5 Minutes Read

China Vice FinMin: We must communicate better

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

The pledges came amid concerns about the state of China’s economy and Beijing’s ability to manage its own economic transition to a more consumer-led economy. Such concerns have even roiled market sentiment around the globe and augmented some steep drops for equity markets since last summer.

The Chinese government must continue to strengthen economic policy in the face of the tough challenges being posed by the financial sector, the country’s vice finance minister told CNBC on Wednesday.

“We still have many things that should be continually improved,” Zhu Guangyao told CNBC.

“We must very closely watch the market, particularly the financial sector,” he said, adding that total debt levels in the world’s second largest economy should also be carefully monitored.

His words come after China’s top brass pledged further reforms over the weekend while dispelling fears of a hard landing. On Saturday, Premier Li Keqiang announced a growth target of between 6.5 and 7 percent for 2016 at the annual National People’s Congress, down from last year’s “about 7 percent.”

The pledges came amid concerns about the state of China’s economy and Beijing’s ability to manage its own economic transition to a more consumer-led economy. Such concerns have even roiled market sentiment around the globe and augmented some steep drops for equity markets since last summer.

In a report last year, the International Monetary Fund underlined the challenges being posed, highlighting that the “current growth model” was not an option for China.

“China still has the buffers and tools to prop up growth through continued reliance on credit and investment-fueled growth. However, over time, declining efficiency of investment would weigh on growth and further strain the repayment capacity of the corporate sector,” the report stated.

It also highlighted a “no-reform scenario” that would require an increase in credit flow, which would boost the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio in the country and lead to investment efficiencies

“Eventually financial conditions for the private sector would tighten, leading to a sharp reduction in investment, much slower growth, and increasing risk of disorderly adjustment,” it said.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Markets eye $50 a barrel oil but rebalancing may not be over:IHS

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Oil prices jumped on Monday, with global benchmark Brent crude breaking above the vital USD 40-a-barrel level, a 50 percent price rise from January when prices hit a near 13-year low.

Predictions of an oil rally to USD 50 a barrel has markets excited, but IHS’s top oil analyst cautions that the commodity hasn’t done rebalancing yet.

Oil prices jumped on Monday, with global benchmark Brent crude breaking above the vital USD 40-a-barrel level, a 50 percent price rise from January when prices hit a near 13-year low.

Prices were buoyed by reports that Latin American crude producers would meet this Friday in Ecuador, sparking hopes of price-supportive measures.

Meanwhile, influential New York-based oil industry consultancy PIRA told Reuters that major OPEC producers were discussing a new price equilibrium of around USD 50 a barrel – a report that also helped push oil higher.

Oil prices slipped in Asian trade on Tuesday, with US benchmark WTI light, sweet crude down over 1 percent above USD 37 a barrel while Brent also down over 1 percent but still above USD 40 a barrel.

OPEC producers aren’t the only ones talking USD 50 oil.

RBC Capital Markets’ head of global commodities strategies Helima Croft told CNBC’s “Power Lunch” overnight that the oil market’s “psychology has changed.”

“Everyone is thinking about now the recovery to USD 50,” she said, citing a realization by OPEC producers that they needed USD 50 oil to avoid credit ratings downgrades and further austerity measures.

In a report last Thursday, Morgan Stanley analysts also forecast USD 50 a barrel oil by May, due to less bearish data and the fact that current low prices were unsustainable for most producers.

In support of its argument, Morgan Stanley pointed out that markets “did not collapse” even though Iran started shipping 500,000 more barrels a day in February, taking its exports up to 1.5 million barrels a day, according to tanker-tracking reports.

But IHS’ senior oil and gas analyst Victor Shum told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday that a move to USD 50 a barrel by May was too fast, too soon.

Calling even USD 40-a-barrel Brent “premature,” Shum said US production needed to fall meaningfully for a longer period of time to spur sustainable gains in oil prices, he said. The analyst expects oil to approach USD 50 only by the end of the year.

Although US onshore production dropped by 160,000 barrels a day from November to December, the global supply surplus was still more one million barrels a day, on top of a significant inventory overhang, Shum said.

