5 Minutes Read

Asian equities falter following US losses

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

The US major indexes finished 1 percent lower each amid renewed strength in the US dollar and some upbeat data that could bolster the case for a quicker-than-expected rate hike. Wall Street reopened for its first trading day of the week after being closed for Monday’s Memorial Day.

Asian equity markets traded mixed early Wednesday, following a unimpressive lead from Wall Street overnight.

The US major indexes finished 1 percent lower each amid renewed strength in the US dollar and some upbeat data that could bolster the case for a quicker-than-expected rate hike. Wall Street reopened for its first trading day of the week after being closed for Monday’s Memorial Day.

Nikkei flat

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 reversed a lower open to hover marginally above the flatline, as the dollar-yen touched 123.28 – the currency pair’s highest level since July 2007.

The relatively weak yen ensured a mixed open for export-oriented stocks; Sharp and Toyota Motor opened up 0.6 and 0.4 percent, respectively, but Sony and Nintendo lost over 1 percent each.

Oil-related counters took a hit from a 3 percent drop in crude oil prices overnight; Inpex was among the biggest laggards in early trade with a 2.4 percent decline, while JX Holdings and Showa Shell notched down 0.8 and 0.3 percent, respectively.

ASX drops 0.5 percent

Australia’s S&P ASX 200 index declined in early trade as a rejuvenated greenback weighed on commodity prices.

Gold miners Kingsgate Consolidated and Newcrest Mining tanked 3.9 and 1.6 percent, respectively, after spot gold tumbled 2 percent to a two-week low overnight. Among energy producers, Santos led losses with a 1.1 percent slump.

Fortescue Metals remains in the spotlight following a report by the Australian Financial Review on Tuesday, which said the iron ore miner has held discussions to get investments from Chinese companies. Shares of the world’s fourth-biggest iron ore producer reversed a lower open to rise 1.5 percent, after surging 10.6 percent in the previous session.

Insurer Suncorp dropped 0.5 percent as it prepares for an investor briefing later in the day.
Kospi loses 1.4 percent

South Korea’s Kospi index led losses in the region early Wednesday to hit a one-week low.

Several corporate news are in focus; steelmaker Posco slumped 1.4 percent after it dispelled market rumors that it would sell its trading affiliate Daewoo International Co.

Kumho Asiana Group, the parent company of Asiana Airlines, said it will buy Kumho Buslines Co. for 415 billion won (USD 375.1 million). Shares of the No.2 air carrier in South Korea bounced 3.4 percent in early trade.

Outperforming the bourse for the second straight session following Tuesday’s merger announcement, Samsung’s de facto holding company Cheil Industries and construction affiliate Samsung C&T jumped 6 and 7 percent, respectively.

Shanghai Comp

Due to open at 0930 SIN/HK, China’s key Shanghai Composite may break a seven-session winning streak on Wednesday, according to IG’s market strategist Bernard Aw.

“The China A50 futures suggest that bulls may take a breather today… A clutch of positive news over the past two days has helped sentiment in the Chinese stock markets, but this could be eclipsed by the 23 A-share initial public offerings (IPOs) slated for June 2-3,” he wrote in a note.

Year to date, the Shanghai bourse has risen 50.95 percent.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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 5 Minutes Read

The Chinese want to challenge Apple on its home turf

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Apple has continued to make its presence felt on the global smartphone market but there’s a group of players looking to tackle the US tech giant on its home turf – the Chinese.

Apple has continued to make its presence felt on the global smartphone market but there’s a group of players looking to tackle the US tech giant on its home turf – the Chinese.

As the smartphone market in the world’s largest economy begins to slow, domestic manufacturers are looking overseas and see potential in the US

A large number of companies from China have expressed an interest in entering the US market, but trying to dislodge Apple from the top spot could be tricky business.

Established players such as electronics giant Lenovo and mobile infrastructure titan Huawei are continuing to invest in expanding their products into the US Meanwhile upstart handset group Xiaomi has opened an international online store to sell its low-cost accessories and said smartphones would follow in the future. In April, Chinese video streaming site LeTV – known as the “Netflix of China” – launched a smartphone that said would come to the US within a year.

The success of Xiaomi in China – estimated to be worth USD 45 billion following a recent round of funding – was due to its tactic of selling high-spec budget devices, a strategy followed by all of the Chinese smartphone makers. Two of the top five vendors in the world are Chinese, showing the dominance they are now commanding.

“The home market is now not as good as it was, so the chance to make higher margins in other markets is attractive,” Ben Wood, chief of research at CCS Insight, told CNBC by phone.

But the strategy and level of recognition the brands had in China might not mean success as they move west.

Image problems

One of the biggest challenges for China’s tech giants, according to analysts, is building a brand in a market where Apple has a 41 percent market share. Huawei told CNBC earlier this year that branding and marketing is a “huge priority” while ZTE announced a sponsorship deal with the New York Knicks, Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors NBA teams last year.

“They have to spend a disproportionate amount of money to even get on the radar. That is a challenge that they face,” Wood said.

On top of this, Chinese brands have an image problem in the US and are widely mistrusted. For example, in February, Lenovo laptops were found to have pre-installed spying software on them.

Consumers in China and other emerging markets are also more likely to buy a handset outright, making cheap devices very attractive. But in the US, contracts with mobile carriers are the dominant method of buying a phone, meaning users can slowly pay for premium devices. Because this payment method is so popular, Chinese players might find it hard to generate enough interest in a cheaper handset.

Legal challenges?

And expanding to the US could also lead them in a lot of legal trouble when it comes to intellectual property.

