Why this metals analyst has a ‘hold’ rating on Vedanta
Summary
Vikash Singh, VP-Metals & Mining, PhillipCapital also shared his view on other metal stocks.
PhillipCapital has a ‘hold’ rating on mining major Vedanta. Vikash Singh, VP-Metals and Mining at brokerage firm expects further gains from the stock given the ongoing base metals rally.
“We are still telling clients to hold on to this, not a great time to sell. There are some further gains which we can get. Base metals are in rally, and Vedanta is a pure play. So some more gains are yet to be derived from this stuff. So we are telling people to hold on.”
The Anil Agarwal-led mining conglomerate Vedanta. on May 13, will convene a board meeting on May 16 to consider the first interim dividend for April-March 2024-25 and deliberate on various fund raising strategies.
Vedanta would likely distribute the dividend it received from Hindustan Zinc. This indicates a revival of the dividend distribution, which paused last year. It is anticipated that this year, the dividend could amount to approximately ₹30 in total, Singh said.
He believes they might be considering a semiconductor or display making unit in India and the fresh funds could be for that.
Rahul Jain, an independent metal analyst, pointed out that Vedanta has been leading the charge in capacity expansion at a low cost. Despite facing significant balance sheet challenges, these issues are expected to gradually resolve, particularly if current commodity prices persist for six months to a year.
This could result in substantial earnings upgrades, fueled by factors such as reevaluation based on current commodity prices, currency depreciation, and increased integration of raw materials like new Bauxite and coal mines.
Singh is also optimistic about other public sector metals stocks. He is positive on Coal India.
NMDC, he says is entering a favourable phase structurally, with expectations of nearly 14 million tonne of additional steel capacity by fiscal year 2026, which would necessitate significant iron ore supply.
However, he refrained from commenting on Hindustan Copper due to a lack of coverage.
Nalco, he believes could benefit given that that alumina prices are rising, and there might be an aluminium deficit next year.
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