“Nothing really much has changed fundamentally in the oil market … the current price rally is premature and it may reverse in the coming days,” he added.

A price rally now would only help support oil production, the last thing the market needed in an oversupplied market, he warned.

“With Brent at USD 40 … that’s going stop the decline in US onshore production; that’s going to prolong the rebalancing of the oil market that is going on today,” Shum said.

On the demand side, oil demand growth was likely to come in at 1.2 million barrels a day this year, down from 1.7 million barrels a day last year amid economic headwinds in China, the expert said.

As for talk of a producer-wide output freeze after February’s Russia-OPEC meeting, it bolstered market sentiment but was unlikely to be effective because Iran would not join in on a freeze and OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia had already said categorically that it would not take part in any production cut, he said.

“There is hope in the market that the talk of a freeze is the first step that will lead to a production cut [but] that’s really wishful thinking,” said Shum.

Morgan Stanley’s analysts were more optimistic of a meeting of minds.

“We think it matters a great deal that the Saudis and Russians and Iraqis and Iranians are talking. They may not be on the same page yet. But they’ve all opened a book and the title of that book is, to paraphrase Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi, ‘stabilizing markets’.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Could ECB solutions be creating more problems?

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Step forward “Super” Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank, who is widely expected to tinker with the euro zone’s financial plumbing this week in the face of weaker-than-expected inflation and six weeks of volatility weighing on business sentiment.

What a difference a few weeks make. Market sentiment seems to have improved and the fears of imminent recession now appear a touch hasty. But the question of where markets head next continues to depend on policymakers’ ability to deliver bold and decisive action.

Step forward “Super” Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank, who is widely expected to tinker with the euro zone’s financial plumbing this week in the face of weaker-than-expected inflation and six weeks of volatility weighing on business sentiment.

Once again, with the market already pricing aggressive action, there’s a risk of disappointment just as there was in December 2015. Analyst expectations include a 10-20 basis point cut in the deposit rate, taking it further in to negative territory, an increase of 10 -20 billion euros in monthly asset purchases, more longer-term cash available for borrowing and even a further extension in the maturity of the programme.

The problem for the ECB is that all the available options come with complications. The most immediate of those hazards applies to negative deposit rates and the impact on bank profitability and consumer behaviour, as the Bank for International Settlements highlighted this past weekend. The BIS warned that it was impossible to predict how borrowers or savers would react to the increasing possibility of negative rates for an extended period of time.

A negative deposit rate means that ordinary banks have to actually pay the ECB to deposit money, rather than receiving money as they would in a normal environment. The hope is that, instead of paying up, the banks will decide to lend the money instead. If they don’t lend, they have the choice of passing on the costs to depositors or suffer what is an effect tax on their business. And that’s at a time when profits are tough to come by.

A further complication is that it’s not just the euro zone that has resorted to negative rates, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden and most recently Japan are all applying this monetary policy tool.

Mohamed el-Erian told CNBC last week that the ‘system is not equipped to deal with negative rates all across the world.’

So while broader sentiment in the market recovers, I think it’s worth asking why the Stoxx Europe banks Index is still down 15 percent this year. Is this a sign that investors are growing increasingly concerned that the ECB has reached its limits and policy may now be doing more harm than good? And more importantly how cautious are the ECB?

Executive Board Member Benoit Cœuré noted in a speech on 2 March that the ECB is well aware of the issue but pointed out that ‘many (banks) have overcome negative central bank rates and the ECB’s commitment to price stability has actually supported banking profitability. A green light for more action there, I think.

No one has been more reticent about further stimulus than the Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann, who told me this month that the ECB was not a miracle-worker. And more is needed for euro zone policymakers. Yet even the German central banker drew a distinction between longer-term risks and support for the economy in the short term.

Kully Samra, Managing Director at Charles Schwab, pointed out on Squawk box Europe last week that we can’t blame bank balance sheets for the weakness. ‘The selloff of financial stocks can be attributed to a combination of factors including central banks’ negative interest rate policies.

However, the declines do not seem to be associated with a global financial crisis resulting from deterioration of bank balance sheets, since credit spreads for banks have only modestly increased relative to the selloff in these stocks. Also, bank credit spreads in Europe have widened less than those in the United States, suggesting that the sharp selloff in global financial stocks is more motivated by weak earnings than weak balance sheets.