Xiaomi only has 101 US patents with only 2 granted patents. Apple on the other hand has about 8,200 active patents and patent applications, according to patent and litigation consulting firm LexInnova. ZTE has 1,874 US patents, while Lenovo has around 2,978 thanks to its acquisition of Motorola last year. But this is tiny when compared to the 37,151 patents owned and applied for by Samsung, 17,502 by Sony and 14,456 by LG.

“Both Apple and Samsung have been forthright in using their patent portfolios to protect their business interests. Leading Chinese challengers, Xiaomi and Lenovo, have very limited patent protection in the US market to avoid litigation from the incumbents,” Rana Pratap, principal technology consultant at LexInnova, told CNBC by email.

Chinese ‘relentless’

Despite the headwinds, China’s smartphone makers cannot be counted out in the US A number of companies from Sony to Samsung have been struggling in the smartphone business and this could provide an ample opportunity for China’s finest to swoop in.

“There is no room for complacency among existing players because the Chinese are relentless. If you are Sony or HTC for example, the last thing you need is the Chinese coming in with an extremely low margin when you are struggling to make money,” Wood said.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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 5 Minutes Read

Oil is back on the rise, and traders try to predict a top

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

A quiet consensus appears to be coalescing in the oil market, as some traders now expect mild gains for crude through the summer — and into the rest of the year.

A quiet consensus appears to be coalescing in the oil market, as some traders now expect mild gains for crude through the summer — and into the rest of the year.

That represents a sharp turnaround from earlier in the year, when surging US production, and OPEC’s powerlessness to stop it, sent crude reeling. Although Brent is off by nearly 40 percent year to date, prices have rebounded significantly enough for market players to expect those gains to continue.

“I’m looking for it to trade USD 65, USD 70 by the Fourth of July, and I don’t think the market gets much above that,” said NYMEX-based energy trader Anthony Grisanti.

In Grisanti’s view, summer demand for oil products is set to drive the commodity higher. At the USD 70 level, however, an increase in supply from those who have slowed production will cap the commodity’s gains.

The same level is being eyed by Phillip Streible, a Chicago-based futures broker with RJO Futures.

“The continued decline in production provides an opportunity that will present itself from now till the end of the year,” he told CNBC in an e-mail. “I would expect crude oil to work its way back up to USD 70.”

Brian Stutland, another Chicago-based trader, echoed that sentiment.

There’s “a bull pattern in oil, but I think USD 65 to the upper 60s range is probably the top,” he said. That price will send suppliers “coming back in and flooding the market. So there’s a lot of overhang at that level, and I’d be a seller up there,” Stutland added.

However, “below USD 60 a barrel, I’m a buyer, and I think the trend for the rest of the summer will be slightly to the upside for crude.”

Volatility plunges as prices rise

After a massive plunge and a substantial bounce-back, the international Brent contract has currently settled into a comfortable range between USD 55.73 and USD 66.58 over the past month.

Yet over the last two weeks, that has further narrowed into a USD 4 range. Meanwhile, the crude oil volatility index, which uses options prices to measure market expectations of future moves, has been halved since the start of February.

Meanwhile, the crude oil futures curve has become much flatter recently, meaning that the expected magnitude of the oil bounce has diminished. Currently, crude oil futures for December delivery are trading at a mere 2.5 percent premium to the front-month July contract.

Yet not everyone forecasts a mild grind higher for the commodity. Last week, Goldman Sachs turned bearish on commodities, forecasting that West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil contract would “retrace its lows” near USD 45 before staging a recovery.

“Oil demand typically peaks in late July or early August, but refineries are running at such a record pace that we’re stealing demand and moving it forward,” said Stephen Schork, the editor of the Schork Report. Refiners are seeing high profit margins based largely on gasoline outperforming crude.

“I’m looking for demand to start tailing off earlier than normal—in late June or early July—which supply stays robust,” he said. “Put those two factors together, and I think we do head lower—that’s just Econ 101,” Schork said.

“I’m looking for another dip below USD 50.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Stocks fail to hold gains; dollar recovery, data eyed

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Stocks moved little following an afternoon speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that said a rate hike would be appropriate this year if the economy improves. She noted that first quarter weakness was largely transitory and that it would take several years for rates to return to normal.

US stocks closed lower on Friday, failing to hold highs touched during the session, as investors eyed inflation data and Fed Chair Yellen’s speech ahead of the long weekend.

“The narrative is you’re getting a market that’s looking for a liftoff in September and we’re technically sailing,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities. “The most important thing (this week) was stability in the dollar and yields.”

Hogan said it was “constructive” that the stock market continues to trade near highs despite mixed economic data. After a pause in its recent accelerated rise, the dollar rose on Friday to post its first positive week in six. The greenback index gained more than 1 percent with the euro lower at USD 1.10.

Stocks moved little following an afternoon speech by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen that said a rate hike would be appropriate this year if the economy improves. She noted that first quarter weakness was largely transitory and that it would take several years for rates to return to normal.

“Basically she didn’t say anything really, really new,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Rockwell Global Capital.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq failed hold gains in the close. Earlier, both indices extended gains to trade higher, with the Nasdaq briefly above its record close of 5,092.09.

The Dow closed near its lows for the day, about 50 points lower, despite Goldman Sachs ending about 1.4 percent higher at a 52-week high to lead blue chips gains. Financials were the week’s third-best performing sector in the S&P.

“The financials have been quite strong all week,” Cardillo said. “The market is looking ahead (and thinking) there will be monetary (policy) change this year. That’s probably why we’re seeing this strength in financials.

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS, said the 0.8 percent decline in the Dow transports was weighing on equities. Pressured primarily by airlines, the index lost about 2.3 percent this week, its worst since March 27.

The transports are down 6.7 percent in the last six months, versus the Dow Jones industrial average’s approximately 2.4 percent gain.

