Oil trades above $110 as China likely to ease COVID restrictions

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Oil prices were trading above $110/bbl on Friday as worries about weaker economic growth offset expectations that crude demand could rebound in China as Shanghai lifts some of the Covid lockdowns.

This morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), the Chinese central bank, slashed the 5-year loan prime rate (LPR) by 15 basis points. China has been working on infrastructure and home prices. This cut will now influence the home mortgage prices, bring those prices down and make it more affordable for people who want to buy a first home. This is supportive for metals as well.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

Crude oil prices below $110 on fall in global equity markets, inflation, and growth concerns

The crude oil is trading below the USD 110 per barrel mark on the back of a decline in global equities, inflation, and global growth concerns. The US crude inventories also declined for the third straight week by 3.4 million barrels.

On the other side, Russia’s production has also seen a decline of 9 percent for the month of April, however, hopes of further lockdown easing in China boosted expectations of a recovery. Authorities allowed 864 of Shanghai’s financial institutions to resume work, sources said, and China has relaxed some COVID test rules for the US and other travellers.

Also Read: Asian shares tumble as global growth fears lead to Wall Street slump

However, there is no such luck in the metal prices whether it is copper, nickel, aluminium, zinc, steel, or iron ore, everything is trading negative with the decline in the global equity markets, weak economic data, demand concerns and increase in inventories that have taken place in the last one month.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

Wheat prices at 14-year high globally as India bans export

Global wheat prices hit a 14-year high after India banned wheat exports in a bid to check high prices amid concerns of wheat output being hit by the scorching heatwave. The US winter crop conditions have worsened, and supply disruptions from the Black Sea region are also expected.

Ukraine’s production is expected to go down by 35 percent this year, and the world stock is down by 5 percent and is at a 6-year low, according to the latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

Wheat is a staple crop for the global market. So the producing countries are facing a lot of issues, and the prices are expected to be on the higher side, at least in the international markets.

Also Read: Farmers and traders seek lifting of wheat export ban amid rural distress

Crude price has also jumped. The US officials said that the strategy on Russian oil could be switched from embargo to tariffs, which means crude will be in the market but at a higher cost to the producer.

Also, coal prices inching very close to all-time highs in the international markets. $420 per tonne was an all-time high. It’s trading above $400/tonne.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

What’s aiding the uptick in metals

S&P BSE Metal | 2019 return: (-)17.32 percent | Level as on 31 Dec 2018: Rs 11,839.59 | Level as on 13 Dec 2019: Rs 9,788.75

Underlying commodities performed quite well on May 17 and all base metal prices snapped out of the kind of declines seen in the past six weeks. This week could be on the positive side as the last 24 hours have seen good gains — between 1-2.50 percent rise — in many nonferrous metals.

Metals saw its best session since April 2020 as London copper and Dalian iron ore prices advanced on optimism that COVID-19 lockdowns easing in China would lead to an improvement in demand.

China has enough inventories and the concerns lie outside the Chinese market. Aluminium inventories are at 17-year lows and copper inventories have been on the weaker side. Hence, there is tightness in the markets and as demand starts to pick up, markets do believe that there could be some support seen in metal prices, even if it is for the very near term.

Encouraged by wheat export ban, India’s garment industry calls for similar curbs on cotton trade

An employee works at a cotton processing unit in Kadi town, in the western Indian state of Gujarat

Even while the government is fighting all barrels to bring wheat prices under control, the costs of another commodity, cotton, are surging. Cotton is trading at an all-time high in the Indian markets. In the global markets, meanwhile, cotton is trading at an 11-year high.

The textile ministry has called a meeting that will be from 5 pm to 7 pm on May 17. While the agenda of the meeting is not clear at the moment, there is a huge demand from Indian garment makers and exporters to ban cotton exports, sources have told CNBC-TV18.

Also Read: India overreacting to price rise of cereals by banning wheat exports: Subhash Chandra Garg

The ministry has already cut 5 percent Customs duty, and a 5 percent tax on cotton imports has been waived off until September. But even after this step, taken in April, cotton prices have not cooled.

Also read: Textile mills struggle as cotton price hits 11-year high

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Gold, silver struggle to restore shine as precious metals set for fourth straight weekly decline

Gold and silver are set to close in the negative territory for the fourth consecutive week. While the price of gold has fallen by 3.5 percent this week, silver has declined by 7 percent.

The support level for gold now is $1,820 per ounce with the precious metal holding up at the Rs 50,000 mark in the Indian markets. Silver has broken below $21 per ounce in the international market and is trading at Rs 58,700 a kg in India.

The dollar index is at around 20-year high and the hawkish statements on the monetary stance from the US Federal Reserve and recovery in the global equity markets seem to be weighing on the precious metal prices. Gold is trading around three-month low whereas silver is trading at around two-year low.

