India and China have further propelled their strong growth.

Manraj Sekhon, emerging markets equity chief investment officer and Chetan Sehgal, director of portfolio management, Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity, in a note on June 15 said, “We continue to see improvement in the earnings power and cash flow of many emerging market (EM) companies.”

The duo also said, “What we have seen so far in 2018 is a reminder that markets can be volatile, and we expect continued volatility this year.”

They added, “Nevertheless, we remain optimistic about the opportunities that we see in “new economy” sectors related to technology and consumption.”

EM companies have not only taken part in the technological revolution, but are also at the forefront, becoming global innovators in areas such as e-commerce, mobile banking, robotics and autonomous vehicles, they said, adding, “This development has created investment opportunities in a broad array of companies, ranging from internet firms to chip makers, hardware manufacturers and more.”

On specific sectors Sekhon and Sehgal said, “Rising wealth in emerging markets is another secular driver and we expect it to continue lifting demand for goods and services. Financials are also interesting to us, as improving macroeconomics in emerging markets create a potential tailwind for banks.”

 

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?