“Transports are a direct link to the economy… if we’re not shipping as many products we’re hurting transports,” said Lance Roberts, general partner at STA Wealth Management. “This is really the big thing that worries me.” He expects a slight correction this summer.

Stock index futures turned mildly negative on the inflation report and the 2-year Treasury yield topped 0.61 percent, but longer-end bond yields initially held steady before creeping higher. The 10-year yield traded near 2.22 percent.

The cash bond market closed early today at 2 p.m. ET ahead of the long weekend.

“Investors are starting to price in … a rate hike some time in 2015,” said Andrew W. Ferraro, wealth advisor at Strategic Wealth Partners. The consumer price index came in “a little higher. That may suggest a slightly earlier rate hike.”

Fed fund futures priced in a 45 percent chance of rate hike in September, up from 40 percent earlier and 35 percent last week.

The Labor Department said on Friday its Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1 percent last month, with the core figure discounting food and energy costs up 0.3 percent, for the largest gain since January 2013.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI edging up 0.1 percent from March and dipping 0.1 percent from a year ago.

“I think it’s a decent sign for the economy,” said Todd Hedtke, vice president for investment management at Allianz Investment Management. “I don’t think it’s a good sign for capital markets. It’s been a ‘goldilocks’ market for so long. You’re going to see some pressure. But the bottom line, the inflation inching north is a positive sign. We need to see a little more of that spending.”

Much of the recent economic data indicated moderate growth, but not enough to warrant an interest rate hike soon. 

Despite better jobs data, consumer spending and price increases were mostly muted. The Federal Reserve is watching for enough strength in employment and inflation, of which CPI is an input, to support a rate hike.

“I think it wasn’t an outstanding number,” TD Ameritrade chief strategist JJ Kinahan said of the CPI read. “But when you’re at all-time highs and no blow-away numbers it’s an excuse to sell.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 53.72 points, or 0.29 percent, at 18,232, with Boeing leading laggards and Goldman Sachs and Apple the greatest advancers.

The S&P 500 closed down 4.75 points, or 0.22 percent, at 2,126.07, with telecommunications the greatest of nine laggards and information technology the only advancing sector.

The Nasdaq closed down 1.43, or 0.03 percent, at 5,089.36.

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, traded near 12 after hitting a year-to-date low of 11.82.

Nearly two stocks declined for every advancer on the New York Stock Exchange, with an exchange volume of 617 million and a composite volume of 2.5 billion in the close.

Crude oil futures for July settled down USD 1.00 at USD 59.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, marking the 10th positive week in a row. Data going back to 1983 does not show a longer stretch of consecutive gains.

Gold futures settled down 10 cents at USD 1,204.00 an ounce.

Microsoft and Salesforce had significant talks about an acquisition but failed to reach a deal on price differences, sources familiar with the situation told CNBC.

Earnings out on Friday included Campbell Soup, Deere, Foot Locker before market open.
Lions Gate Entertainment earnings came in 7 cents above estimates with adjusted quarterly profit of 39 cents per share, but revenue fell considerably below analyst forecasts.

BlackBerry will buy back about 2.6 percent of its outstanding shares, to negate potential negative effects of a proposed employee stock purchase plan.

Hewlett-Packard reported adjusted quarterly profit if 87 cents per share, 2 cents above estimates, though revenue was slightly shy of forecasts. The company also issued weaker-than-expected current quarter guidance. Investors are taking note of a positive development—lower-than-expected expenses for the separation of its personal computer and printer businesses into a separate company.

Deere & Co. earned USD 2.03 per share for its latest quarter, beating estimates of $1.55 despite a slight revenue shortfall. Deere noted a weak global agricultural sector, but said good execution aided its bottom line.

Foot Locker beat estimates by 6 cents with earnings of USD 1.29 per share. Revenue and same-store sales were above analyst forecasts, and the company said the quarter was the most profitable in its history.

Campbell Soup earned an adjusted 62 cents per share for its latest quarter, 10 cents above estimates, though revenue fell short due to currency effects. Campbell said its full-year sales would fall towards the lower end of its projected range, but earnings would be at the more favorable end.

European equities closed mixed on Friday as investors focused on a central bank meeting in Portugal and Yellen’s speech.

Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), spoke at the event in Sintra, Portugal earlier Friday. He said that the economic outlook for the euro zone is looking “brighter today than it has done for seven long years.”

China’s Shanghai Composite gained 8.1 percent for the week, its strongest since the week ending December 5, 2014, when it rose 9.5 percent.

The S&P 500 ended mildly higher on Thursday above its previous record close of 2,129.20 to post its 10th closing high for the year.

“Investors are going into this weekend knowing there isn’t any catalyst to force the Fed to move anytime soon and that means we’re all data-dependent,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of Sarhan Capital.

Durable goods orders and another read on first-quarter GDP come out next week.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

Next Article

Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

LIVE TV

today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

India to be top economy by 2050: Adi Godrej

Adi Godrej, the 73-year old patriarch and chairman of Indian conglomerate Godrej Group has high hopes for the country’s economy.

“I think by the next financial year, India will be the fastest growing major economy in the world. I’m very optimistic about India’s economic future, and I feel that by 2050… India will become the largest economy in the world.”

Speaking to CNBC’s Oriel Morrison in an “Entrepreneur Asia: Power Players” interview, Godrej praised Narendra Modi’s government for its bold vision to develop India’s economy through campaigns like “Make in India” and “Smart Cities”.

“The Modi government is very growth oriented, very reform oriented, so I believe they’ll do good work. But of course, we have a raucous democracy. Nothing moves as fast as one would like to, just by clicking one’s fingers. But I expect we’ll do very well.”