Also Read: Investors are rushing to buy gold ETFs and you should too

The market believes that if gold breaks below $1,820 per ounce in the international market, its next support level would be $1,780 per ounce.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

 5 Minutes Read

Gold price at near 3-month low in fourth weekly loss as dollar rally dampens demand

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at USD 1,823.40 per ounce, as of 0804 GMT, in choppy trade. Earlier in the session, it hit its lowest since February 7. US gold futures were flat at USD 1,824.60.

Gold prices hovered near a three-month low on Friday and were set for their fourth straight weekly fall, as the strongest dollar in two decades dampened demand for greenback-priced bullion.

Spot gold was up 0.1 percent at USD 1,823.40 per ounce, as of 0804 GMT, in choppy trade. Earlier in the session, it hit its lowest since February 7. US gold futures were flat at USD 1,824.60.

“The fall through support by gold at USD 1,835.00, and the sell-off in other precious metals overnight, leave gold vulnerable to deeper losses and a potential test of support at USD 1,780.00 an ounce,” OANDA senior analyst Jeffrey Halley said.

Also Read | Investors are rushing to buy gold ETFs and you should too

The dollar steadied near a fresh 20-year high scaled on Thursday as concerns persisted that the US Federal Reserve’s actions to tame inflationary pressures would crimp global economic growth, boosting the currency’s safe-haven appeal.

Bullion has lost about 3 percent so far this week, its most in two months.

Last week, the US central bank increased its benchmark overnight interest rate by an aggressive half-a-percentage point.

Bullion is sensitive to rising US short-term interest rates and bond yields, which raise the opportunity cost of holding it.

“Nominal yields will also climb, creating double yield trouble for gold investors as the Fed will remain hawkish until inflation indicators fall,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.

Also Read | Global growth worries send dollar to new 20-yr high

Gold’s recent slide has wiped out most gains made in a rally driven by safe-haven demand in anticipation of and after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February. The conflict powered gold prices all the way to near-record levels in mid-March.

Spot silver was up 1 percent at USD 20.86 per ounce, but has fallen about 6.6 percent this week, the most since late January.

Platinum gained 1.7 percent to USD 959.45 and palladium rose 2.8 percent to USD 1,961.03 though both were on track for weekly losses.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

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Crude oil price surges 5% overnight after flows of Russian gas to Europe fall

Crude oil prices surged 5 percent overnight after falling almost 11 percent in the previous two sessions. With COVID-19 cases in China on a decline, European Union still working on an embargo on Russian oil and Russia itself sanctioning 31 companies in countries that have imposed sanctions on Russia, a premium building is seen in crude oil prices.

Also Read: Weak dollar, low Treasury yields push gold prices higher

It is slightly off after yesterday’s gain, but still on the higher side of the range.

Watch the accompanying video of CNBC-TV18’s Manisha Gupta for more details.

Catch the latest stock market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

Strong US dollar and weak global demand drag crude oil prices to a 2-week low

Crude oil prices are trading at 2-week low levels. Even after the prices were down 3 percent on Tuesday and 6 percent on Monday, the Asian markets have seen some buying coming.

The strength in the US dollar and the weak global demand continue to weigh and the markets also are reacting to the US inventories, which increased.

The Europe refiners and oil products stock, while at 1 billion barrels per day levels, is still 10 percent lower on a year-on-year (YoY) basis.

Also Read: Dollar hovers near two-decade high before inflation gauge

Markets are looking at European Union (EU) and Japan which have agreed to pay some but the Street is still awaiting the timeline details.

According to Energy Information Administration (EIA), the US crude production for this year is expected to be lower than what they had estimated earlier. So it has been revised down from 12 million barrels per day to 11.9 million barrels per day.

Also Read: 10 things to know before opening bell on May 11

It is going to be a choppy move continuing for the crude oil prices especially ahead of the US inflation data which will be released today.

Watch the accompanying video for more details.

Catch latest market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog

Oil, metal prices sink on demand concerns

Everything in commodities has seen a very sharp decline overnight. Crude oil prices sank 6 percent overnight. It is a strength in the US dollar, weak demand concerns and the China COVID-19 restrictions continued for another month clearly seem to be weighing on.

Not just crude, metals are also declining sharply. Silver, within the metal space, saw very sharp falls, and the prices fall to 21-month lows. Copper prices have fallen to the lowest levels in five months, aluminum prices are also trading at the lowest levels in the last four and a half months. Gold prices are down 1.5 percent overnight.

Weak manufacturing factory data has been witnessed, weak gross domestic product (GDP) numbers are coming in from various countries and the strength in the US dollar is making it even more difficult to buy them.

Watch the accompanying video for more details.

Catch latest market updates with CNBCTV18.com’s blog