Roubini’s sense of doom running high amid Trump’s policy mix

Nouriel Roubini, the economist often known as “Doctor Doom,” believes that President-elect Donald Trump’s policy mix doesn’t make sense and will likely hurt manufacturing and lead to job losses.

“The market is going higher but think about his (Trump’s) economic policies … His sense of policy doesn’t make sense,” Roubini told CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Nouriel Roubini, the economist often known as “Doctor Doom,” believes that President-elect Donald Trump’s policy mix doesn’t make sense and will likely hurt manufacturing and lead to job losses.

“The market is going higher but think about his (Trump’s) economic policies … His sense of policy doesn’t make sense,” Roubini told CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Roubini explained that Trump’s proposed fiscal stimulus and lower taxes would lead to higher long-term interest rates and a further strengthening of the dollar, which would, in turn, hurt manufacturing.

“The supply-side trickle-down economic policies, they are not going to help the white working class,” he added. “A strong dollar is going to force him to become even more protectionist and bash globalization, trade and migration.”

The rise of the dollar based on the Federal Reserve model is going to lead, over the next year and a half, to 400,000 jobs lost being lost in manufacturing, Roubini claimed. He added that any attempts by Trump to talk down the currency would ultimately fail due to the fundamentals driving the dollar.

 5 Minutes Read

India set for slowest growth as demonetisation dents economy

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The country’s Central Statistics Office amended the way India counted its gross domestic product (GDP) numbers in January 2015, amending the base year to 2011-2012 from 2004-2005.

India seems set for four consecutive quarters of sub-7 percent growth for the first time since at least 2011, as the government’s demonetization drive triggers a shortage of cash, Societe Generale said.

The country’s Central Statistics Office amended the way India counted its gross domestic product (GDP) numbers in January 2015, amending the base year to 2011-2012 from 2004-2005.

Under this new series, which dates back to June 2011, India experienced three consecutive quarters of growth below 7 percent between December 2012 and June 2013, according to Kunal Kumar Kundu, India economist at SocGen. If Kundu’s forecasts turn out to be accurate, this would mark the first time growth will be below the 7 percent mark for four quarters in a row for the series.

A combination of crimped rural demand, falling capacity utilization and weakening business confidence could result in a far lower growth rate than India would be comfortable with, Kundu said in a note on Friday, starting with the quarter that ended December 31.

SocGen slashed India’s fiscal 2017 growth rate to 6.6 percent on-year from 7.3 percent previously. For fiscal 2018, which ends March 2019, the bank expects growth to be 7.2 percent on-year, down from an earlier projection of 7.7 percent.

“We also see the potential revival in already anemic private investment taking far longer than we originally anticipated,” Kundu added.

More than 50 days have passed since India introduced its demonetization program in November, impacting 86 percent of India’s currency in circulation. The government recalled existing 500 ($7.35)and 1,000 ($14.70)rupee notes and replaced with newly printed 500 and 2,000 rupee notes.

Initial data released in the aftermath showed the drastic slowdown in factory activity, in line with consensus.

Reuters reported the Nikkei/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 49.6 in December from November’s 52.3, its first reading below the 50 level that separates expansion from contraction, since December 2015. Meanwhile, consumer prices rose at annual rate of 3.41 percent in December, their slowest pace since November 2014, said Reuters, and well below the Reserve Bank of India’s 5 percent target by end of fiscal 2017.

Analysts reckon subdued consumer prices would leave the Reserve Bank of India with more room to cut rates. SocGen estimates two rate cuts of 25 basis points each for 2017.

SocGen also pointed to a study by the All India Manufacturers’ Organization (AIMO), which showed micro and small scale industries suffered 35 percent job losses and a 50 percent decline in revenue in the first 34 days since the demonetization program. By March 2017, those numbers could be as high as 60 percent drop in employment and 55 percent fall in revenue, according to AIMO. These industries usually are very reliant on cash transactions.

The study pointed out factors that contributed to the impact included “zero cash inflow, rules curtailing cash withdrawals, staff absenteeism, a weaker rupee, (and) choked fundraising options,” among others, Kundu said.