That said, Godrej admits more can be done to encourage entrepreneurship and improve the ease of doing business in India.

“We’re a free enterprise country, but a lot of restrictions have been brought in in terms of ease of doing business over the years, and that needs to be cleared. We must make entrepreneurs feel that they can work easily, work freely without the tax man sitting on their backs, without bureaucrats holding things up. I think this government has clearly defined its intention to do that.”

Expansion plans

Godrej currently heads the 118 year of Godrej Group, whose business spans consumer goods, real estate, appliances, security solutions, agri-business and many other sectors.

The Mumbai-based company now has operations in 28 countries around the world and aims to expand to more emerging markets.

While the group remains very much family owned, its subsidiaries such as Godrej Industries and Godrej Properties are listed on the India’s stock exchanges.

“The advantages of family businesses, is that decision-making can be very quick. Unlike non-family corporates, where the Chairman keeps changing, where the directors keep changing,” said Godrej.

“(But) we insist that only extremely well-educated family members join the group. They can remain shareholders, but if they want to join the group, they must be at least as well-educated as our management trainees, who are highly educated people,” he added.

Godrej earned his MBA from MIT Sloan School of Management before taking the helm of his family business.

Read More: Why India’s reforms are different this time

Successor still uncertain

Today, all three of his children, Nisa, Tanya and Pirojsha are working in the company.

But when asked which of the three will be his successor, Godrej was reluctant to reveal details.

“We haven’t decided that yet. We have a plan on how to go about it, but I think all three will play very important roles. We have several companies in the group, so we’ll need to plan.”

 5 Minutes Read

John Nash, who inspired ‘A Beautiful Mind’, dies at 86

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Dr. Nash, and his wife, Alicia, 82, were killed when the taxi they were riding in lost control and hit a guard rail and another vehicle, said Sgt. Gregory Williams of the New Jersey State Police.

John F. Nash Jr., a mathematician who shared a Nobel Prize in 1994 for work that greatly extended the reach and power of modern economic theory and whose decades-long descent into severe mental illness and eventual recovery were the subject of a 2001 film, “A Beautiful Mind,” was killed in a car crash Saturday in New Jersey. He was 86.

Dr. Nash, and his wife, Alicia, 82, were killed when the taxi they were riding in lost control and hit a guard rail and another vehicle, said Sgt. Gregory Williams of the New Jersey State Police.

Sergeant Williams said the taxi was traveling southbound on the New Jersey Turnpike when the driver lost control while attempting to pass another vehicle. Dr. and Ms. Nash were ejected from the vehicle and pronounced dead at the scene. The taxi driver and the driver of the other car were treated for non-life threatening injuries. There are no criminal charges at this time.

Dr. Nash was widely regarded as one of the great mathematicians of the 20th century, known for the originality of his thinking and for his fearlessness in wrestling down problems so difficult few others dared tackle them. A one-sentence letter written in support of his application to Princeton’s doctoral program in math said simply, “This man is a genius.”

Read More: Nobel-winner Schiller wrong on housing: Sternlicht

His theory of noncooperative games, published in 1950 and known as Nash equilibrium, provided a conceptually simple but powerful mathematical tool for analyzing a wide range of competitive situations, from corporate rivalries to legislative decision making. Dr. Nash’s approach is now pervasive in economics and throughout the social sciences and is applied routinely in other fields, like evolutionary biology.

Harold W. Kuhn, an emeritus professor of mathematics at Princeton and a longtime friend and colleague of Dr. Nash’s who died in 2014, said, “I think honestly that there have been really not that many great ideas in the 20th century in economics and maybe, among the top 10, his equilibrium would be among them.” An economist, Roger Myerson of the University of Chicago, went further, comparing the impact of Nash equilibrium on economics “to that of the discovery of the DNA double helix in the biological sciences.”

Dr. Nash also made contributions to pure mathematics that many mathematicians view as more significant than his Nobel-winning work on game theory, including solving an intractable problem in differential geometry derived from the work of the 19th century mathematician G.F.B. Riemann.

His achievements were the more remarkable, colleagues said, for being contained in a small handful of papers published before he was 30.

“Jane Austen wrote six novels, Bach wrote six partitas,” said Barry Mazur, a professor of mathematics at Harvard who was a freshman at M.I.T. when Dr. Nash taught there. “I think Nash’s pure mathematical contributions are on that level. Very, very few papers he wrote on different subjects, but the ones that had impact had incredible impact.”

Yet to a wider audience, Dr. Nash was probably best known for his life story, a tale of dazzling achievement, devastating loss and almost miraculous redemption. The narrative of Dr. Nash’s brilliant rise, the lost years when his world dissolved in schizophrenia, his return to rationality and the awarding of the Nobel, retold in a biography by Sylvia Nasar and in the Oscar-winning film starring Russell Crowe, captured the public mind and became a symbol of the destructive force of mental illness and the stigma that often hounds those who suffer from it.

John Forbes Nash was born on June 13, 1928, in Bluefield, W. Va. His father, John Sr., was an electrical engineer. His mother, Margaret, was a schoolteacher.

As a child, John Nash may have been a prodigy but he was not a sterling student, Sylvia Nasar noted in a 1994 article in The New York Times. “He read constantly. He played chess. He whistled entire Bach melodies,” Ms. Nasar wrote.

In high school, he stumbled across E.T. Bell’s book, “Men and Mathematics,” and soon demonstrated his own mathematical skill by independently proving Fermat’s classic theorem, an accomplishment he recalled in an autobiographical essay written for the Nobel committee.

Intending to become an engineer like his father, he entered Carnegie Mellon (then called Carnegie Institute of Technology). But he chafed at the regimented courses, and encouraged by professors who recognized his mathematical genius, he switched to mathematics.

