Godrej Properties, Kolte Patil get thumbs up from analysts even at record levels
Summary
Jefferies has increased its price target on the Godrej Properties stock to ₹3,175 per share, while Motilal Oswal has initiated coverage on Kolte-Patil Developers with a buy’ rating and a price target of ₹700.
Despite trading at record-high levels, analysts at brokerage firms are endorsing real estate developers Godrej Properties Ltd. and Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd.
On Wednesday, Godrej Properties shares opened almost flat at ₹2,715.75 apiece on the NSE. The stock on April 9 gained more than 5% to hit an all-time high level of ₹2,791.20 following its strong business update in the fourth quarter of financial year 2024.
Global broking firm Jefferies has maintained a ‘Buy’ rating with an increased price target of ₹3,175 per share from ₹2,700 apiece earlier. This implies a potential upside of 17% from the current market levels.
Godrej Properties has sold homes worth ₹22,500 crore in the financial year 2024, a growth of 84%, compared to last year and 61% higher than the initial guidance provided by the company at the start of the year. This is also the highest-ever annual sales announced to date by any publicly listed real estate developer in India.
During the fourth quarter, Godrej Properties’ bookings grew by 135% from last year to over ₹9,500 crore.
Jefferies expects this momentum to continue. Additionally, it said that timely land acquisitions, and Hyderabad entry, imply FY25 can see growth over a high base.
The foreign brokerage expects much higher margins as these new projects by Godrej Properties get executed.
Meanwhile, shares of Kolte-Patil Developers jumped nearly 5% in morning trade on Wednesday as domestic brokerage house Motilal Oswal is bullish on the company based on its steady performance, healthy balance sheet and strong pipeline.
Motilal initiated coverage on the stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a price target of ₹700 on the Kolte Patil stock, suggesting a further upside of 34%.
After a decade of muted performance, Kolte Patil is witnessing strong growth in pre-sales as bookings reported a 36% CAGR over FY21-23. “Given its strong pipeline, we believe the company can maintain 25% CAGR in pre-sales at least for the next two years with further room for growth from new project additions,” Motilal noted.
The brokerage highlighted that Kolte-Patil Developers now has a robust project pipeline and ample balance sheet capacity to target new projects and maintain growth. The company aims to achieve a pre-sales CAGR of 25% in the medium term.
The company’s project pipeline is around 33 msf, which includes 3.5 msf of ongoing inventory, 11.5 msf of upcoming projects, and 18 msf of future pipeline.
The brokerage highlighted that Kolte Patil has often focused on maintaining a strong cash flow and revenue growth. Over the past few years, this has resulted in the company seeing a steady stream of post-tax operating cash flow of ₹400-500 crore over the last four years.
However, Motilal pointed out that some key risks to its upside would be any possible inability to add new projects as intended, which will hurt future
growth. If the demand momentum sees a slowdown, it will lead to a reduction in the brokerage’s pre-sales estimates and also a reduction in spending on new project additions.
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