The good news is that there are ways to reduce the spillover effects of negative rates. ECB vice-president Vitor Constancio said in a speech on Feb 19th that more stimulus could be provided in a way that mitigates “the immediate, direct impact on the cost on banks,” though he added that no decision had yet been made. Analysts at Barclays, BNP Paribas and RBC capital markets have all suggested a ‘tiering’ of deposit rates could follow to help reduce the cost. Discussion of that is something to look out for on Thursday and will no doubt provide some a relief for banks investors.

Whatever Draghi decides to pull from his toolkit this week, I’m reminded of a question I asked him this time last year about the impact of extraordinary policy on the profitability of the insurance and banking sector. He acknowledged the concern but also said it was a ‘high class’ problem. The inference being that there were bigger issues to solve.

At the time I certainly agreed with him. But seven years after the crisis and with over a fifth of global gross domestic product now covered by central banks with negative rates, I think we are approaching the point where that “high-class” problem becomes a “high-cost” one.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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China exports, imports fall sharply in February

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 12.5 percent drop in February exports, and a 10.0 percent drop in imports, after China’s exports fell 11.2 percent in January from a year earlier and imports slid 18.8 percent.

China’s exports fell 25.4 percent on-year in February, while imports declined 13.8 percent, clocking far bigger slides than expected by analysts.

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a 12.5 percent drop in February exports, and a 10.0 percent drop in imports, after China’s exports fell 11.2 percent in January from a year earlier and imports slid 18.8 percent.

According to Reuters, the on-year decline in exports in February was the steepest since May 2009.

China’s trade surplus came in at USD 32.59 billion in February, against analysts’ expectations of a USD 50.15 billion surplus.

Separately, yuan-denominated data showed exports fell 20.6 percent in February and imports dropped 8.0 percent from a year ago. That left the country with a trade surplus of 209.5 billion yuan (USD 32.2 billion) for the month.

The trade data will again kindle concerns about the health of the world’s second-largest economy. Economic growth slowed to a 25-year low of 6.9 percent in 2015, debt has ballooned, capital outflows have accelerated in recent months and last week Moody’s Investors Service warned that it may lower the country’s debt rating.

At the opening of the National People’s Congress at the weekend, China’s leaders forecast growth of between 6.5 percent and 7 percent this year, and indicated they were willing to spend more to goose an economy that is shifting to a greater dependence on consumption, having been previously driven by manufacturing.

China’s central bank also cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks last week in a bid to free up surplus cash in the banking system and spur lending.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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This is where China’s outflows went

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

China’s rush of capital outflows may not be a huge red flag, if you look at where the funds flowed. Bank for International Settlements (BIS), suggests a big chunk may have gone toward unwinding a once-faddish investment: Buying yuan, also known as the renminbi.

China’s rush of capital outflows may not be a huge red flag, if you look at where the funds flowed.

Sleuthing by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which acts as a bank for central banks, suggests a big chunk may have gone toward unwinding a once-faddish investment: Buying yuan, also known as the renminbi, offshore as a play on expectations the Chinese currency would continue to appreciate against the dollar as well as the mainland’s slightly higher interest rates amid a yield-starved world.

Expectations have now shifted toward renminbi depreciation, making holding the currency relatively unattractive. Of the around USD 175 billion decline in cross-border loans to China in the third quarter, nearly half came from offshore depositors backing out of the yuan, the BIS said, citing data from banks reporting to it.

While analysts have speculated that investors have been selling Chinese assets and sending the fund offshore, the BIS downplayed that as a source of outflows.

Another big chunk came from Chinese companies paying down their foreign debt, the BIS said as part of its quarterly review published this month, noting that expectations the renminbi would weaken provided an incentive to pay down foreign currency debt.

The BIS analysis finds that Chinese firms reduced their cross-border net debt over the third quarter, with the amount denominated in currencies other than the renminbi accounting for around USD 34 billion of the outflows.

The outflows weren’t stanched in the fourth quarter of last year and may have accelerated, the BIS noted. While the outflows related to offshore renminbi deposits slowed to USD 24 billion from the third quarter’s USD 80 billion, other data show acceleration, it said.

