Gold retreats as dampened Fed rate cut hopes dent appeal

KV Prasad Jun 13, 2022, 06:35 AM IST (Published)

Listen to the Article (6 Minutes)

Gold prices slipped on Monday as hopes for early interest rate cuts this year dampened, while focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. non-farm payrolls data due this week for further clarity on monetary policy.

Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,327.09 per ounce by 0334 GMT. U.S. gold futures were down 0.4% at $2,338.30.

“Short term, gold is facing some challenges given the likely delayed timeline for rate cuts. However if gold can remain in the $2200-$2350 range, the precious metal will be well positioned to capitalise on any potential downturn in U.S. macro data in coming quarters,” Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade said.

Also Read: Oil declines as US steps up efforts to secure a truce in Gaza

The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting from April 30-May 1 and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday are key for markets this week. The Fed is seen holding its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.25%-to-5.5% at this meeting.

“If we happen to hear a hawkish tilt from (Fed Chair) Jerome Powell this week, combined with another solid jobs print, gold could be facing a test of some key support levels on the downside,” Waterer said.

Investors are currently pricing in a single rate cut this year and see it coming in November, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool after a batch of sticky U.S. inflation data and hawkish rhetoric from Fed officials including Chair Jerome Powell.

Also Read: Fidelity sees rupee as top carry trade pick on RBI’s tight grip

Higher rates reduce the appeal of holding non-yielding gold.

“A seasonal pullback in regional demand is probable into mid-2024, but a structurally stronger consumption trend via the retail and PBoC (People’s Bank of China) channel is supportive of a higher gold price floor, boosting the base case for $3,000 per ounce gold over the next 12-15 months,” Citi research wrote in a note, adding that CNY devaluation fears may enhance local buying.

Spot silver rose 0.3% to $27.24 per ounce, spot platinum was up 0.5% to $919.95 and palladium gained 0.1% to $954.94.

Also Read: Japanese Yen slides past 160 against the US Dollar, a first since 1990

Elon Musk forms several ‘X Holdings’ companies to fund potential Twitter buyout

3 Mins Read

Thursday’s filing dispelled some doubts, though Musk still has work to do. He and his advisers will spend the coming days vetting potential investors for the equity portion of his offer, according to people familiar with the matter

KV Prasad Journo follow politics, process in Parliament and US Congress. Former Congressional APSA-Fulbright Fellow