Adani Ports Share Price: 90% analysts remain bullish; See target of up to ₹1,782
Summary
A couple of top brokerages have raised their price targets and some even retained their bullish outlook after Adani Ports reported a healthy performance in the fourth quarter of financial year 2024.
Shares of Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd. will be in focus on Friday as a couple of top brokerages raised their price targets and some even retained their bullish outlook after the company reported a healthy performance in the fourth quarter of financial year 2024.
Global brokerage firm Citi has raised its target price on the stock from ₹1,758 per share to around ₹1,782 apiece, implying an upside of nearly 33%. The foreign brokerage said that Adani Ports not only reported a strong fourth quarter numbers but also gave a healthy a FY25 guidance.
Referring to Adani Ports as its top pick, Citi said the company has high quality and dominant underlying business and attractive valuations.
The brokerage in a note said that Adani Ports’ strong capex planned in FY25 not only underlines strong cash flows and balance sheet but also is an indication of intent to accelerate growth.
Another top broking firm Jefferies has maintained a ‘Buy’ recommendation on Adani Ports with an increased share price target of ₹1,640. HSBC finds the stock worth ₹1,560.
Jefferies said that Adani Ports will continue to gain market share; however, its March quarter operating profit or EBITDA was 5% lower than expectations as realisations were a tad lower.
The brokerage said that FY25 volume guidance at 460-480 MT, about 10-14% rise year-on-year, is in line with estimates. It also said that the management commentary was confident on a double digit growth.
HSBC said that Adani Ports’ FY25 guidance implies 10-14% growth, which it believes is achievable. The brokerage forecasts 15% EBITDA CAGR in FY24 to FY27.
Its FY25 EBITDA estimate is 4% above the higher-end of the company’s guidance range.
HSBC said that Adani Ports, India’s largest port operator, has the strongest ports and logistics ecosystem in the Asia transport coverage.
Adani Ports Q4 Update
The company’s Mundra Port handled 180 MMT cargo volume in FY24 and the firm said that it is well placed to cost 200 MMT in FY25.
Adani Ports reported a net profit growth of 76% compared to the year-ago period to ₹2,039 crore in the March quarter. The growth in the company’s bottom-line came despite a one-time loss of ₹373 crore during the quarter.
The firm incurred an expense of ₹215.9 crore with regards to a one-time settlement opted by employees of one of its foreign subsidiaries. It also saw a reclassification adjustment pertaining to transfer of foreign currency translation reserve worth ₹157.8 crore from other comprehensive income to the profit and loss account.
Its topline stood at ₹6,896.5 crore, up 19% for the January-March quarter. For the full financial year 2024, the company reported revenue of ₹26,711 crore.
For FY25, Adani Ports has guided for revenue to be in the range of ₹29,000 crore to ₹31,000 crore.
EBITDA increased by 20.3% year-on-year to ₹4,102 crore. While EBITDA margin expanded by 220 basis points to 58.6% from 58.4% last year.
Adani Ports expects EBITDA for financial year 2025 to be between ₹17,000 to ₹18,000 crore. At the higher end, this will be 13% higher than the ₹15,864 crore the company reported in the previous financial year.
The firm intends to spend between ₹10,500 crore to ₹11,500 crore in FY25 as capital expenditure. Out of the total capex, ₹7,300 crore is earmarked for the Ports business, ₹400 crore for Marine Services, ₹2,300 crore for Logistics and ₹1,500 crore for Decarbonisation.
Shares of Adani Ports ended 1.25% higher at ₹1,341.50 on Thursday. The stock has gained 100% over the last 12 months.
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