In his New Year’s eve address, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi introduced various procedures aimed to cushion the blow from demonetization. They included special provisions for senior citizens, villagers, entrepreneurs and small businesses.

“The very fact that Prime Minister Modi had to announce (systems of procedures) for certain sections of the population, is in itself a tacit admission that the effects of demonetization have been more painful than expected,” said Kundu.

He added the impact was likely more severe, since a large number of job losses could lead to a highly stressed household sector and weakening consumption – which are India’s main sources of protection against a slowdown.

To be sure, even with the reduced growth projections, India is set to remain one of the fastest growing major economies in the world, growing at more than twice the global growth rate. Some institutions are betting on India to pass key reforms and follow-up actions to them that would ease the way for longer term benefits as demonetization impact ebbs.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Asian shares lower, ASX down 0.6%, Nikkei slips 0.3%, Kospi flat

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

The Shanghai composite opened down 0.1 percent, while the Shenzhen composite opened 0.3 percent lower.

Currency swings overnight weighed on Asian equities Monday, following President-elect Donald Trump’s jolting comments that the dollar is too strong, prompting the greenback to fall to a one-month low.

Trump made his comment about that the dollar was “too strong” which makes it hard for American companies to compete with China, in an interview with the Wall Street Journal.

The US policy has been for a strong dollar since the Clinton administration’s Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is dues to speak later on Wednesday in the US on monetary policy goals.

The dollar index, which tracks the currency against a basket of major currencies, was at a one-month low at 100.53 in early Asian time.

Meanwhile, sterling saw its biggest one-day gain against the greenback overnight since October 2008 after British Prime Minister Theresa May announced her plan for a clean break between the UK and the European Union.

The pound soared against the softening dollar, to trade at USD 1.2355, earlier trading as high as USD 1.2415.

Down Under, the ASX 200 fell 0.55 percent in early trade, weighed heavily by its heavily-weighted financials sub-index.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.39 percent as the dollar/yen falls below the 113 handle and as financial stocks weigh.

A stronger yen is generally seen as a negative for Japanese stocks as it impacts the competitiveness of Japanese exports and lessens profits earned overseas when repatriated.

Toshiba jumped 2.02 percent, after the Nikkei financial daily reported that Toshiba was considering spinning off its semiconductor business and selling a partial stake in the unit to Western Digital.

South Korea’s Kospi slipped 0.21 percent, as the country grapples with a political scandal that has led to the impeachment by parliament of President Park Geun-hye and implicated the country’s largest conglomerate’s chief.

Samsung Group chief Jay. Y. Lee has arrived in court in Seoul on an arrest warrant issued by a special prosecutor over allegations he bribed President Park Geun-hye and one of her confidants in exchange for political favors. Samsung Electronics was up 0.22 percent, while Samsung C&T slipped 1.6 percent.

The Shanghai composite opened down 0.1 percent, while the Shenzhen composite opened 0.3 percent lower.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.79 percent in early trade.

Hong Kong-listed MGM China fell 2.38 percent while other casino stocks were positive, after the company announced that the opening date of MGM Cotai will be delayed from the second-quarter of 2017 to the second half of the year, the third revision of timing.

“We believe the delay is more due to construction challenges and getting the ‘right’ product for the opening, but needless to say, an on-time opening will require obtaining necessary government approvals in a timely manner,” said research analysts at Nomura, in a note on Wednesday.

In the broader currency markets, the yen strengthened against the dollar, at 112.96 compared to yesterday’s levels around the 114 handle, while the Australian dollar last traded at USD 0.7544 against the greenback.

Markets stateside were all lower, with the Dow Jones industrial average down 0.3 percent to close at 19,826.77, the S&P 500 finished down 0.3 percent at 2,267.89 and the Nasdaq composite ended 0.63 percent lower at 5,538.73.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Ken Rogoff sees ‘significantly faster’ growth under Trump

After years of languishing, the US economy looks poised to break out, according to Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff.

The three-pronged catalyst of lower taxes, less regulation and more domestic spending could push gross domestic product well above the trend of the past eight years, the noted author said.