Receiving his bachelor’s and master’s degrees at Carnegie, he arrived at Princeton in 1948, a time of great expectations, when American children still dreamed of growing up to be physicists like Einstein or mathematicians like the brilliant, Hungarian-born polymath John von Neumann, both of whom attended the afternoon teas at Fine Hall, the home of the math department.

John Nash, tall and good-looking, quickly became known for his intellectual arrogance, his odd habits — he paced the halls, walked off in the middle of conversations, whistled incessantly — and his fierce ambition, his colleagues have recalled.

He invented a game, known as Nash, that became an obsession in the Fine Hall common room. (The same game, invented independently in Denmark, was later sold by Parker Brothers as Hex.) He also took on a problem left unsolved by Dr. von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern, the pioneers of game theory, in their now classic book, “Theory of Games and Economic Behavior.”

Dr. von Neumann and Dr. Morgenstern, an economist at Princeton, addressed only so-called zero-sum games, in which one player’s gain is another’s loss. But most real world interactions are more complicated, where players’ interests are not directly opposed, and there are opportunities for mutual gain.

Dr. Nash’s solution, contained in a 27-page doctoral thesis he wrote when he was 21, provided a way of analyzing how each player could maximize his benefits, assuming that the other players would also act to maximize their self-interest.

This deceptively simple extension of game theory paved the way for economic theory to be applied to a wide variety of other situations besides the marketplace.

“It was a very natural discovery,” Dr. Kuhn said. “A variety of people would have come to the same results at the same time, but John did it and he did it on his own.”

After receiving his doctorate at Princeton, Dr. Nash served as a consultant for the RAND Corporation and as an instructor at M.I.T. and still had a penchant for attacking problems that no one else could solve.

On a dare, he developed an entirely original approach to a longstanding problem in differential geometry, showing that abstract geometric spaces called Riemannian manifolds could be squished into arbitrarily small pieces of Euclidean space.

As his career flourished and his reputation grew, however, Dr. Nash’s personal life became increasingly complex. A turbulent romance with a nurse in Boston, Eleanor Stier, resulted in the birth of a son, John David Stier, in 1953.

Dr. Nash also had a series of relationships with men, and while at RAND in the summer of 1954, was arrested in a men’s bathroom for indecent exposure, according to Ms. Nasar’s biography. And doubts about his accomplishments gnawed at him: two of mathematics’ highest honors, the Putnam prize and the Fields medal, had eluded him.

In 1957, after two years of on-and-off courtship, he married Alicia Larde, an M.I.T. physics major from an aristocratic Central American family. But early in 1959, with Alicia pregnant with their son John, Dr. Nash began to unravel.

His brilliance turned malignant, leading him into a landscape of paranoia and delusion, and in April, he was hospitalized at McLean Hospital, outside Boston, sharing the psychiatric ward with, among others, the poet Ezra Pound.

It was the first step of a steep decline. There were more hospitalizations. He underwent electroshock therapy, fled for a while to Europe, sending cryptic postcards to colleagues and family members, and for many years he roamed the Princeton campus, a lonely figure scribbling unintelligible formulas on the same blackboards in Fine Hall where he had once demonstrated startling mathematical feats.

Though game theory was gaining in prominence, and his work cited ever more frequently and taught widely in economics courses around the world, he had vanished from the professional world.

“He hadn’t published a scientific paper since 1958,” Ms. Nasar wrote in the 1994 Times article. “He hadn’t held an academic post since 1959. Many people had heard, incorrectly, that he had had a lobotomy. Others, mainly those outside of Princeton, simply assumed that he was dead.”

Indeed, Dr. Myerson recalled in a telephone interview that one scholar who wrote to Dr. Nash in the 1980s to ask permission to reprint an article received the letter back with one sentence scrawled across it: “You may use my article as if I were dead.”

Still, Dr. Nash was fortunate in having family members, colleagues and friends, in Princeton and elsewhere, who protected him, got him occasional money and work, and in general helped him survive. Alicia Nash divorced him in 1963, but continued to stand by him, in 1970 taking him into her house to live. (The couple married a second time in 2001).

By the early 1990s, when the Nobel committee began investigating the possibility of awarding Dr. Nash its memorial prize in economics, his illness had quieted. He later said that he simply decided that he was going to return to rationality. “I emerged from irrational thinking, ultimately, without medicine other than the natural hormonal changes of aging,” he wrote in an email to Dr. Kuhn in 1996

Colleagues, including Dr. Kuhn, helped persuade the Nobel committee that Dr. Nash was well enough to accept the prize — he shared it with two economists, John C. Harsanyi of the University of California at Berkeley, and Reinhard Selten, of the Rheinische Fredrich-Wilhelms University in Bonn, Germany — and they defended him when some questioned giving the prize to a man who had suffered from a serious mental disorder.

The Nobel, the publicity that attended it, and the making of the film were “a watershed in his life,” Dr. Kuhn said of Dr. Nash. “It changed him from a homeless unknown person who was wandering around Princeton to a celebrity, and financially, it put him on a much better basis.”

Dr. Nashcontinued to work, traveling and speaking at conferences and attempting, among other things, to formulate a new theory of cooperative games. Friends described him as charming and diffident, a bit socially awkward, a little quiet, with scant trace of the arrogance of his youth.

“You don’t find many mathematicians approaching things this way now, bare handedly attacking a problem,” the way Dr. Nash did, said Dr. Mazur.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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China’s bull market just getting started: Gartman

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

Last week, a trio of Hong Kong-listed stocks injected a dose of fear into Chinese markets when they unexpectedly shed billions of dollars off their market caps in a matter of hours. Yet according to Dennis Gartman of “The Gartman Letter,” China’s bull market is still intact.