Onshore net foreign currency loans contracted USD 29 billion, widening from the third quarter’s USD 7 billion, the BIS said.

Outflows may accelerate further: The first quarter suggests “greater strains” than the latter half of last year, the BIS said.

“Many market participants interpreted the PBOC’s management of the exchange rate in early January as signaling an intended depreciation against the dollar,” the BIS said. “In this event, offshore depositors might not hold onto maturing renminbi deposits and Chinese firms would still have reason to repay dollar-denominated debt.”

Also Read:
China’s RRR cut shows yuan, outflow worries easing

At least one China risk seems to be fading

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Oil rises as traders close short positions, US cos cut rig count

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Front-month Brent crude futures were trading at USD 39.20 per barrel at 0127 GMT, up almost half a dollar and over a percentage point from their last settlement. That is almost a third above 2016 lows from mid-February, when prices hit levels not seen since 2003.

Oil prices opened strongly on Monday after rallying in the previous session, supported by tightening supply and strengthening sentiment around a market recovery.

Front-month Brent crude futures were trading at USD 39.20 per barrel at 0127 GMT, up almost half a dollar and over a percentage point from their last settlement. That is almost a third above 2016 lows from mid-February, when prices hit levels not seen since 2003.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures were trading at USD 36.36 a barrel, up 44 cents and from their last close and 40 percent above February lows.

“US shale producers continue to pull rigs from the ground in an effort to conserve capital,” ANZ bank said on Monday.

US energy firms last week cut oil rigs for an 11th week in a row to the lowest level since December 2009, data showed on Friday, as producers slashed their drilling rig count to focus on uncompleted wells amid low oil prices.

Drillers removed eight oil rigs in the week ended March 4, bringing the total rig count down to 392, oil services company Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report.

Beyond a tightening supply outlook, ANZ said that a shift in sentiment was also pushing prices as traders shut down short positions that had bet on further falls in prices.

“Short-covering in commodities continues to push prices higher. This week’s slew of economic data releases in China, however, will determine if this rally continues,” the bank said.

BMI Research, a subsidiary of ratings agency Fitch Group, said that “the next four to six weeks will mark the inflection point”, but added a cautionary note in saying that “bloated crude inventories and seasonally softer demand” also posed a downside risk to prices.

The company said that it expected Brent and WTI to average USD 40 and USD 39.50 per barrel respectively in 2016.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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 5 Minutes Read

Asia markets mostly higher, but Japan falls behind

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The Japanese benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 0.31 percent in morning trade, while the broader Topix slipped 0.74 percent. Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi was up 0.25 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.38 percent in early trade

Japan fell behind its regional peers as most major Asian markets rose on Monday as traders digested last Friday’s non-farm payroll in the US and China’s new economic targets announced at the National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting over the weekend.

The Japanese benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 0.31 percent in morning trade, while the broader Topix slipped 0.74 percent. Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi was up 0.25 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was up 0.38 percent in early trade.

Chinese markets were higher, with the Shanghai composite up by 0.69 percent, while the Shenzhen composite added 2.36 percent.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.95 percent, boosted by gains in the energy, materials and heavily-weighted financials sector. The sectors were up 2.4, 2.9 and 0.88 percent respectively.

Vishnu Varathan, senior economist at Mizuho Bank, said in his morning note that while the strong non-farm payroll data in the US might suggest another Federal Reserve rate hike, the weak wage data, suggests that the Fed will not rush into a hike.

“For now, the focus on Fed push-back of further tightening may be justifiably buying some relief for broader risk markets. But relief is a fleeting driver of trades,” he said. “Improved global condition, and critically China’s backstop on growth slowdown, are imperative. The NPC provided some guidance, but no immediate panacea.”

China’s new economic targets for 2016, released on Saturday at the National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting, included a revised growth target of between 6.5 and 7 percent, a consumer price index growth target of around 3 percent and a budget deficit at 3 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), Reuters reported.

Evan Lucas, market strategist at IG, said in his morning note that the revised GDP target for 2016 is “almost a ‘whatever it takes’ comment, and shows China will not take its foot off the growth accelerator.”