“Yes, it still could all end very badly. The world is a risky place. If global growth collapses, US growth could suffer severely,” Rogoff wrote this week in an analysis for the World Economic Forum. “Still, it is far more likely that after years of slow recovery, the US economy might at last be ready to move significantly faster, at least for a while.”

Rogoff is most well-known for “This Time Is Different,” the seminal 2009 book he co-authored with Carmen Reinhart that examined the history and impact of financial crises.

Essentially, the book showed that breakdowns in financial systems exert far more economic impact than other types of recessions, and thus take longer from which to recover.

His latest missive, though, said the time for subscribing to “secular stagnation” — a term used by economist Larry Summers and others to describe long-term, low growth — is over.

Rogoff believes President-elect Donald Trump’s prescriptions for growth likely will put a halt to economic stasis. The eight years under President Barack Obama have seen annual GDP gains of only about 1.8 percent, well below trend growth of around 3 percent.

“Those who are deeply wedded to the idea of ‘secular stagnation’ would say high growth under Trump is well-nigh impossible,” Rogoff said. “But if one believes, as I do, that the slow growth of the last eight years was mainly due to the overhang of debt and fear from the 2008 crisis, then it is not so hard to believe that normalization could be much closer than we realize. After all, so far virtually every financial crisis has eventually come to an end.”

What that means for the economy is increased inflation and strong GDP gains. Rogoff figures inflation to run around 3 percent or more — the US Federal Reserve targets a 2 percent rate — while GDP growth should hit 4 percent, “at least temporarily.”

To be sure, there are downside risks.

Multiple estimates that Trump’s spending will add USD 5 trillion to the USD 19.9 trillion US debt load “seem sober.” But Rogoff poked Democrats who for years said it made sense to borrow money at low rates, only to contend now that the Trump plan will “pave the road to financial Armageddon.”

“Their hypocrisy is breathtaking, even if they are now closer to being right,” he said.

Rogoff also conceded that the Trump tax cuts will skew toward the wealthy, but they also will boost confidence. All that stands in the way of higher growth, he said, is Trump himself.

“If the new administration proves erratic and incompetent (a real possibility), dejection will quickly overwhelm confidence,” he said.

No point blaming globalization for world’s problems: Xi Jinping

China’s President, Xi Jinping, has said that economic globalization has powered global growth and should not be blamed for the world’s problems.

China’s President Xi Jinping takes to the stage at the World Economic Forum in Davos Tuesday, the first time a Chinese head of state has visited the business event.

Many leaders and market-watchers will be keeping a close eye on Xi’s speech, looking out for any clues as to what the president thinks of the current state of the global economy and globalisation.

One of the main areas of focus will be on whether Xi broaches the topic of the Asian country’s relationship with the US, especially with Donald Trump’s inauguration due this week.

At the forum, Xi is expected to promote “inclusive globalization” and warn that populist approaches can lead to “war and poverty”, according to Reuters who cited Chinese officials.

 5 Minutes Read

Mobile mkt worth $355bn,with 6 bn devices in circulation by 2020

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Smartphones and tablets already account for more than 60 percent of smart connected consumer devices, up from around 17 percent in 2008, according to research firm IHS Markit. The smartphone install base was four billion in 2016, with the 6 billion figure expected to be hit in 2020, IHS Markit says.

The global smartphone install base is set to grow 50 percent in the next four years to 6 billion devices totaling USD 355 billion in revenues, a new study claimed on Tuesday.

Smartphones and tablets already account for more than 60 percent of smart connected consumer devices, up from around 17 percent in 2008, according to research firm IHS Markit. The smartphone install base was four billion in 2016, with the 6 billion figure expected to be hit in 2020, IHS Markit says.

“Mobile innovations, new business models and mobile technologies are transforming every adjacent market as the mobile industry diversifies from the maturing smartphone market,” Ian Fogg, director at IHS Technology, said in a press release.

“Mobile devices and services are now the hub for people’s entertainment and business lives, as well as for communication. The smartphone has replaced the PC as the most important smart connected device.”

Apple and Samsung currently lead the smartphone market and both are set to release new flagship devices this year.