Last week, a trio of Hong Kong-listed stocks injected a dose of fear into Chinese markets when they unexpectedly shed billions of dollars off their market caps in a matter of hours. Yet according to Dennis Gartman of “The Gartman Letter,” China’s bull market is still intact.

While other singular stocks could see similar volatility, the widely-followed analyst tells CNBC the average investor shouldn’t be afraid of investing in the world’s second-largest economy.

China stocks finished off the week at seven-year highs, extending a huge run for the Shanghai Composite Index, which has nearly doubled in just the past 6 months. Under the surface of China’s rally, however, a number of companies were hit hard by a tumultuous week of trading.

Read More: China’s richest man loses USD 15 billion

‘Never just one cockroach’…but stay a buyer

Shares of solar company Hanergy Thin Film Power dropped nearly 50 percent on Wednesday, causing the company’s chairman to lose USD 15 billion in mere minutes. Then on Thursday, Goldin Financial Holdings and Goldin Properties plummeted as much as 60 percent each. Those companies said they were not aware of any reason for the massive moves lower, according to a Reuters report.

Gartman said the sudden price collapses could be a troubling signal for some other high-flying Chinese names. “There’s never just one cockroach,” he said on CNBC’s “Fast Money” last week. “This is going to become a series of events I’m afraid.”

Gartman compared the wild swings this week to similar circumstances that investors in the volatile US biotech sector have seen again and again. For example, earlier this month shares of Puma Biotechnology lost nearly a quarter of their value when the company’s cancer trial results missed expectations.

The analyst said that just as investors shouldn’t shy away from buying broader biotechnology exchange traded funds just because some components see wild moves, so too should they not be discouraged from investing in China because of this week’s volatile swings.

Read More: With tech firms facing China hurdles, play these names: Pro

According to Gartman, if the trend of high-flying Hong Kong names crashing back to earth continues, it will “give us a chance, finally, to be a buyer of Chinese stocks.”

Dramatic price swings “will send enough people to the sidelines, put enough fear in people to stay on the side and send prices lower,” he said. “Then you can be a buyer, and you should be.”

Gartman said that if China’s market corrects between 10 and 20 percent in the next couple months, he would look to get exposure to what he calls the shift to a “consumer-driven, consumer-oriented” society via two exchange-traded fund (ETF) plays.

“I think the easiest thing is to go to FXI and PEK. Those are the 2 dominant ETFs. I think that’s the only way for the public to be involved in a market that divergent, that far away, that geographically removed.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Loan recovery eludes India’s banks despite growth pick up

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

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Summary

A recovery in India’s credit growth could elude the country’s banks until early 2016, despite an economy that in the first three months of this year is expected to have outpaced China.

A recovery in India’s credit growth could elude the country’s banks until early 2016, despite an economy that in the first three months of this year is expected to have outpaced China.

A 12.6 percent growth rate in lending in the fiscal year that ended on March 31 was the lowest in almost two decades, and would have been lower but for a surge in the last two weeks. In the two weeks to May 1, it slowed to 10.5 percent.

Reporting earnings for the quarter ending in March, India’s top bankers said they had seen an increased level of inquiries from firms and individuals. But there was no substantial rise in loans, meaning a full recovery could still be months away, as India’s debt-burdened firms battle to get back on track.

That lag contrasts with official growth figures that are expected to show this week that India’s economy grew 7.4 percent last fiscal year — numbers likely to again confound economists and firms still suffering from slack demand.

“The project pipeline which was very, very thin even last quarter, we are now beginning to see more and more projects coming in,” said Arundhati Bhattacharya, chairman of State Bank of India, the country’s largest bank.

“My own anticipation is another two quarters down the line we should definitely begin to see this pick up happening, and the last quarter of the financial year… should be quite good.”

Bhattacharya forecast loan growth of 14 percent for the current financial year to March 2016 for SBI. That compares with an adjusted 10.5 percent in the year just ended.

“People who meet us are all very hopeful and bullish on a recovery starting. Some queries have started coming for new proposals also, but not in a very big way,” said Ashwani Kumar, chairman of state-owned Dena Bank.

“This was not the scenario four or five months back.”

Read More: Indian billionaire worries about disruptive technology

India’s firms have seen debt levels nearly triple in the past five years and are struggling to digest debt already on their balance sheets after two years of weak economic expansion.

“I look at infrastructure, and in this industry there is not much change. Banks are a little wary of lending to infrastructure because there have been delays and other problems,” said Issac George, chief financial officer of infrastructure firm GVK.

Although bank loans still account for bulk of the credit in India, another factor that has weighed on bank loans is cheaper availability of funds through commercial papers and bonds.

Commercial paper issuances jumped more than 80 percent last fiscal year, according to estimates from rating agency ICRA. Including commercial papers, bonds and overseas borrowing, total credit available in the system grew 14.5 percent last year — outpacing growth in bank loans.

“What is really hitting the credit growth for banks is that investments are not really picking up,” said Vibha Batra, group head of financial sector ratings at ICRA. “Even if this investment proposals start coming in, it won’t be before the second half that you would see a meaningful credit growth.”

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
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Alibaba’s latest ploy: Fosters local brands to fight fakes

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

Criticized and even sued by luxury brand Gucci and others for facilitating the counterfeit goods trade, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding has been quietly piloting a scheme to try to curb fakes at source.

Criticized and even sued by luxury brand Gucci and others for facilitating the counterfeit goods trade, Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding has been quietly piloting a scheme to try to curb fakes at source.