Qu Hongbin, chief China economist at HSBC, wrote in a morning note that the NPC outcome reflected a “significant expansion” of fiscal policy.

“This will provide greater support to the financing needs of infrastructure projects, which holds the key to [stabilize] growth,” Qu said. “We expected infrastructure investment will be become stronger, and there will be more progresses in tax reduction, increased subsidy to migrant workers’ property purchase needs and other supply side reforms in 2016.”

Chinese infrastructure plays were mixed, with China Communications Construction down 1 percent, while China Railway Construction and China Railway Group were up 2.21 and 1.64 percent, respectively.

In currency trade, the Australian dollar slipped against the US dollar after touching USD 0.7443 Friday, its highest level for 2016. The pair was trading down 0.4 percent at 0.7411 as of 9:51 a.m. HK/SIN time.

Down Under, miners gained broadly, with Rio Tinto up 3.32 percent, BHP Billiton up 5.26 percent and Fortescue adding 11.45 percent, following gains in base metal prices. Iron ore was up 0.7 percent at USD 52.40 a tonne, its highest since October. In his note, Lucas noted that Fortescue, which is up around 73 percent over the past 29 trading days, is the lowest cost iron-ore producer.

Chinese metal players were also higher, with Baoshan Steel adding 4.45 percent, Yunnan Copper up by 6.81 percent and Baotou Steel higher by 2 percent.

But Lucas warned that if China decides to clean up its spare capacity in coal and steel, it might “cap iron ore’s current rise now and into the medium term future.”

The Japanese yen also maintained its strength against the dollar, staying at the 113 handle. The pair traded at 113.72 as of 10:00 a.m. local time. Japanese exporters traded mixed, with Toyota down 2.26 percent and Nissan adding 0.82 percent. A stronger yen is usually a negative for exporters as it reduces their overseas profit when converted into local currency.

In China, before market open, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) fixed the yuan mid-point rate at 6.5113, compared with Friday’s fix of 6.5284. The dollar/yuan pair traded nearly flat at 6.5125 as of 9:54 a.m. HK/SIN time.

In the energy market, US crude futures were up 1.7 percent at USD 36.53 a barrel as of 10:07 a.m. HK/SIN time, after gaining 9.5 percent last week. Globally traded Brent futures were up 1.65 percent at USD 39.35 a barrel, after gaining 10.31 percent the previous week.

Energy plays across the region were mixed, with Santos adding 1.03 percent and Woodside Petroleum up 2.78 percent. Japanese oil plays Japan Petroleum, Inpex and Fuji Oil were down between 0.65 and 1.98 percent. Chinese mainland energy plays were mostly up, with Sinopec adding 3 percent and China Petroleum up 0.64 percent.

The US non-farm payroll number released Friday showed the US economy added a better-than-expected 242,000 jobs in February, mitigating some concerns that the economy was joining a global economic slowdown. Economists had expected 190,000 new positions.

On Friday, major US indexes closed up, with the Dow Jones industrial average up 0.37 percent, the S&P 500 adding 0.33 percent and the Nasdaq composite gaining 0.2 percent.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

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Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Question 1 of 5

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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

Facebook to pay more UK tax after overhaul

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The US company has come under heavy criticism after reports last year, citing documents filed to the UK registrar of companies, showed it paid a total of £4,327 (USD 6,584) in corporation tax in the UK in 2014.

The social media giant Facebook will pay millions more to the UK government after an overhaul of its current tax system.

The US company has come under heavy criticism after reports last year, citing documents filed to the UK registrar of companies, showed it paid a total of £4,327 (USD 6,584) in corporation tax in the UK in 2014.

However, on Monday it will start notifying large UK customers that they will receive invoices from Facebook UK and not Facebook Ireland. Thus, Facebook will no longer funnel larger advertising sales through its Irish subsidiary which had allowed it to avoid higher taxes in the UK

“UK sales made directly by our UK team will be booked in the UK, not Ireland. Facebook UK will then record the revenue from these sales,” Facebook confirmed in a statement to CNBC.