Payments, messaging apps to surge

Alongside the growth in hardware, global consumer spending on mobile apps is set to reach USD 74 billion by 2020 up from USD 54 billion in 2016. Africa, the Middle East and Latin America will be the fastest-growing regions for spend on mobile apps, according to IHS Markit.

“There are many opportunities for new apps, mobile payments and mobile money services. Asia, notably, will continue to play the number one role in the global apps market – accounting for more than 50 percent of consumers spending,” IHS Markit said in its report.

Two major services will grow on mobile – payments and messaging. The number of smartphones able to do device-based payment services will increase from 2.7 billion in 2016 to more than 5 billion by 2020, the report said.

“This integration across their range of devices, apps, content and services will be crucial if they want to tap into the next waves of growth,” IHS Markit noted.

Meanwhile, messaging apps such as WhatsApp will see their audience grow from more than 5 billion at the end of last year to 7.5 billion in 2020.

 

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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European markets open lower on Brexit concerns

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

The pan-European Stoxx 600 was 0.2 percent lower with most sectors trading negative.

Markets in Europe were lower on Tuesday as investors wait to hear from the U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May on her Brexit plans.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 was 0.2 percent lower with most sectors trading negative.

Prime Minister May is set to lay out 12 priorities for the U.K.’s departure from the European Union that will not leave the country in a “half-in-half- out” situation. According to the Daily Telegraph, May will confirm that Britain will exit the EU’s single market and customs union and focus on regaining control of the number of people entering and living in the country.

During Asian trading, the pound fell to a three-month low.

In corporate news, Reynolds American has announced Tuesday a merger deal with British American Tobacco. According to Reuters, British American Tobacco will buy 57.8 percent of Reynolds for $59.64 per share.

The global miner Rio Tinto maintained its guidance of 330 million-340 million tonnes for 2017. Alstom, Casino and Renault are also reporting their latest figures on Tuesday.

The calendar is busy with the opening address of the Chinese President XI Jinping the World Economic Forum in Davos, the release of the French budget balance data and the latest ZEW economic sentiment in Germany.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

Britain will not seek ‘half in, half out’ EU deal: PM May

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Those priorities will include leaving the European Union’s single market and regaining full control of Britain’s borders, several newspapers reported, reinforcing investor fears of a ‘Hard Brexit’ which has pushed the pound to some of the lowest levels against the U.S. dollar seen in more than three decades.

Britain will not seek a Brexit deal that leaves it “half in, half out” of the European Union, Prime Minister Theresa May will say on Tuesday, according to her office, in a speech setting out her 12 priorities for upcoming divorce talks with the bloc.

Those priorities will include leaving the European Union’s single market and regaining full control of Britain’s borders, several newspapers reported, reinforcing investor fears of a ‘Hard Brexit’ which has pushed the pound to some of the lowest levels against the US dollar seen in more than three decades.

More than six months after Britons voted to leave the EU, May has come under fire from investors, businesses and lawmakers for revealing little about the future relationship she will seek when she begins formal divorce talks by the end of March.

She is due to set out more detail on her plans on Tuesday in a speech to an audience including foreign diplomats and Britain’s own Brexit negotiating team.

“We seek a new and equal partnership, between an independent, self-governing, global Britain and our friends and allies in the EU,” May will say, according to advance extracts released by her office.

“Not partial membership of the European Union, associate membership of the European Union, or anything that leaves us half-in, half-out. We do not seek to adopt a model already enjoyed by other countries. We do not seek to hold on to bits of membership as we leave.”

The extracts did not set out explicit details of the future trading relationship she wants to have with the EU or what the 12 priorities would be, but media reported they would also include removing Britain from the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice.

Media reported May would be less explicit on her plans for the customs union, but that her emphasis on building new trade relationships would make clear Britain could be no longer a member in the way it is now.

Sterling fell sharply on Monday ahead of the speech on the prospect of a move away from preferential EU single market access and a hardening stance towards an economic bloc that accounts for roughly half of Britain’s exports and imports.

The EU would be likely to insist on freedom of movement for EU citizens in return for full access to the single market, while many of those who voted for Brexit did so precisely in order to be able to restrict immigration.