In the coastal city of Putian, in Fujian province, Alibaba is working with 17 shoe manufacturers to cultivate home-grown brands online, revitalize a flagging industry and offer would-be counterfeiters an alternative source of livelihood.

Critics say the scheme is misguided and Alibaba should instead focus on scrubbing its online marketplaces of widespread listings of fakes.

But the “Made in China” plan speaks to what proponents say is one of the reasons why there’s been only limited progress in the battle against fake goods in China: a lack of attractive alternatives for those making and hawking goods that infringe on others’ intellectual property rights.

“You can crack down forever and never see an end to it,” said Song Zonghu, who once peddled counterfeit name-brand sneakers and now runs Shuangwei Sporting Goods, one of the firms in the Alibaba program. “Creating new opportunities while cracking down is the way to go. Everybody has to eat.”

Jack Ma: Women key to Alibaba’s ‘yin-yang balance’

At Alibaba’s inaugural “Global Conference on Women and Entrepreneurship”, founder Jack Ma highlighted the integral role of women in the success of the e-commerce giant.

Ni Liang, Alibaba’s senior director of Internet security, says the scheme is a key anti-counterfeit initiative this year. The group plans to expand it to household electronics, toys, bags and other industries, hoping that by building local brands, small manufacturers will turn away from fakes and serve a legitimate sector.

Logistics hub

Putian is the epicenter of China’s high-quality fake sneaker business, a byproduct of a legitimate footwear industry that employs a tenth of the city’s 3 million people. Copies of Nike, Adidas, New Balance and other brand-name shoes made here are hard to distinguish from the real deal, but sell for a fraction of the price.

The municipal government has cracked down on fakes, arresting 156 people and confiscating about 2 million pairs of counterfeit footwear since 2014, said Wu Haiduan, director of the Putian e-commerce office.

He declined to give an estimate of the overall size of the industry, but a grid of Putian’s sleepy daytime streets near government offices comes alive at night, offering hints as to the scale of the issue.

Hundreds of scooters ferry shoes as runners duck in and out of off-brand storefronts or apartment blocks to fetch more boxes. Sellers check each shoe for blemishes, wielding scissors or cigarette lighters to eliminate stray threads and pencil erasers to clean the foam midsoles. Fake certificates and phony credit card receipts are tucked in with the shoes.

Read More: Traders bet on short-term Alibaba rally

Dozens of curbside courier services then wrap and stack the boxes ready to be trucked out by daybreak.

Sales bump

Alibaba has trained the shoe manufacturers in online business, helped on quality control and marketing, and run sales promotions. In one 3-day campaign, the shoe brands sold over 4 million pairs – or two every three seconds – worth 480 million yuan (USD 77.5 million), said Alibaba spokeswoman Crystal Liu.

Sneakers are just the start.

“We’ve received more than 60 requests from other industries,” said Jeff Zhang, head of Alibaba’s domestic retail marketplaces, which include the Taobao and Tmall shopping sites.

For most, the hope is that Alibaba can help re-tool local industry in the face of rising costs and shrinking overseas orders. “They’re all looking for a model that can help them upgrade their local manufacturing,” said Zhang.

Song, the businessman, sees the Alibaba scheme as an economic lifeline, and says the future of his Siweiqi brand canvas shoes, which resemble Converse All-Stars, depends on continued support with sales promotions and exposure. “What we’ve seen so far is just a signal,” he said.

A sales bump is one thing, but building a successful brand is quite another, said Shaun Rein, managing director at marketing firm CMR China. “It’s kind of unlikely to be successful because it’s not so easy just to create a brand out of nowhere,” he said. “For Alibaba, the key is to make a show that they’re trying to crack down on fakes,” he added, noting the company takes a cut on all sales – fake or legitimate.

The American Apparel & Footwear Association, which has lobbied the US government to put pressure on Alibaba, says the company should focus on making it easier for brands to get listings of fake products taken off Alibaba websites.

Read More: Alibaba’s chances of success in US and Europe ‘limited’:Analyst

“The programs that are going to be the most effective for us are going to be those that really address removing these products from the site,” said AAFA Executive Vice President Steve Lamar, adding that progress has been very slow.

Alibaba removed 12 million product listings last year following complaints from brands, Ni said. He defended the takedown procedures, which critics say are cumbersome, saying that about 40 percent of suspected listings in brand complaints turned out to be genuine or impossible to confirm as fake.

Standing by a motorcycle laden with Nike and Adidas boxes in Putian, Xiao Zhen says business ebbs and flows with the cycle of crackdowns, but won’t dry up any time soon – even if Alibaba can help boost a few successful home-grown brands.

“If everyone could afford famous shoe brands there wouldn’t be anyone making fakes,” she said.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

 Daily Newsletter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

Previous Article

Oil Fluctuates as Traders Assess China’s Vow, Unrest in Libya

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Shanghai residents turn to NFTs to record COVID lockdown, combat censorship

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today's market

index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
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Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?

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Traders hoped for a more interesting Yellen, got same old

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

 Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Summary

The consumer price index, excluding energy and food, rose 0.3 percent, compared to expectations for 0.2 percent. Headline CPI gained 0.1 percent as expected, meaning overall prices actually fell 0.2 percent year over year. Core prices, however, rose 1.8 percent, closer to the Fed’s inflation target.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen stuck to her script Friday, even though traders had hoped a jump in consumer prices would force the central banker to give a nod to the improved inflation data. Yellen reiterated comments that the Fed is on track to raise rates this year and that inflation will ultimately move to 2 percent as the economy strengthens.

The consumer price index, excluding energy and food, rose 0.3 percent, compared to expectations for 0.2 percent. Headline CPI gained 0.1 percent as expected, meaning overall prices actually fell 0.2 percent year over year. Core prices, however, rose 1.8 percent, closer to the Fed’s inflation target.