“In light of changes to tax law in the UK, we felt this change would provide transparency to Facebook’s operations in the UK The new structure is easier to understand and clearly recognizes the value our UK organisation adds to our sales through our highly skilled and growing UK sales team.”

Facebook will account for more revenue in the UK and pay a higher level of corporation tax on the profits it makes in the country. The news was first reported by the BBC but it’s as yet unclear precisely how much tax it will now pay.

The new arrangement will begin in April this year but will be not backdated.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

Migrant crisis deepens: ‘Do not come to Europe’

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

On Thursday, European leader tried a different tack, warning economic migrants not to even attempt to come to Europe.

The divisions over the migrant crisis in Europe are widening with some leaders trying to deter more arrivals from coming to the region while others are using the crisis as a way to cajole UK voters into remaining in the EU.

On Thursday, European leader tried a different tack, warning economic migrants not to even attempt to come to Europe. Donald Tusk, the president of the European Union, implored economic migrants – those travelling to a better way of life rather than because their lives are in danger – not to come to the region during a press conference in Athens.

“I want to appeal to all potential illegal economic migrants wherever you are from: Do not come to Europe. Do not believe the smugglers. Do not risk your lives and your money. It is all for nothing,” Tusk said, according to AFP.

Tusk had met with Greece’s Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras earlier in the day to discuss the country’s handling of the migrant crisis.

Greece is struggling with the amount of migrants arriving on its shores, with thousands of people now stranded in temporary camps and unable to travel onwards (and northwards) as neighboring countries in the Balkans have closed their borders.

Greece has also accused Europe of leaving it to deal with the crisis alone at a time when its recession-hit economy is already under strain. Thousands of migrants and refugees arriving on the continent, most of whom coming from the Middle East and Syria.

With over a million migrants arriving in 2015 alone, according to the UN, and thousands arriving since the start of the year, European leaders are divided over how and where to relocate those in most need and it’s proving hard to separate economic migrants from refugees. Eastern European countries are opposing a quota system to resettle migrants with Hungary planning a referendum to let the public choose.

France caused a stir with the UK on Thursday as it used the region’s migrant crisis as a means to pressure the UK ahead of its own referendum on whether to remain a member of the European Union (EU).

Following on from comments made earlier in the day by economy minister Emmanuel Macron, who suggested that France could end UK border controls in Calais, French President Francois Hollande verified that this could happen.

“I don’t want to scare you, I just want to say the truth – there will be consequences (if the UK leaves),” he said.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
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Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
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Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

 5 Minutes Read

I see bubbles bursting everywhere: Yale professor

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Price levels are already falling in parts of Europe. Inflation declined by an annualized 0.2 percent in the euro zone in February, according to an estimate from the European Union’s statistical body.

Deflationary tides are lapping the shores of countries across the world and financial bubbles are set to burst everywhere, Vikram Mansharamani, a lecturer at Yale University, told CNBC on Thursday.

“I think it all started with the China investment bubble that has burst and that brought with it commodities and that pushed deflation around the world and those ripples are landing on the shore of countries literally everywhere,” the high-profile author and academic said at the Global Financial Markets Forum in Abu Dhabi.

Price levels are already falling in parts of Europe. Inflation declined by an annualized 0.2 percent in the euro zone in February, according to an estimate from the European Union’s statistical body.

Annualized inflation was flat in Japan in January (the latest month for which there is official data), but rose by a narrow 0.3 percent in the UK.

On Thusday, Mansharamani said that financial bubbles had been fueled by “cheap money” created by highly accommodative monetary policy across developed economies.

“I mean, we’ve got a bubble bursting, I would argue, in Australian housing markets — that is beginning to crack; South Africa — the whole economy; Canada — housing and the economy; Brazil. We can keep going on and on,” the academic told CNBC.

Financial markets have suffered a rocky ride this year, with significant variation across the world. The US benchmark S&P 500 equity index is down 2.8 percent since the start of 2016, while China’s Shanghai Composite index has tumbled more than 19 percent.

On Thursday, though, markets were in “risk-on” mode. The CBOE’s VIX — a widely used indicator of risk aversion – dipped to its lowest level in 2016 and “safe-haven” US Treasury notes traded at three-week lows.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?