May will say she wants Britain to be a “magnet for international talent”, and a “great, global trading nation” that reaches beyond Europe to build relationships with other countries around the world.

She will also say that it is in Britain’s national interest for the EU to succeed.

“We will continue to be reliable partners, willing allies and close friends. We want to buy your goods, sell you ours, trade with you as freely as possible, and work with one another to make sure we are all safer, more secure and more prosperous through continued friendship,” she will say.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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 5 Minutes Read

Oil production in Asia declining at record levels:Wood Mackenzie

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand are among the biggest producers in Asia but the near having of crude oil prices since 2014 has hit the industry and resulted in an annual average base decline rate of around 7 percent within existing oil fields, Rodger pointed out.

Oil production in Asia-Pacific is declining at a rate not seen elsewhere in the world, with around half of losses coming from China alone, Wood Mackenzie has warned.

“We estimate 2016 production of 7.5 million barrels per day will fall by over a million barrels per day by 2020,” said Angus Rodger, the energy consultancy’s Asia-Pacific upstream research director.

China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand are among the biggest producers in Asia but the near having of crude oil prices since 2014 has hit the industry and resulted in an annual average base decline rate of around 7 percent within existing oil fields, Rodger pointed out.

“Lower oil prices and the severe cuts to upstream capex (capital expenditure) to mature assets has increased decline rates,” he explained in a new video published on Wood Mackenzie’s site.

Recently, global prices have staged a rebound as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers move to implement a supply cut of nearly 1.8 million barrels per day for the first half of 2017.

“Regional oil production will be underpinned by giant fields in Indonesia, Malaysia and China but these fields are super mature and will require expensive techniques, high break-evens and capex cuts,” Rodger said.

Moreover, the bulk of exploration in the region is on gas so there are far too few new oil projects to make up for dwindling production, he continued, pointing out there are only a handful of undeveloped fields that can be online by 2020.

“The scarcity of new oil discoveries over the last two decades combined with lower prices and hefty capex cuts, particularly to legacy fields, will see decline rates spiral across the region.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

Sterling at 3-month low, braces for May’s Brexit speech

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump’s protectionist policies are also undermining risk sentiment, helping to push up the yen back to its highest levels in more than five weeks.

The British pound flirted with a three-month low on Tuesday, hit by fears that Prime Minister Theresa May’s speech later in the day will set Britain on course to lose access to the lucrative European Union single market.

Concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump’s protectionist policies are also undermining risk sentiment, helping to push up the yen back to its highest levels in more than five weeks.

The pound was on the defensive at $1.2038, having slumped to a three-month low of $1.1983 on Monday, which was its weakest point in more than three decades barring the several minutes in early Asian trade on Oct 7 when it tanked to as low as $1.1491.

May will say Britain will not seek a Brexit deal that leaves it “half in, half out” of the European Union, according to her office, in a speech setting out her 12 priorities for upcoming divorce talks with the bloc.

Those priorities will include leaving the EU’s single market and regaining full control of Britain’s borders, several newspapers have reported since the weekend.

“It’s been reported that she is putting the border control over the EU market, so that could lead to a ‘hard Brexit’,” said Shinichiro Kadota, senior FX&rates strategist at Barclays.

“Given the high uncertainty, the pound’s volatility will be elevated in the near term, although in the mid- to longer-term, we are not that bearish on the pound because its valuations are so cheap if you look at its real effective rates,” he added.

The dollar slipped to 113.61 yen on Monday, hitting its lowest level in more than five weeks and having lost 4.2 percent from this year’s peak of 118.605.

In early Asian trade it edged down 0.2 percent to 114.00 yen, as Trump’s protectionist comments rattled some investors.

“Initially the markets took Trump’s protectionist rhetoric as bluff. But looking at the line-up of his advisers and his news conference, it’s increasingly clear that he is serious,” Barclays’ Kadota said.

The euro traded at $1.0600, capped for now by its 55-day moving average, which stood at $1.0639 on Monday and $1.0631 on Tuesday.

The German economic sentiment data due at 1000 GMT could attract some attention.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?