India eyes 18 countries to expand export basket, cut trade risks due to geopolitical tensions
Summary
Stating that India is now used to prolonged regional conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war, which had impacted the Gems and Jewellery sector, the Ministry added that India’s merchandise exports would’ve increased more had these conflicts not impeded trade.
Having experienced impacts on trade due to several geopolitical challenges in the past few years, India is conducting an internal analysis of the action it has to take to mitigate the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict.
Having already started monitoring trade impacted due to the recent conflict, the Commerce Ministry is likely to take policy measures based on the feedback it receives from stakeholders on the issues faced by them.
Describing the last financial year FY24 as “very difficult in terms of trade” due to the Russia-Ukraine war, the Red Sea crisis and blockages in the Panama Canal, the Ministry pointed out that India successfully beat the odds projected by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) reports as well as World Trade Organization (WTO) predictions for a slump in trade.
Stating that India is now used to prolonged regional conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war, which had impacted the Gems and Jewellery sector, the Ministry added that India’s merchandise exports would’ve increased more had these conflicts not impeded trade. The Commerce Ministry had also conducted a stakeholder consultation during the Red Sea conflict when it had asked the ECGC to not increase insurance rates for exporters.
Having found new markets for electronics goods in the Cayman Islands, Turkmenistan, Honduras, El Salvador and Mongolia and engineering goods in Macau, Azerbaijan and Georgia, India exported iron ore to Saudi Arabia and France for the first time in FY24.
Based on the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s predictions on GDP growth, India has identified 18 countries in terms of trade significance to expand its export basket and further diversify its trade to insulate itself from global demand shocks. The Commerce Ministry is also developing a portal on AI/ML-based data dissemination to improve data dissemination to investors and researchers, for which a meeting was held with EY last week.
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