“It’s basically the first summer Friday. It’s before a long weekend. She hardly strays from her FOMC colleagues in normal times. She said we’re still on track to raise rates,” said John Canally, strategist and economist at LPL Financial. “She didn’t say we’re going to tighten soon or in June, so I think that leaves September or December.”

Traders had speculated that Yellen would have to address the move higher in consumer prices because inflation is one of the Fed’s main issues. They said if the pickup in consumer inflation continues, it would be key in determining whether the central bank will need to move sooner to raise rates.

Treasury yields moved higher after CPI, while the yield curve flattened—indicating the market believes a rate rise could come sooner. According to RBS, fed funds futures are now giving 45 percent odds for a Fed rate hike in September, up from a perceived 35 percent chance last week.

After Yellen’s afternoon comments, yields stayed roughly in the same range they had been trading in, and stocks gained slightly but were still mostly lower on the day. The dollar index moved higher, adding 0.2 percent after her remarks.

“(CPI) was a gain, a bigger-than-expected gain, and there’s been a steady gain in core for the last few months, so in the near term it certainly is influential and brings on the ever-increasing risk of a Fed move. But I don’t think we need to change the odds very much,” said David Ader, Treasury strategist at CRT Capital.

Yellen spoke in Rhode Island to the Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce on the economy, and she did not take questions.

Read More: Stockman: Stocks and bonds will ‘crash soon’

 

Ader said he hoped to get insight into whether the Fed was concerned about the rise in core inflation or whether it was looking elsewhere. Yellen did give a nod to labor market improvement, and said there were some encouraging improvements to wage growth this year. However, wage data in the CPI on Friday showed zero movement.

Traders had also been anxious about the timing of Yellen’s comments, delivered during pre-holiday trading and on a day when some markets close early. Chicago pit trading in foreign exchange and interest rates futures closed early, at 1 p.m. ET, just as Yellen started to speak. But electronic trading remained open. The Treasury cash market was to close early at 2 p.m. ET, and stocks were to remain open until 4 p.m. ET, as usual.

“I think the market has adjusted in anticipation. Yields are higher at the front end by 4 basis points, implying that she’ll be more hawkish, but the benchmark 30-year is down on the day. People are betting there’s going to be a flatter curve,” said Ader ahead of Yellen’s speech. “The best-performing issue is the 30-year so if you think the Fed might hike, that’s supportive of the back end, relative to the front end.”

Tyler Tucci, RBS short-term markets and derivatives strategist, said according to his firms’ calculations, fed funds futures Friday morning showed a 100 percent chance for a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike by December. The odds had been as low as 88 percent for December recently after some traders placed bigger bets on January for the first increase.

Art Cashin, director of floor operations for UBS at the NYSE, said the bond and stock markets had different interpretations of the importance of the CPI number.

“Stock guys shrug it off, pointing to distort that is primarily health cost (government related). Bond types see it as somewhat inflationary and fed fund futures move for an earlier Fed liftoff and bond yields rise. Gold seems to side with stock types,” Cashin wrote in a quick note.

Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist at Jefferies, said one factor pushing up CPI was rent, and the other inflation data have not been strong enough to change his view that the Fed will hold off on rate hikes until December.

“The bottom line is there’s very little signs of inflation of any type. It’s a think day. Hope springs eternal. People want to get the Fed off zero. Numbers like we saw today are not going to do that,” McCarthy said, noting the decline in last week’s PPI and drops in import prices.

But yet, the markets wonder how much the Fed, stating it is data-dependent, will take notice of this one CPI reading.

“All of a sudden, we have back-to-back core CPI advances of 0.23 percent and 0.26 percent in March and April. I certainly do not expect core inflation to be that firm every single month, but I have to wonder how many more of these Fed officials will need to see before they stop worrying about deflation,” wrote Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities.

Read More: Economist says Fed policies could lead to disaster

“A 0.3 percent increase in the core CPI is such a rare event that it holds considerable shock value, even though the unrounded gain was ‘only’ 0.256 percent. In fact, there have only been four 0.3 percent rises in the core CPI since the financial crisis, and each of them was 0.25 percent or 0.26 percent unrounded. The last time we had a larger monthly increase than 0.26 percent was January 2008,” he wrote.

JPMorgan economists, in a note, said they do not expect to see the CPI translate into a gain in the core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure because of the influence of health-care costs.

Medical care in the PCE index is based on inputs from the producer price index, which were softer than CPI data. JPMorgan expects the core PCE to be up 1.3 percent over a year ago.

As for CPI, they noted that medical care services rose 0.9 percent, helping lift core services, up 0.3 percent, the highest since June 2008. Rent measures also gained, with owners equivalent rent rising 0.28 percent. Airfares fell for a second month, losing 1.3 percent.

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

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KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow

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index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -72.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +28.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +30.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -14.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95
index Price Change
nifty 50 ₹16,986.00 -7.15
sensex ₹1,882.60 +8.30
nifty IT ₹2,206.80 +3.85
nifty bank ₹1,318.95 -1.95

Currency

Company Price Chng %Chng
Dollar-Rupee 73.3500 0.0000 0.00
Euro-Rupee 89.0980 0.0100 0.01
Pound-Rupee 103.6360 -0.0750 -0.07
Rupee-100 Yen 0.6734 -0.0003 -0.05
Quiz
Powered by
Are you a Crypto Head? It’s time to prove it!
10 Questions · 5 Minutes
Start Quiz Now
Win WRX (WazirX token) worth Rs. 1500.
Question 1 of 5

What coins do you think will be valuable over next 3 years?

Answer Anonymously

Should Elon Musk be able to buy Twitter?